Triplex
63 Sea St · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$679,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own this historical home located in desirable city point area of new haven. Views of the new haven harbor and across from the newly renovated pier. Near the sound school and short walk to sage restaurant. Wonderful hardwood floors! New furnace
Key facts
- Near the water
- Near hospitals
- Near train station
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas service
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
- Construction: Frame construction; Brick and stone foundation; Fiberglass shingle roof
- Exterior features: Corner, level lot in a historic district; Aluminum siding
Interior
- Bedrooms: Five bedrooms total
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat; Natural gas hot water and heating
- Interior features: Full basement with storage and hatchway; Central air; Storm windows and thermopane windows
- Laundry & utility: Three sets of washer/dryer in basement; Basement laundry hookups; washer/dryer provided for all units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $679k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($44k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $679k).
- Recommended offer: $669k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 46 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,397/mo this rent would consume 251% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1321% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $71k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $67k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (9.8% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $190k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$115k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($669k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $190k; list at $679k implies a 257% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.31%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $503,034
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Sea St | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 | 2,842 (0%) | 0mo | $675,000 | $238 | 100 |
| 272 Greenwich Ave | 0.31mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,684 (-6%) | 13mo | $450,000 | $168 | 60 |
| 8 Prospect Pl | 0.72mi | 5/3.0 | 2,729 (-4%) | 2mo | $629,900 | $231 | 58 |
| 211 Kimberly Ave | 0.46mi | 6/— (+1) | 3,112 (+10%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $77 | 56 |
| 52 Howard Ave | 0.08mi | 5/4.0 | 3,233 (+14%) | 16mo | $630,000 | $195 | 56 |
| 32 Lamberton St | 0.58mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,021 (+6%) | 5mo | $535,000 | $177 | 54 |
| 9 Bayview Pl | 0.68mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,796 (-2%) | 9mo | $875,000 | $313 | 49 |
| 148 Plymouth St | 0.59mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 3,152 (+11%) | 5mo | $415,000 | $132 | 45 |
| 121 Plymouth St | 0.54mi | 5/2.0 | 2,539 (-11%) | 10mo | $355,000 | $140 | 45 |
| 423 Howard Ave | 0.69mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 3,026 (+6%) | 12mo | $443,000 | $146 | 38 |
| 20-22 Hurlburt St | 0.72mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,429 (-14%) | 0mo | $362,500 | $149 | 37 |
| 4 Prospect Pl | 0.72mi | 6/3.5 (+1) | 2,471 (-13%) | 12mo | $529,900 | $214 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.81% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $599,318
- Equity at exit
- $602,285
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.33×
- Total profit
- $1,584,211
- Equity at exit
- $1,288,963
Cash invested: $190,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06519
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 16.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,397 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,561
- Tax from tax record
- −$678 /mo · $8,132/yr
- Insurance
- −$283
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,183
- Net cashflow
- $3,692
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,077 | -5% $3,884 | +0% $3,692 | +5% $3,500 | +10% $3,308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,871 | -5% $3,282 | +0% $3,692 | +5% $4,103 | +10% $4,514 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,034 | -0.5pp $3,865 | base $3,692 | +0.5pp $3,516 | +1.0pp $3,337 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 5 | 3 | $10,398 |
| #1 | 5 | 3 | $3,466 |
| #2 | 5 | 3 | $3,466 |
| #3 | 5 | 3 | $3,466 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,397 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $169,750
- Closing costs
- $20,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Center St Unit 2 West Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,300 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 203 Main St Unit 2nd fl West Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1967 | $2,400 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 17 Treadwell St West Haven, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2814 | $2,450 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-20status Under Contract
-
2026-03-27$679,000 Active
-
2013-08-08soldstatus $190,000
-
2013-08-06soldstatus $190,000 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Great opportunity to own this historical home located in desirable city point area of new haven. Views of the new haven harbor and across from the newly renovated pier. Near the sound school and short walk to sage restaurant. Wonderful hardwood floors! New furnace
-
2013-05-02$219,000 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Great opportunity to own this historical home located in desirable city point area of new haven. Views of the new haven harbor and across from the newly renovated pier. Near the sound school and short walk to sage restaurant. Wonderful hardwood floors! New furnace
-
2013-03-06historical
-
2013-01-06$229,900
-
2013-01-06historical
-
2012-07-10$229,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,132 · $678/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,331 · $944/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,199/yr (+$267/mo · 39.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $124,764
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,035
- − Property taxes
- −$8,132
- − Insurance
- −$3,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,981
- − Management
- −$9,981
- − Depreciation
- −$19,753
- Taxable income
- $35,487
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,517
- After-tax cash flow
- $35,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,605
- Household income
- $49,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1321.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 26% White 15% Two or more races 13% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.81%
- Current HPI
- 377.4885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+195.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $679,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2013-08-06 Sold (MLS) $190,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-05-02 Listed $219,000 Smart MLS
- 2013-03-06 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2013-01-06 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2013-01-06 Listed $229,900 Smart MLS
- 2012-07-10 Listed $229,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2023): $8,132 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…