702 3rd Ave · Mountain Lake, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable and full of potential! This charming 3-bedroom home offers several important updates already completed, including newer flooring, an updated bathroom with stylish tile detail, and newer furnace and central A/C for added comfort and peace of mind. A single detached garage provides convenient storage and parking, while the attractive $89,000 price point makes this an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for an affordable place to call home.
Key facts
- Newer flooring
- Newer furnace
- Central a c
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (14 x 20, 8-ft door)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Entry level with main living on the main floor
- Construction: Block foundation; Foundation dimensions 26 x 26; Built area includes 1,014 above-grade finished area and 276 below-grade area
- Exterior features: Wood exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partial basement; Main floor full bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#226 in MN, #4,819 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mountain Lake Public Schools (rural): math 46% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #172 of 301 in MN (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Cottonwood County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $737 of equity ($615 loan paydown + $122 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Cottonwood County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $89k implies a 601% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.45%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $10,477
- Equity at exit
- $26,455
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $37,565
- Equity at exit
- $32,293
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56159
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,003 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $247 | -5% $221 | +0% $196 | +5% $171 | +10% $146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $157 | +0% $196 | +5% $236 | +10% $276 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $241 | -0.5pp $219 | base $196 | +0.5pp $173 | +1.0pp $150 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$89,000 Active
-
2011-09-17soldstatus $12,700
-
2011-09-17soldstatus $12,700
-
1993-09-14soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,112 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,112
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$963
- − Management
- −$963
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $984
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$236
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mountain Lake Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2723010
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,212
- Composite
- 39.3/100
- National rank
- #3994
- State rank
- #172 of 301 in MN
Livability — Mountain Lake
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #4819
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mountain Lake, MN
- City population
- 2,520
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,520
Population outlook (Cottonwood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,130 people
- By 2030
- 10,916 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 10,467 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 10,136 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 10,080 · -9.4%
- By 2100
- 10,091 · -9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 10% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 6% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cottonwood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.1) · D 28.6% · R 69.7% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.5pp toward R · 2008: -6.6pp · 2024: -41.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.1 2020: R+38.2 2016: R+35.1 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+6.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.14%
- Current HPI
- 252.1125
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+1012.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $89,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,700 Public Records
- 2011-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,700 Public Records
- 1993-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+22.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,112 · +33.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…