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253 Rowland Ave
B Composite 72.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$99,000

253 Rowland Ave · Jackson, MS 39209
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,326 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 401 Days on market
Built 1960 8,712 sqft lot $75/sqft · 81% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1960

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 401 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 401 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.00%
Cash-on-cash
13.25%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,123
List price
$99,000
Delta
79.60%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
425 N Springfield Cir 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,244 (-6%) 3mo $45,000 $36 82
4848 Gaylyn Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,310 (-1%) 2mo $80,000 $61 74
156 Springfield Cir 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,358 (+2%) 20mo $55,000 $41 70
216 Meadowview St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,352 (+2%) 2mo $44,700 $33 61
214 Manchester Ave 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,466 (+11%) 14mo $65,000 $44 57
4434 Joel Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,211 (-9%) 6mo $65,000 $54 54
4867 Rosehaven Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,449 (+9%) 5mo $52,500 $36 53
5002 Clinton Blvd 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,206 (-9%) 19mo $12,000 $10 44
124 Clinton Cir 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,404 (+6%) 22mo $83,500 $59 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$73,426
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
8.25×
Total profit
$200,915
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39209

Home prices YoY
7.7%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,236 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,316/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $848
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
127 Barbara Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1584 $850 $0.54 21d 1 0.72mi
4539 Ritchey Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1144 $1,250 $1.09 43d 1 0.90mi
5301 Queen Mary Ln Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1100 $1,338 $1.22 13d 1 0.95mi
264 Sewanee Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1217 $995 $0.82 23d 1 0.98mi
5629 Queen Mary Ln Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,395 $1.10 13d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 401 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 400 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 399 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 398 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 396 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 395 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 393 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 392 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 391 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 390 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 387 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 386 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 385 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 384 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 383 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 382 DOM
  17. 2026-01-08
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  18. 2025-05-08
    price $99,000 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  19. 2025-02-20
    price $105,000 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  20. 2025-01-21
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  21. 2024-12-16
    status Pending 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  22. 2024-11-13
    status Pending 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  23. 2024-11-13
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  24. 2024-07-02
    status Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  25. 2024-06-30
    historical 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  26. 2024-04-09
    price $115,000 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  27. 2024-03-15
    listed $130,000 Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    Welcome to your charming new home! This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence offers updates including a new roof, HVAC system, flooring, and paint. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room and a well-equipped kitchen. Outside, the generous backyard is perfect for outdoor enjoyment. This home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owners. Don't miss out - schedule a showing today!

  28. 2021-01-04
    soldstatus 48-char remark
    Show marketing remark (48 chars)

    Awesome investment opportunity! Home sold AS-IS!

  29. 2020-12-31
    soldstatus
  30. 2020-12-22
    listed $10,000 48-char remark
    Show marketing remark (48 chars)

    Awesome investment opportunity! Home sold AS-IS!

  31. 1985-07-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,316 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,316 · $110/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,828
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,316
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,186
− Management
−$1,186
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$2,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$533
After-tax cash flow
$3,141/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,776
Household income
$36,344
Rent vs Own
52.3% rent · 47.7% own
Severe rent burden
1627.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.28%
Current HPI
312.6754
Rent YoY
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+890.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $99,000 MLSU
  • 2025-02-20 Price Changed $105,000 MLSU
  • 2025-01-21 Relisted MLSU
  • 2024-12-16 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-11-13 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-11-13 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-07-02 Relisted MLSU
  • 2024-06-30 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-04-09 Price Changed $115,000 MLSU
  • 2024-03-15 Listed $130,000 MLSU
  • 2021-01-04 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2020-12-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-12-22 Listed $10,000 MLSU
  • 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,316 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…