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11206 22nd St
C Composite 55.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

11206 22nd St · Coyne Center, IL 61264
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Other public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1966 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious 3 Bedroom Ranch Style home with a Huge Yard and a 2 Car Garage! This home is conveniently located on a quiet rural Cul De Sac giving you a peaceful oasis that is just a few minutes away from the Quad Cities. The Oversized 2 car garage has plenty of space for all your hobbies and outdoor items. The large back yard is surrounded by mature trees giving you a relaxing and private space to sit back and enjoy the seasons. The front door welcomes you into a cozy living room with a large picture window allowing natural light to fill the room. Between the Living Room & Kitchen you'll find a dining space perfect for entertaining. The Kitchen offers lots of cabinet space and a corner wi

Key facts

  • Huge yard
  • Cul de sac
  • Natural light

Tags

HUGE YARDCUL DE SACOVERSIZED GARAGEMATURE TREESNATURAL LIGHTFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 148 x 100; Lot size roughly 0.25–0.49 acre; Lot size source: County records; Living area source: Assessor; Property built before 1978
  • Financial info: Special service area: No
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required; Streets are paved

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned) with 2 garage spaces; Two parking spaces total; Gravel areas for parking
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Property is currently leased; Approximately 1,247 main finished square feet; Total finished + unfinished area approximately 2,494
  • Construction: Built 51–60 years ago; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Located on a cul-de-sac; Mature trees; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (12 x 11); Bedroom 2 on main level (11 x 10); Bedroom 3 on main level (10 x 9)
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Luxury vinyl in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Basement is full and unfinished; Five total rooms; School bus service available
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#526 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Sherrard CUSD 200 (rural): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #240 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Sherrard Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #392 of 2,056 statewide, top 21%, 237 students, 0% FRL); Sherrard Jr High School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #159 of 665 statewide, top 25%, 220 students, 0% FRL); Sherrard High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 451 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Rock Island County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rock Island County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $31k; list at $125k implies a 303% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.10%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-6,970
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$11,287
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61264

Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,508 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$278 /mo · $3,332/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,246
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 695-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $124,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,332 · $278/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,332 · $278/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,099
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$3,332
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,448
− Management
−$1,448
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$617
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$148
After-tax cash flow
$2,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sherrard CUSD 200
NCES district ID
1736180
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$60,194
Composite
26.77/100
National rank
#7129
State rank
#240 of 620 in IL

Livability — Coyne Center

Score
67/100
State rank
#526
US rank
#10896

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coyne Center, IL
Population (ZIP)
10,056

Population outlook (Rock Island County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
140,982 people
By 2030
137,705 · -2.3%
By 2040
130,512 · -7.4%
By 2050
123,841 · -12.2%
By 2075
109,851 · -22.1%
By 2100
90,922 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
English 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rock Island

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.6) · D 53.9% · R 44.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.6 2020: D+12.1 2016: D+8.4 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.95%
Current HPI
160.4359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+302.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $124,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-28 Price Changed $1,400 RENT.
  • 2022-06-27 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-05 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-04 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-02 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-04 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-28 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
  • 2009-11-13 Listed $31,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-13 Listed $31,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-13 Sold (MLS) $31,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-13 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,332 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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