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3672 Northside Church Rd
D+ Composite 48.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,900

3672 Northside Church Rd · Greenwood, FL 32443
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · Manufactured public records · 174 Days on market
Built 2002 1.21 ac lot ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check out this 4 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home offering 2,128 square feet of living space on 1.21 acres. Step through the front door into a spacious living room, with an additional den featuring a wood-burning fireplace. The kitchen provides plenty of cabinet and counter space, along with an island that offers seating for bar stools. The dining area and kitchen have windows overlooking the backyard. The master suite includes a sitting room, a large master bath with double vanity, soaking tub, and separate shower, as well as a generous walk-in closet complete with built-in drawers and shelving. With a split-bedroom floor plan, this home provides ample space for the entire family to spread out.

Key facts

  • Double vanity
  • Soaking tub
  • Island with seating

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEISLAND WITH SEATINGSITTING ROOMDOUBLE VANITYSOAKING TUBSEPARATE SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($675/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#625 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, health & safety D.
  • Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $161 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $148,243 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.42%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-6,110
Equity at exit
$44,323
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$16,348
Equity at exit
$49,428

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32443

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,482 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,837/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,411
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    price $169,900
  3. 2026-03-30
    price $179,900
  4. 2026-02-03
    price $187,500
  5. 2025-11-14
    price $189,900
  6. 2025-10-31
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,837 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,837 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,789
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,837
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,423
− Management
−$1,423
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$2,203
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$529
After-tax cash flow
$1,204/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson
NCES district ID
1200960
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$36,824
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3358
State rank
#39 of 73 in FL

Livability — Greenwood

Score
66/100
State rank
#625
US rank
#12176

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,739

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,095 people
By 2030
44,432 · -3.6%
By 2040
41,077 · -10.9%
By 2050
37,587 · -18.5%
By 2075
28,921 · -37.3%
By 2100
19,332 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 34% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.60%
Current HPI
174.7486
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $169,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $179,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $187,500 CPARMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $189,900 CPARMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $199,900 CPARMLS

Property tax history

+24.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,837 · +1504.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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