195 Maple St · Pocono Pines, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$258,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCED !! Commercial . .Brand new Hot Water Boiler-Heater. Four Bedroom - 2 Bath Traditional Home is nestled in a private setting in the heart of the Pocono Mountains !! Two detached Garages - one boasts a Wood/Coal Stove, Hobby room and is a mechanics dream OR large enough to store your RV also has a 2nd level , great for extra Storage or future Apartment. Separate Storage Building. Kitchen is oversized, updated not long ago. 1st level Bath was recently remodeled, complete with walk-in Tiled Shower. WHOLE HOUSE GENERATOR offers peace of mind during power outages. Relax and enjoy nature in the 3 Season Enclosed Porch. Circular Driveway. Located in Pocono Mountain School District and close to Tobyhanna Army Depot , Highways, Ski Resorts, Water Parks, Casino & many Pocono Attractions
Key facts
- Zoning c-3 mixed use
- Extra storage
- Oversized bay
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: C-3 (other)
Exterior
- Parking: 8 total parking spaces; 4 covered; 4-car attached garage (oversized) with workshop and storage; RV garage; Open parking spaces; Garage faces side
- Utilities: 200+ amp electric service; Propane available; Septic tank; Water: see remarks; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; 2 stories; Main entry on level 1; South-facing
- Construction: Built with block, aluminum siding and vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot with backyard; Storage; Front enclosed porch; Gravel and paved driveway areas; Circular driveway; RV access/parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating: baseboard, hot water, oil; No central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Storage; Front enclosed porch; Partial unfinished basement with exterior entry, concrete floor and sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry area in kitchen; Electric dryer hookup; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $258k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (7.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $230k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.3% in Pocono Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $185k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.71%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,576
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1607 Church St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,616 (-11%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $99 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $15,963
- Equity at exit
- $106,778
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $77,304
- Equity at exit
- $157,713
Cash invested: $72,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,353
- Tax from tax record
- −$460 /mo · $5,514/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $-103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $43 | -5% $-30 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-176 | +10% $-249 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-285 | -5% $-194 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-12 | +10% $79 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $27 | -0.5pp $-37 | base $-103 | +0.5pp $-170 | +1.0pp $-238 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,500
- Closing costs
- $7,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1114 Mill St Unit 2 Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $258,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $258,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $258,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $258,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $258,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $258,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $258,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $258,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 458-char remark
-
2026-06-13$258,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,514 · $460/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,514 · $460/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,452
- − Property taxes
- −$5,514
- − Insurance
- −$1,290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,208
- − Management
- −$2,208
- − Depreciation
- −$7,505
- Taxable loss
- −$5,578
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,339
- After-tax cash flow
- $103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pocono Pines
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #532
- US rank
- #4925
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 595
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+29.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $258,000 PMAR
- 2022-10-31 Sold (MLS) $185,000 PMAR
- 2022-10-03 Relisted — PMAR
- 2022-07-28 Listed $199,000 PMAR
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2026): $5,514 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…