1400 Caffey Dr · Oxford, AL 36203

$80,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1945 Est $138k · 42% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

1.2 Acres and home. Centrally located in Oxford, AL. This home and property is located 5 minutes from downtown amenities and directly across the road from the Elementary school. The property needs more cleaning and the house needs a full remodel. Roof is newer and doesn& apos; t leak. Property has two septic systems and there is an old barn that is 20 ft x 20ft behind the house that can be resided and used. Has natural gas hooked. to house, Oxford City water and Alabama power electricity. This is not rent to own, for rent or owner financing. With a little elbow grease, your investment could make a beautiful family home or a great rental property. The lot can be split in half or left as

Key facts

• Two septic systems
• Newer roof
• Centrally located

Tags

• CENTRALLY LOCATED
• 5 MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN
• ACROSS FROM ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
• NEWER ROOF
• TWO SEPTIC SYSTEMS
• NATURAL GAS

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $80,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$138,336) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.8% in Oxford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#13 in AL, #3,446 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Oxford City (urban): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 129 in AL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 112 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.59% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.17%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.13%
• DSCR: 2.25
• GRM: 5.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $138,336
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
51 Hickory Dr	0.67mi	3/1.0	1,163 (+10%)	12mo	$152,000	$131	42
67 Hickory Dr	0.68mi	3/1.5	1,167 (+10%)	9mo	$129,900	$111	41
111 Hickory Dr	0.73mi	3/1.0	1,168 (+11%)	10mo	$158,000	$135	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.77×
• Total profit: $17,189
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 26.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.02×
• Total profit: $45,218
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36203

• Home prices YoY: -20.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 112
• Price-to-rent: 5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,275 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$30 /mo · $354/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$268
• Net cashflow: $525

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-05-12
   listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $354 · $30/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $354 · $30/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,303
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$354
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,224
• − Management: −$1,224
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $5,291
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,270
• After-tax cash flow: $5,031/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Oxford City
• NCES district ID: 0102635
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -25.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $48,971
• Composite: 35.11/100
• National rank: #5017
• State rank: #22 of 129 in AL

Livability — Oxford

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #13
• US rank: #3446

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Oxford, AL
• County: Calhoun County · 71,763 people
• City population: 18,919
• Metro: Anniston-Oxford, AL
• Population (ZIP): 18,919
• Household income: $69,485
• Rent vs Own: 26.5% rent · 73.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 404.0

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 109,765 people
• By 2030: 105,708 · -3.7%
• By 2040: 96,192 · -12.4%
• By 2050: 86,413 · -21.3%
• By 2075: 63,467 · -42.2%
• By 2100: 44,704 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -54.24%
• Current HPI: 211.005
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.39%
• Metro: Anniston-Oxford, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
• 2026-05-12 Listed $80,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $354 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.