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975 W 2nd St
D Composite 40.4
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

975 W 2nd St · Winona, MN 55987
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 846 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1896 6,272 sqft lot $213/sqft · 23% above area Est $179k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.

Key facts

  • Laundry in basement
  • Quaint yard
  • 2-car garage

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHQUAINT YARD2-CAR GARAGELAUNDRY IN BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One story; Main level entry
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Foundation dimensions approximately 43 x 25; Built with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch, front porch, and rear porch; Vinyl exterior; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bath on the main floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Main floor full bathroom; Full unfinished basement; 3 bedrooms on one level / main floor bedrooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer locations in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-478/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (3.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (21.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Winona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in MN, #1,558 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
  • Winona Area Public School District (town): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #244 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #534 of 857 statewide, top 66%, 309 students, 48% FRL); Winona Middle (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #192 of 258 statewide, top 77%, 641 students, 50% FRL); Winona Senior High (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #222 of 471 statewide, top 50%, 881 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.0%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in Winona County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winona County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $148k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,980 (21.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.95%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$178,943
List price
$180,000
Delta
0.59%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-24,290
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$9,350
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55987

Rents YoY
18.0%
Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,410 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,616/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$-40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,460
Max offer price $172,958
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $62 -5% $11 +0% $-40 +5% $-91 +10% $-142
Rent -10% $-151 -5% $-96 +0% $-40 +5% $16 +10% $72
Rate -1.0pp $51 -0.5pp $6 base $-40 +0.5pp $-87 +1.0pp $-134

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $180,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $180,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $180,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $180,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $180,000 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    listed $185,000 Active 597-char remark
  17. 2021-10-18
    soldstatus $147,900
  18. 2021-10-14
    soldstatus $147,900
  19. 2018-12-09
    historical
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.

  20. 2010-12-31
    soldstatus $45,000
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.

  21. 2010-12-31
    soldstatus $45,000
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.

  22. 2010-12-31
    soldstatus $45,000
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.

  23. 2010-03-16
    listed $54,900
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.

  24. 2010-03-16
    listed $54,900
    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,616 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,816 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$200/yr (+$17/mo · 12.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,918
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$1,616
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,353
− Management
−$1,353
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$3,624
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$870
After-tax cash flow
$391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Winona Area Public School District
NCES district ID
2744070
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$45,678
Composite
31.15/100
National rank
#6058
State rank
#244 of 301 in MN

Livability — Winona

Score
81/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#1558

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Winona, MN
County
Winona County · 34,072 people
City population
34,072
Metro
Winona, MN
Population (ZIP)
34,072
Household income
$61,624
Rent vs Own
36.1% rent · 63.9% own
Severe rent burden
1525.0

Population outlook (Winona County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,614 people
By 2030
50,243 · -0.7%
By 2040
48,142 · -4.9%
By 2050
45,872 · -9.4%
By 2075
42,416 · -16.2%
By 2100
40,031 · -20.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winona

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-24.0pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: -4.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.9 2020: D+0.4 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+12.9 2008: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -166.61%
Current HPI
193.7509
Rent YoY
▲ 17.99%
Metro
Winona, MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+227.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-18 Sold (MLS) $147,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $147,900 Public Records
  • 2018-12-09 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2010-12-31 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-12-31 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-16 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-16 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,616 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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