975 W 2nd St · Winona, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.
Key facts
- Laundry in basement
- Quaint yard
- 2-car garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One story; Main level entry
- Construction: Stone foundation; Foundation dimensions approximately 43 x 25; Built with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch, front porch, and rear porch; Vinyl exterior; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bath on the main floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Main floor full bathroom; Full unfinished basement; 3 bedrooms on one level / main floor bedrooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer locations in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-478/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (3.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Winona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in MN, #1,558 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Winona Area Public School District (town): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #244 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #534 of 857 statewide, top 66%, 309 students, 48% FRL); Winona Middle (math 23% / reading 38%, grade F, #192 of 258 statewide, top 77%, 641 students, 50% FRL); Winona Senior High (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #222 of 471 statewide, top 50%, 881 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.0%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in Winona County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winona County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $148k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.95%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,943
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- 0.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-24,290
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $9,350
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55987
- Rents YoY
- 18.0%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,410 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,616/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $-40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $62 | -5% $11 | +0% $-40 | +5% $-91 | +10% $-142 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-151 | -5% $-96 | +0% $-40 | +5% $16 | +10% $72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $51 | -0.5pp $6 | base $-40 | +0.5pp $-87 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $180,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $180,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$185,000 Active 597-char remark
-
2021-10-18soldstatus $147,900
-
2021-10-14soldstatus $147,900
-
2018-12-09historical
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.
-
2010-12-31soldstatus $45,000
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.
-
2010-12-31soldstatus $45,000
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.
-
2010-12-31soldstatus $45,000
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.
-
2010-03-16$54,900
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.
-
2010-03-16$54,900
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Solid home with a 2 car garage.Front & rear porch. Can be a certified rental as well. Immediate occupancy. All offers considered. Selling ''AS IS''.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,616 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,816 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$200/yr (+$17/mo · 12.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,918
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,616
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,353
- − Management
- −$1,353
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$3,624
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$870
- After-tax cash flow
- $391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winona Area Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2744070
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,678
- Composite
- 31.15/100
- National rank
- #6058
- State rank
- #244 of 301 in MN
Livability — Winona
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #1558
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winona, MN
- County
- Winona County · 34,072 people
- City population
- 34,072
- Metro
- Winona, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,072
- Household income
- $61,624
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1525.0
Population outlook (Winona County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,614 people
- By 2030
- 50,243 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 48,142 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 45,872 · -9.4%
- By 2075
- 42,416 · -16.2%
- By 2100
- 40,031 · -20.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winona
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.0pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: -4.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.9 2020: D+0.4 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+12.9 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -166.61%
- Current HPI
- 193.7509
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 17.99%
- Metro
- Winona, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+227.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-18 Sold (MLS) $147,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $147,900 Public Records
- 2018-12-09 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-31 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-31 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-16 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-16 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,616 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…