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24723 Thornbluff Briar Trl 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 47.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.7/10.0

$249,990

24723 Thornbluff Briar Trl · Houston, TX 77336
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,443 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 4,200 sqft lot $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Cyrene Homes at Woodland Lakes. This beautiful two-story home offers 1,443 sqft of thoughtfully designed living space featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a powder bath, and a covered patio. The open-concept floor plan is perfect for entertaining and everyday living. The gourmet kitchen showcases 42" cabinets, luxury granite countertops, decorative tile backsplash, farmhouse-style single bowl sink, and Frigidaire stainless appliances including a dishwasher, vented microwave, and 5-burner gas range. Enjoy gorgeous ceramic plank flooring throughout the main living areas and all baths. The spacious primary suite features dual sinks and a large walk-in closet. Additional upgrades

Key facts

  • Dual sinks
  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Covered patio

Tags

COVERED PATIOGOURMET KITCHENLUXURY GRANITE COUNTERTOPSDECORATIVE TILE BACKSPLASHCERAMIC PLANK FLOORINGDUAL SINKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Municipal Utility District disclosure provided
  • HOA & community: Association: ACMI; Annual association fee of $400

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Under construction (new construction); Single-level and second-floor bedrooms (two-story elements); Slab foundation; Composition roof; Built in 2026; Builder: Cyrene Homes; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 120
  • Construction: Brick, cement siding, and wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Deck; Fenced backyard; Subdivision lot setting; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Bedroom on the second floor (12 x 12); Bedroom on the second floor (13 x 10); Total rooms: 4; Bedrooms possible: 3
  • Flooring: Carpet; Plank; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Double vanity; Granite counters; Hollywood bath; High ceilings; Separate shower; Window treatments; Ceiling fan(s); Programmable thermostat; Low emissivity windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $249,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $219,336.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (5.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huffman ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #500 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Huffman Middle (math 36% / reading 32%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 907 students, 42% FRL); Hargrave H S (math 31% / reading 46%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 1,125 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 585 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,616 (15.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.40%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$219,336
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24712 Stablewood Forest Ct 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,556 (+8%) 0mo $180,000 $116 83
24702 Pennfield Arbor Ln 0.23mi 3/2.5 1,556 (+8%) 2mo $231,990 $149 75
24709 Stablewood Forest Ct 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,267 (-12%) 2mo $227,990 $180 73
24717 Stablewood Frst 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,267 (-12%) 3mo $224,990 $178 73
513 Emerald Thicket Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,647 (+14%) 1mo $249,990 $152 70
526 Emerald Thicket Ln 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,267 (-12%) 1mo $234,990 $185 69
331 Cherry Valley Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,495 (+4%) 2mo $185,000 $124 64
723 Pas Trl 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,365 (-5%) 4mo $220,000 $161 59
24402 Lightwoods Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,607 (+11%) 3mo $254,900 $159 58
24716 Lago Bay Ln 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,616 (+12%) 2mo $244,990 $152 58
24318 Hard Wood Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,276 (-12%) 2mo $190,000 $149 43
507 Corydon Dr 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,310 (-9%) 2mo $80,000 $61 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-27,657
Equity at exit
$32,704
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-13,785
Equity at exit
$18,964

Cash invested: $61,414 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77336

Home prices YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
585
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,116 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,150
Tax est. 1.5%
$274 /mo · $3,290/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,960
Max offer price $219,336
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,834
Closing costs
$6,580
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
408 Emerald Thicket Ln Huffman, TX 3.0 2.5 1755 $2,200 $1.25 43d 1 0.06mi
24523 Whitesail Dr Huffman, TX 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,800 $1.19 43d 1 0.21mi
24719 Colony Meadow Trl Huffman, TX 4.0 2.0 1613 $2,200 $1.36 43d 1 0.63mi
24730 Russet Bluff Trl Huffman, TX 4.0 2.0 1604 $2,150 $1.34 1d 1 0.73mi
24118 Grey Fox Dr Huffman, TX 3.0 2.0 1543 $1,425 $0.92 43d 1 0.96mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,990 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,990 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,990 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,990 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,990 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,990 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,990 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 694-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $249,990 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,394
− Mortgage interest
−$12,286
− Property taxes
−$3,290
− Insurance
−$1,097
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,032
− Management
−$2,032
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$6,381
Taxable loss
−$2,119
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$508
After-tax cash flow
$1,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained single-family home in Cyrene Homes at Woodland Lakes offers a good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's ready for immediate move-in and can be further enhanced with exterior painting and smart home devices.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Replace blinds — Improves light control and privacy
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Replace blinds — Improves light control and privacy
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huffman ISD
NCES district ID
4823820
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$65,848
Composite
30.61/100
National rank
#6195
State rank
#500 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
14,342
Household income
$96,404
Rent vs Own
21.8% rent · 78.2% own
Severe rent burden
377.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 5% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.59%
Current HPI
472.03
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $249,990 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…