🏷️ Likely Rental
1325 Darrell Rd · Evans, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$125 per square foot for a fully remodeled 3-bedroom, 3-bath townhome-style condo in Evans. That math doesn't show up often. This 1,440 sqft unit was renovated with new flooring, fresh paint, plush carpet, and an updated kitchen - meaning a buyer can close, list it for rent, and be cash-flowing within 30 days. Zillow's rent estimate puts it at $1,876/month against a sub-$180K purchase price, which is a cap rate that most NoCo investors haven't seen in years. Three bedrooms, three bathrooms, partial finished basement, attached garage, and an HOA of $350/month covering management. Easy access to Highway 85 and the 34 Bypass. A note for buyers: This property is non-warrantable, which means con
Key facts
- Fresh flooring
- Plush carpet
- New paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA: Darrell Road Condos HOA; Monthly HOA fee of $350; Association transfer fee applies; Association maintains reserves; HOA fee includes management; Community features: None
Exterior
- Parking: Reserved parking
- Utilities: City water (meter installed); Public sewer; Natural gas available (Atmos); Electricity available; Cable and satellite available; High-speed internet available; HOA-provided trash service
- Home design: Attached condominium; Two levels; Not new construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Above-grade finished area with additional below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Paved surfaces with curbs, gutters and sidewalks; Asphalt road frontage on a city street; Minimal flood risk (C rating)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric Range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Microwave, Disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all conform)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 half bath
- Interior features: Partial, partially finished basement; Electric Range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Microwave, Disposal
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($261/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.8% in Evans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#104 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta (urban): math 15% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #71 of 86 in CO (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Centennial Elementary School (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #724 of 966 statewide, top 77%, 457 students, 86% FRL); Prairie Heights Middle School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #178 of 270 statewide, top 67%, 571 students, 78% FRL); Greeley West High School (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #244 of 381 statewide, top 66%, 1,885 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 54% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $180k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.52%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $351,360
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1302 29th St Unit A & B | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+7%) | 20mo | $375,000 | $244 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-33,197
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-48,074
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80620
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Rents YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,915 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,469/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $124 | -5% $73 | +0% $22 | +5% $-29 | +10% $-80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-130 | -5% $-54 | +0% $22 | +5% $97 | +10% $173 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $112 | -0.5pp $67 | base $22 | +0.5pp $-25 | +1.0pp $-72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1321 Darrell Rd Evans, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,685 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3202 11th Ave Evans, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1015 | $2,065 | $2.03 | 0d | 12 | 0.33mi |
| 2820 17th Ave #201 Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,750 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1905 28th St Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,330 | $1.48 | 15d | 2 | 0.66mi |
| 3530 Pueblo St Unit A Evans, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2405 11th Ave Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1725 Rowan Ln Evans, CO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1190 | $2,099 | $1.76 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1007 23rd Street Rd Greeley, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $2,335 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4118 Idaho St Evans, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,350 | $1.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 820 23rd St Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2310 W 25th Street Rd Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2506 32nd St Evans, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,025 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 708 22nd St Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $1,895 | $2.25 | 4d | 22 | 1.22mi |
| 2117 9th Ave Unit B Greeley, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,380 | $1.84 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2117 9th Ave Unit C Greeley, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,140 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2117 9th Ave Unit A Greeley, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $2,520 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2115 9th Ave Greeley, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $2,140 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2115 9th Ave Apt B Greeley, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $2,200 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2507 W 27th St Apt C Greeley, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,225 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2420 W Reservoir Rd Greeley, CO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $2,256 | $2.57 | 15d | 20 | 1.39mi |
| 2846 Arbor Dr #2898 Evans, CO | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1327 | $1,738 | $1.31 | 15d | 3 | 1.40mi |
| 1031 20th St Greeley, CO | 3.0–6.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 2309 | $1,635 | $0.71 | 25d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 2551 W 24th St Greeley, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1160 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1915 11th Ave Greeley, CO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,995 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $179,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-04-01status Active
-
2026-03-03historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-29$179,900 Active
-
2025-12-30historical
-
2025-12-30historical
-
2025-12-12price $194,900
-
2025-12-12price $194,900
-
2025-11-08price $199,000
-
2025-11-08price $199,000
-
2025-10-04price $210,000
-
2025-10-04price $210,000
-
2025-09-11price $215,000
-
2025-09-11price $215,000
-
2025-07-24price $220,000
-
2025-07-24price $220,000
-
2025-06-04status Active
-
2025-06-04price $225,000
-
2025-06-04status Active
-
2025-06-04price $225,000
-
2025-05-30historical
-
2025-05-30historical
-
2025-04-22price $245,000
-
2025-04-22price $245,000
-
2025-03-21price $255,000
-
2025-02-27price $265,000
-
2025-01-24$275,000 Active
-
2011-01-01historical
-
2010-12-14$65,000 Active
-
1999-05-21soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,469 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,469 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,975
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,469
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,838
- − Management
- −$1,838
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,580
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$619
- After-tax cash flow
- $880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta
- NCES district ID
- 0804410
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,417
- Composite
- 19.99/100
- National rank
- #8667
- State rank
- #71 of 86 in CO
Livability — Evans
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #9005
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evans, CO
- County
- Weld County · 332,652 people
- City population
- 20,798
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,798
- Household income
- $73,590
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 420.0
Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 351,957 people
- By 2030
- 385,304 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 451,818 · +28.4%
- By 2050
- 514,478 · +46.2%
- By 2075
- 648,733 · +84.3%
- By 2100
- 720,400 · +104.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 2% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weld
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.36%
- Current HPI
- 330.6379
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.78%
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+130.6% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — IRES
- 2026-03-03 Contingent — IRES
- 2026-01-29 Listed $179,900 IRES
- 2025-12-30 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-30 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $194,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $194,900 IRES
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $199,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $199,000 IRES
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $210,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $210,000 IRES
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $215,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $215,000 IRES
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $220,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $220,000 IRES
- 2025-06-04 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $225,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-04 Relisted — IRES
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $225,000 IRES
- 2025-05-30 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-30 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $245,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $245,000 IRES
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $255,000 IRES
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $265,000 IRES
- 2025-01-24 Listed $275,000 IRES
- 2011-01-01 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2010-12-14 Listed $65,000 IRES
- 1999-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,469 · +119.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…