13 Marie Ct · Millsboro, DE
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.5%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Front porch
- Backyard shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease of $527 per month (approximately 1 year remaining)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (1 space); Total of 1 garage/parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured / Modular home; Single-story (main living on one level); Land lease ownership
- Construction: Modular/Manufactured construction; Storm windows; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted
- Exterior features: Porch(es); Shed; Not in a federal flood zone; 2+ access exits
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Circuit breaker electrical
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Storm doors; Window screens
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main floor; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 3.1% in Millsboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#44 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, cost of living B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 865 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.89%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,215
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 9.44%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,547
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $32,454
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 865
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,123 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $439 | -5% $396 | +0% $353 | +5% $310 | +10% $267 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $185 | -5% $269 | +0% $353 | +5% $437 | +10% $521 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $416 | -0.5pp $385 | base $353 | +0.5pp $321 | +1.0pp $288 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29793 Oakwood Ln Millsboro, DE | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1837 | $2,350 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 29369 Oxford Dr Millsboro, DE | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1837 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 570-char remark
-
2026-05-01$125,000 Active 570-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 50% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$6,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,038
- − Management
- −$2,038
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,739
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$657
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,580/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and updates across multiple systems and areas, including painting, landscaping, and kitchen/bathroom renovations. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a fair condition.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen — No photos of kitchen
- Major bathrooms — No photos of bathrooms
- Major roof — No photos of roof
- Major exterior — No photos of exterior
- Major flooring — No photos of flooring
- Major interior walls/paint — No photos of interior walls/paint
- Major windows — No photos of windows
- Major foundation/structure — No photos of foundation/structure
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of HVAC/mechanicals
- Major landscaping/curb appeal — No photos of landscaping/curb appeal
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value
- Both HVAC and mechanicals — Upgrading HVAC and mechanicals ensures comfort and energy efficiency
- Both kitchen and bathrooms — Renovating kitchen and bathrooms adds value and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen · No photos of kitchen | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · No photos of bathrooms | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · No photos of roof | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior · No photos of exterior | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · No photos of flooring | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · No photos of interior walls/paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · No photos of windows | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| foundation/structure · No photos of foundation/structure | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of HVAC/mechanicals | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping/curb appeal · No photos of landscaping/curb appeal | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 10 items | $150,000–500,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both HVAC and mechanicals — Upgrading HVAC and mechanicals ensures comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both kitchen and bathrooms — Renovating kitchen and bathrooms adds value and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Millsboro
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #12135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Millsboro, DE
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-29.6%/yrLatest (2025): $172 · -29.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…