1114 Pearl River Ave · McComb, MS 39648

$55,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1953 0.48 ac lot ↓ 23% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Beautifully updated 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home in McComb, MS with fenced-in half an acre yard and storage building. this home is move in ready.

Key facts

• Storage building
• Fenced-in yard
• 0.48 acre lot

Tags

• FENCED-IN YARD
• STORAGE BUILDING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 6.5% in McComb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• North Pike School District (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #69 of 130 in MS (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.35%
• DSCR: 2.66
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $33,060
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1019 Pearl River Avenue Ext	0.09mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,218 (+7%)	3mo	$35,000	$29	77

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 33.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.40×
• Total profit: $21,632
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.3%
• Equity multiple: 4.78×
• Total profit: $58,222
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39648

• Active inventory: 191
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,093 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$73 /mo · $877/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$230
• Net cashflow: $479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $487

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $510	-5% $495	+0% $479	+5% $464	+10% $448
Rent	-10% $393	-5% $436	+0% $479	+5% $522	+10% $566
Rate	-1.0pp $507	-0.5pp $493	base $479	+0.5pp $465	+1.0pp $451

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-03-31
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-18
   listed $55,000 Active
3. 2025-06-29
   historical $950
4. 2025-06-21
   listed $950
5. 2025-06-19
   historical
6. 2024-06-19
   listed $71,000
7. 2005-10-04
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $877 · $73/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $877 · $73/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,119
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$877
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,050
• − Management: −$1,050
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $5,188
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,245
• After-tax cash flow: $4,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: North Pike School District
• NCES district ID: 2803240
• Math proficiency: 25% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $41,558
• Composite: 24.13/100
• National rank: #7748
• State rank: #69 of 130 in MS

Livability — McComb

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #50
• US rank: #8347

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 19,767

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 38,766 people
• By 2030: 37,874 · -2.3%
• By 2040: 35,743 · -7.8%
• By 2050: 33,276 · -14.2%
• By 2075: 26,799 · -30.9%
• By 2100: 18,562 · -52.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 64% White 32% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 51.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.0pp toward R · 2008: 3.5pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+0.7 2012: D+7.6 2008: D+3.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -88.61%
• Current HPI: 92.2495
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-22.5% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-31 Pending — MLSU
• 2026-03-18 Listed $55,000 MLSU
• 2025-06-29 Rental Removed $950 TURBOTENANT
• 2025-06-21 Listed for Rent $950 TURBOTENANT
• 2025-06-19 Listing Removed — MLSU
• 2024-06-19 Listed $71,000 MLSU
• 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $877 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.