901 5th St S · Moorhead, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Right across the street from Concordia College, this recently updated 3 Bed 3 Bath is currently rented out at $1,450 a month! Brand new furnace was installed this winter! At this location and at this price how can you go wrong?! Agent/Trustee.
Key facts
- New flooring
- Updated kitchen
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area listed (agent-provided); Property listed as not fractional ownership
- Financial info: Conventional mortgage type
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; No carport
- Utilities: City water (connected; city water in street); City sewer (connected; city sewer in street); Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half level layout; Entry faces a front porch
- Construction: Concrete construction; Asphalt roof; Poured concrete foundation; Foundation dimensions approximately 24x34; Built with an unfinished lower level
- Exterior features: Front porch; Stucco exterior; Full chain link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with range, refrigerator, and dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath on the main floor; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Range, Refrigerator; Living/Dining Room combination and additional dining space; Unfinished space in the lower level; Storage space in the basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $164k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $164k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.6% in Moorhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#143 in MN, #3,111 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Moorhead Public School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in MN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ellen Hopkins Elementary (math 50% / reading 42%, grade D-, #526 of 857 statewide, top 62%, 643 students, 46% FRL); Horizon Middle School (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #144 of 258 statewide, top 56%, 2,158 students, 48% FRL); Moorhead High School (math 44% / reading 59%, grade D+, #124 of 471 statewide, top 27%, 1,937 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 269 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.32%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $181,152
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429 11th St S | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (+1%) | 19mo | $182,500 | $111 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-16,291
- Equity at exit
- $24,527
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-7,964
- Equity at exit
- $14,223
Cash invested: $46,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56560
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 394
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,702 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$863
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,508/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $298 | -5% $251 | +0% $204 | +5% $158 | +10% $111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $70 | -5% $137 | +0% $204 | +5% $272 | +10% $339 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $287 | -0.5pp $246 | base $204 | +0.5pp $162 | +1.0pp $118 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,125
- Closing costs
- $4,935
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 4th Ave S Unit 138 Moorhead, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,325 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 337 10th Ave S Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,235 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1205 Main Ave Moorhead, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 23 Broadway N Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 22d | 5 | 1.00mi |
| 23 N Broadway Dr Unit 406 Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 23 N Broadway Dr Unit 306 Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,560 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 630 1st Ave N Fargo, ND | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 15d | 6 | 1.11mi |
| 1521 1st Ave N Moorhead, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,440 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 624 2nd Ave N Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $2,025 | $2.22 | 15d | 32 | 1.15mi |
| 419 3rd St N Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $2,600 | $2.54 | 15d | 21 | 1.18mi |
| 21 8th St N Fargo, ND | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 949 | $1,441 | $1.52 | 15d | 6 | 1.23mi |
| 405 Broadway N Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $2,250 | $2.31 | 15d | 24 | 1.26mi |
| 1102 28th Ave S Moorhead, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $1,825 | $1.55 | 15d | 35 | 1.27mi |
| 1621 S University Dr Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,895 | $2.18 | 15d | 13 | 1.42mi |
| 600 30th Ave S Moorhead, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,910 | $2.01 | 15d | 34 | 1.43mi |
| 900 30th Ave S Moorhead, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $1,775 | $1.81 | 22d | 19 | 1.43mi |
| 303 11th St N Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $1,600 | $1.97 | 15d | 14 | 1.47mi |
| 312 11th St N Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $1,575 | $1.80 | 15d | 17 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $164,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$164,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,508 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,508 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,215
- − Property taxes
- −$2,508
- − Insurance
- −$822
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,634
- − Management
- −$1,634
- − Depreciation
- −$4,785
- Taxable loss
- −$174
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$42
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moorhead Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721420
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,009
- Composite
- 36.83/100
- National rank
- #4560
- State rank
- #202 of 301 in MN
Livability — Moorhead
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #3111
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moorhead, MN
- County
- Clay County · 44,405 people
- City population
- 44,405
- Metro
- Fargo, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,405
- Household income
- $75,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2229.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,880 people
- By 2030
- 70,881 · +4.4%
- By 2040
- 76,865 · +13.2%
- By 2050
- 83,205 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 98,719 · +45.4%
- By 2100
- 111,657 · +64.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 26% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.2% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+8.0 2008: D+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.32%
- Current HPI
- 177.038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.41%
- Metro
- Fargo, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+37.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $164,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2017-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2017-08-03 Sold (MLS) $140,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-11 Listed $149,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $105,100 Public Records
- 2015-08-13 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-10 Listed $119,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,508 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…