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167 Royal Pkwy W
D+ Composite 49.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.9/30.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

167 Royal Pkwy W · Cheektowaga, NY 14221
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,806 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1902 8,724 sqft lot Est $410k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

VR pricing. Seller will accept offers between 235,000 to 245,000. Completely remodeled 4 Bedroom 2 full bathroom home in Williamsville School District. NEW BOILER JUST INSTALLED!! Enclosed front porch area with new windows and new flooring welcome you home. Large dining room/living room combo. Relax on the cozy window seat in the living room. Newly tiled wood burning fireplace and beautiful new flooring throughout. Huge, completely renovated kitchen with custom cabinets, tile flooring, tile backsplash, and granite countertop. Pantry area. Appliances are negotiable. Newer windows, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom on first floor and 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath on second floor. Tons of closet space. Double closets in master bedroom. All brand new carpeting. Second floor has a sitting area that could be used as a retreat for reading that great book or could be an office area. Fully fenced in yard. Concrete patio in backyard. HWT 2017. Make an appointment today. You don't want to miss out on this beautiful home.

Key facts

  • Second floor loft
  • Granite countertops
  • Two full bathrooms

Tags

TWO FULL BATHROOMSREMODELED EAT IN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHSECOND FLOOR LOFT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Two-story house; Existing construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block and stone foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Fully fenced yard; Private yard; Patio; Shed(s) / exterior storage; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Granite counters; Gas oven and gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total, one on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating with radiators; Zoned heating; Zoned cooling; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Granite counters; Living/dining room; Natural woodwork; Sunroom / Florida room; Full basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $300k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (13.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
  • Williamsville Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #114 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $236k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $281,753 (13.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$409,962
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
274 Royal Pkwy W 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,742 (-4%) 2mo $395,000 $227 83
135 Avalon Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,812 (+0%) 1mo $325,000 $179 80
132 Royal Pkwy E 0.12mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,742 (-4%) 6mo $395,000 $227 77
37 Linwood Ave 0.43mi 4/1.5 1,795 (-1%) 2mo $295,000 $164 75
207 N Harvest St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,767 (-2%) 2mo $460,000 $260 59
216 N Linden St 0.71mi 4/3.5 1,836 (+2%) 1mo $652,500 $355 57
228 S Forest Rd 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,013 (+12%) 6mo $345,000 $171 56
289 Huxley Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,979 (+10%) 3mo $355,000 $179 49
193 Huxley Dr 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,641 (-9%) 2mo $387,500 $236 46
172 Lorfield Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,603 (-11%) 8mo $285,000 $178 46
111 Scamridge Curv 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,932 (+7%) 7mo $333,000 $172 44
94 Walton Dr 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,994 (+10%) 5mo $497,000 $249 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-55,840
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-35,020
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14221

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,818 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$529 /mo · $6,349/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$592
Net cashflow
$-143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,999
Max offer price $299,742
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $41 -5% $-51 +0% $-143 +5% $-235 +10% $-327
Rent -10% $-366 -5% $-254 +0% $-143 +5% $-32 +10% $80
Rate -1.0pp $21 -0.5pp $-60 base $-143 +0.5pp $-227 +1.0pp $-313

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
758 S Huth Rd Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2235 $2,800 $1.25 44d 1 1.20mi
512 Cayuga Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1944 $1,795 $0.92 2d 1 1.23mi
239 Lehn Springs Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1700 $3,200 $1.88 4d 1 1.24mi
44 Aurora Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1272 $3,300 $2.59 2d 1 1.40mi
69 Berryman Dr Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 2056 $2,950 $1.43 2d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $325,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $325,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $325,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $325,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $325,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $325,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,349 · $529/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,349 · $529/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,810
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$6,349
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,705
− Management
−$2,705
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$7,233
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,736
After-tax cash flow
$20/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Williamsville Central School District
NCES district ID
3631470
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$79,907
Composite
62.59/100
National rank
#678
State rank
#114 of 590 in NY

Livability — Cheektowaga

Score
84/100
State rank
#54
US rank
#811

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
55,470
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
55,255
Household income
$101,615
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
1956.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Asian 8% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -301.37%
Current HPI
322.6947
Rent YoY
▲ 5.01%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $325,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-03-02 Sold (MLS) $236,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-12-17 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2020-12-14 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2020-12-12 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2020-12-04 Price Changed $235,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-11-20 Price Changed $240,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-10-29 Price Changed $250,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-09-05 Listed $260,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) $96,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-07-31 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-07-20 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-05-24 Price Changed $134,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-04-26 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-09-26 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2017-09-12 Listed $184,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,349 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…