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3932 Hwy 100
C- Composite 51.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$124,900

3932 Hwy 100 · Aurora, MN 55705
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily · 193 Days on market
Built 2007 10 ac lot $100/sqft · 65% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 10 acres
  • Generous land
  • 10 acre lot

Tags

10 ACRESMULTIPLE OUTBUILDINGSOPPORTUNITY TO CUSTOMIZEGENEROUS LAND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (7.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#312 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mesabi East School District (rural): math 27% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #240 of 301 in MN (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.91%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$355,868
List price
$124,900
Delta
-64.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-11,173
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,831
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55705

Home prices YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,153 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $730/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $972
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,900 Active 193 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 192 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 191 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 190 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 189 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 186 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 184 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 183 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 182 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 181 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 176 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 175 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 174 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 173 DOM
  17. 2026-04-19
    status Pending 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  18. 2026-04-19
    status Pending 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  19. 2026-03-12
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  20. 2026-03-12
    status Active 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  21. 2026-03-12
    status Active 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  22. 2026-02-11
    status Pending 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  23. 2026-02-11
    status Pending 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  24. 2026-02-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  25. 2025-11-25
    historical Contingent - Sale of Another Property 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  26. 2025-11-09
    listed $124,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  27. 2025-11-09
    listed $124,900 Active 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

  28. 2025-11-09
    listed $124,900 Active 959-char remark
    Show marketing remark (959 chars)

    Spacious 3-Bedroom, 2-Bath Manufactured Home on 10 Acres Discover country living on this expansive 10-acre property featuring a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home. The property includes a 1.5-stall garage and multiple outbuildings, offering excellent storage and workshop potential. An additional older dwelling on the property presents an opportunity for completion or renovation—bring your vision and creativity to finish this bonus structure. This property offers room to roam, space for hobbies, animals, or recreational activities. The home and structures would benefit from cosmetic updates and maintenance to reach their full potential. Perfect for those seeking privacy, acreage, and the opportunity to customize their rural retreat. The property's generous land provides endless possibilities for gardening, livestock, equipment storage, or simply enjoying the peace of country life. Showings available by appointment. Property sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$730 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,064 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$334/yr (+$28/mo · 45.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,836
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$730
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,107
− Management
−$1,107
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$362
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$87
After-tax cash flow
$1,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mesabi East School District
NCES district ID
2791450
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$47,546
Composite
31.69/100
National rank
#5922
State rank
#240 of 301 in MN

Livability — Aurora

Score
71/100
State rank
#312
US rank
#6901

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,248

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Native American 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Slovak 5% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.93%
Current HPI
266.5875
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-19 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-19 Pending LSAR
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted RAOR
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted LSAR
  • 2026-02-11 Pending LSAR
  • 2026-02-11 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-11 Pending RAOR
  • 2025-11-25 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-09 Listed $124,900 RAOR
  • 2025-11-09 Listed $124,900 LSAR
  • 2025-11-09 Listed $124,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $730 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…