🏗️ New Construction
GATES Plan · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$161,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open floorplan
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-818/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (0.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 350 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 350 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.71%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,499
- List price
- $161,999
- Delta
- -2.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1926 Alcalde Cv | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (+1%) | 1mo | $160,999 | $133 | 93 |
| 10640 Fannin Way | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (+1%) | 2mo | $170,999 | $142 | 92 |
| 10607 Fannin Way | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (0%) | 2mo | $149,999 | $126 | 92 |
| 10643 Fannin Way | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (0%) | 4mo | $154,999 | $130 | 92 |
| 10627 Fannin Way | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (+1%) | 2mo | $160,999 | $133 | 91 |
| 10647 Fannin Way | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (+1%) | 3mo | $186,999 | $155 | 91 |
| 10739 Minita Crk | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (+1%) | 2mo | $182,999 | $151 | 67 |
| 10423 Bustillos Cv | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+14%) | 4mo | $190,999 | $141 | 61 |
| 10407 Bustillos Cv | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+14%) | 3mo | $189,999 | $140 | 60 |
| 10323 Bustillos Cv | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+14%) | 3mo | $197,999 | $146 | 60 |
| 10414 Pacaos Pl | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+14%) | 2mo | $198,999 | $147 | 59 |
| 1706 Santa Rita | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,045 (-12%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $86 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-31,947
- Equity at exit
- $25,422
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-33,322
- Equity at exit
- $14,742
Cash invested: $47,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78214
- Home prices YoY
- -4.6%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,405 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$894
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$213 /mo · $2,557/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $-68
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,625
- Closing costs
- $5,115
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10628 Aqueduct Crk San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1803 Marshall Cross Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 849 | $807 | $0.95 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1803 Marshall Cross San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $1,425 | $1.51 | 1d | 38 | 0.53mi |
| 1622 Saenz San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,475 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1119 Jordan Xing San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,795 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 12910 Clubhouse Blvd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 920 | $1,384 | $1.50 | 1d | 27 | 1.02mi |
| 1015 Catalonia Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1011 Catalonia Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1470 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1327 Mission Grande Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,081 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-18days on market $161,999 Active 350 DOM
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2026-06-17pricedays on market $161,999 Active 349 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $166,999 Active 348 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $166,999 Active 347 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $166,999 Active 345 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $166,999 Active 344 DOM
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2026-06-10price $166,999 Active 341 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $168,999 Active 341 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $168,999 Active 340 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $168,999 Active 339 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $168,999 Active 336 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $168,999 Active 335 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $168,999 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $169,999 Active 333 DOM
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2026-05-31pricedays on market $169,999 Active 332 DOM
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2025-09-01price $170,999 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
-
2025-08-23price $175,999 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
-
2025-07-30price $181,999 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
-
2025-07-25price $180,999 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
-
2025-07-19price $181,999 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
-
2025-07-03$186,999 Active 394-char remark
Show marketing remark (394 chars)
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,863
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,551
- − Property taxes
- −$2,557
- − Insurance
- −$852
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,349
- − Management
- −$1,349
- − Depreciation
- −$4,960
- Taxable loss
- −$3,756
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$901
- After-tax cash flow
- $84/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-level home is in good condition with a modern and well-maintained interior and exterior. It is ready for immediate occupancy and would benefit from minor exterior and interior touch-ups to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Interior touch-up painting — Enhances interior appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Interior touch-up painting — Enhances interior appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southside ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840920
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,526
- Composite
- 17.68/100
- National rank
- #9027
- State rank
- #771 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,118
- Household income
- $44,902
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 842.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 24% White 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 54%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.02%
- Current HPI
- 247.2716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-01 Price Changed $170,999 Zillow
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $175,999 Zillow
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $181,999 Zillow
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $180,999 Zillow
- 2025-07-19 Price Changed $181,999 Zillow
- 2025-07-03 Listed $186,999 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…