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GATES Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 37.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$161,999

GATES Plan · San Antonio, TX 78214
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · SingleFamily · 350 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open floorplan
  • En-suite bathroom

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANOWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETDIRECT ACCESS OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $161,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $170,499.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-818/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (0.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (13.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Southside ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #771 of 826 in TX (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 350 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $140,523 (13.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 350 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.71%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$170,499
List price
$161,999
Delta
-2.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1926 Alcalde Cv 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,208 (+1%) 1mo $160,999 $133 93
10640 Fannin Way 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,208 (+1%) 2mo $170,999 $142 92
10607 Fannin Way 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,192 (0%) 2mo $149,999 $126 92
10643 Fannin Way 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,192 (0%) 4mo $154,999 $130 92
10627 Fannin Way 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,208 (+1%) 2mo $160,999 $133 91
10647 Fannin Way 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,208 (+1%) 3mo $186,999 $155 91
10739 Minita Crk 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,208 (+1%) 2mo $182,999 $151 67
10423 Bustillos Cv 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,354 (+14%) 4mo $190,999 $141 61
10407 Bustillos Cv 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,354 (+14%) 3mo $189,999 $140 60
10323 Bustillos Cv 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,354 (+14%) 3mo $197,999 $146 60
10414 Pacaos Pl 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,354 (+14%) 2mo $198,999 $147 59
1706 Santa Rita 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,045 (-12%) 2mo $90,000 $86 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-31,947
Equity at exit
$25,422
10-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-33,322
Equity at exit
$14,742

Cash invested: $47,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78214

Home prices YoY
-4.6%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,405 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$894
Tax est. 1.5%
$213 /mo · $2,557/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$-68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,491
Max offer price $160,638
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,625
Closing costs
$5,115
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10628 Aqueduct Crk San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 43d 1 0.31mi
1803 Marshall Cross Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 849 $807 $0.95 16d 1 0.47mi
1803 Marshall Cross San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 942 $1,425 $1.51 1d 38 0.53mi
1622 Saenz San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,475 $1.14 21d 1 0.64mi
1119 Jordan Xing San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,795 $1.41 43d 1 0.82mi
12910 Clubhouse Blvd San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 920 $1,384 $1.50 1d 27 1.02mi
1015 Catalonia Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,600 $1.25 4d 1 1.06mi
1011 Catalonia Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1470 $1,700 $1.16 23d 1 1.07mi
1327 Mission Grande Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 945 $1,081 $1.14 3d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $161,999 Active 350 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $161,999 Active 349 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $166,999 Active 348 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $166,999 Active 347 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $166,999 Active 345 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $166,999 Active 344 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $166,999 Active 341 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $168,999 Active 341 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,999 Active 340 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $168,999 Active 339 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $168,999 Active 336 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $168,999 Active 335 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $168,999 Active 334 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,999 Active 333 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $169,999 Active 332 DOM
  16. 2025-09-01
    price $170,999 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.

  17. 2025-08-23
    price $175,999 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.

  18. 2025-07-30
    price $181,999 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.

  19. 2025-07-25
    price $180,999 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.

  20. 2025-07-19
    price $181,999 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.

  21. 2025-07-03
    listed $186,999 Active 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner's suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,863
− Mortgage interest
−$9,551
− Property taxes
−$2,557
− Insurance
−$852
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,349
− Management
−$1,349
− Depreciation
−$4,960
Taxable loss
−$3,756
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$901
After-tax cash flow
$84/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-level home is in good condition with a modern and well-maintained interior and exterior. It is ready for immediate occupancy and would benefit from minor exterior and interior touch-ups to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Interior touch-up painting — Enhances interior appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Interior touch-up painting — Enhances interior appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southside ISD
NCES district ID
4840920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,526
Composite
17.68/100
National rank
#9027
State rank
#771 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
22,118
Household income
$44,902
Rent vs Own
43.5% rent · 56.5% own
Severe rent burden
842.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 24% White 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 71%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 54%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.02%
Current HPI
247.2716
Rent YoY
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-01 Price Changed $170,999 Zillow
  • 2025-08-23 Price Changed $175,999 Zillow
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $181,999 Zillow
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $180,999 Zillow
  • 2025-07-19 Price Changed $181,999 Zillow
  • 2025-07-03 Listed $186,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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