220 Hillcrest Dr · Montevallo, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a beautiful 4 BR/2 full bath open floor plan. Split bedroom with spacious master suite. Covered rear patio. This home is perfect for entertaining and is 4 sides brick and all one level. Great lot that allows for morning sunrise from the covered rear patio.
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2018
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property access via curb and gutters and paved road; Located in the Lakes at Hidden Forest subdivision; Not in a flood plain
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available
- HOA & community: HOA with yearly fee of $225; HOA covers common grounds maintenance and utilities for common areas; Monthly garbage fee ($20)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with front entry; 2-car garage; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Electric water heater
- Home design: Single-family home (existing construction); 4-side brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Construction: 4-side brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch; Garden/patio area; Interior lot in a subdivision; Pond on property; Sidewalks and street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar and eating area; Pantry; Laminate countertops; Dishwasher (built-in); Disposal; Electric oven with self-cleaning; Electric stove; Refrigerator included; Some stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level (total of 4 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Separate shower in master; Tub/shower combo in secondary bath; Linen closet
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Electric cooling; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted and trey ceilings; French doors; Recessed lighting; Split bedroom floor plan; All window treatments remain; Electric fireplace with marble surround in the great room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup; Pull-down attic access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $271k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.7% in Montevallo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#217 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Montevallo Elementary School (math 29% / reading 49%, grade F, #257 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 749 students, 77% FRL); Montevallo Middle School (math 5% / reading 43%, grade F, #168 of 257 statewide, top 66%, 369 students, 78% FRL); Montevallo High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 506 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 26% district-wide (51 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Shelby County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 67% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $173k; list at $290k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.07%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $272,498
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Hillcrest Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,919 (0%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $151 | 99 |
| 240 Hillcrest Dr | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 1,928 (+0%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $130 | 87 |
| 321 Hidden Ct | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,868 (-3%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $145 | 82 |
| 29 Monte Tierra Trl | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 | 1,904 (-1%) | 8mo | $219,900 | $115 | 68 |
| 175 Hidden Trace Ct | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,828 (-5%) | 11mo | $232,000 | $127 | 62 |
| 30 Monte Tierra Trl | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,752 (-9%) | 2mo | $209,900 | $120 | 61 |
| 157 Hillcrest Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,664 (-13%) | 6mo | $211,000 | $127 | 61 |
| 143 Hidden Trace Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,739 (-9%) | 11mo | $265,000 | $152 | 59 |
| 2013 Hidden Forest Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,638 (-15%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $162 | 50 |
| 325 Union Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 2,164 (+13%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $141 | 43 |
| 332 Dogwood Trl | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,013 (+5%) | 12mo | $285,409 | $142 | 42 |
| 380 Union Loop | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,202 (+15%) | 3mo | $365,550 | $166 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-20,956
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $14,903
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35115
- Home prices YoY
- -19.3%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,708 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $829/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$19
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$569
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $575 | -5% $493 | +0% $411 | +5% $328 | +10% $246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $197 | -5% $304 | +0% $411 | +5% $518 | +10% $625 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $557 | -0.5pp $484 | base $411 | +0.5pp $335 | +1.0pp $259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 Hillcrest Dr Montevallo, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $4,200 | $2.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 281 Hillcrest Dr Montevallo, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,820 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 133 Hidden Trace Ct Montevallo, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,670 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 328 Hidden Ct Montevallo, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $1,850 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 21 Eddings Ln Alabaster, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1861 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 12d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 167 Revolutionary Way Montevallo, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2030 | $2,100 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 109 Star View Cir Alabaster, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,675 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $19 · $228/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-30Contingent
-
2026-04-25historical $289,900
-
2017-04-25soldstatus $173,335 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
This is a beautiful 4 BR/2 full bath open floor plan. Split bedroom with spacious master suite. Covered rear patio. This home is perfect for entertaining and is 4 sides brick and all one level. Great lot that allows for morning sunrise from the covered rear patio.
-
2017-04-04$173,335 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
This is a beautiful 4 BR/2 full bath open floor plan. Split bedroom with spacious master suite. Covered rear patio. This home is perfect for entertaining and is 4 sides brick and all one level. Great lot that allows for morning sunrise from the covered rear patio.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $829 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,189 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$360/yr (+$30/mo · 43.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,501
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$829
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,600
- − Management
- −$2,600
- − HOA
- −$228
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable income
- $122
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shelby County
- NCES district ID
- 0103030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,672
- Composite
- 39.29/100
- National rank
- #3995
- State rank
- #16 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montevallo
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #16530
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montevallo, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,911
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,024 people
- By 2030
- 249,868 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 272,778 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 326,049 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 335,870 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 15% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 21% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.55%
- Current HPI
- 207.2205
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+67.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-25 Coming Soon $289,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-04-25 Sold (MLS) $173,335 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-04-04 Listed $173,335 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…