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220 Hillcrest Dr
D+ Composite 48.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,900

220 Hillcrest Dr · Montevallo, AL 35115
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,919 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 2018 8,276 sqft lot Est $272k · 6% over $19/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a beautiful 4 BR/2 full bath open floor plan. Split bedroom with spacious master suite. Covered rear patio. This home is perfect for entertaining and is 4 sides brick and all one level. Great lot that allows for morning sunrise from the covered rear patio.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2018

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property access via curb and gutters and paved road; Located in the Lakes at Hidden Forest subdivision; Not in a flood plain
  • Financial info: Down payment assistance available
  • HOA & community: HOA with yearly fee of $225; HOA covers common grounds maintenance and utilities for common areas; Monthly garbage fee ($20)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with front entry; 2-car garage; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Single-family home (existing construction); 4-side brick exterior; Slab foundation
  • Construction: 4-side brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch; Garden/patio area; Interior lot in a subdivision; Pond on property; Sidewalks and street lights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar and eating area; Pantry; Laminate countertops; Dishwasher (built-in); Disposal; Electric oven with self-cleaning; Electric stove; Refrigerator included; Some stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level (total of 4 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Separate shower in master; Tub/shower combo in secondary bath; Linen closet
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Electric cooling; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Cathedral/vaulted and trey ceilings; French doors; Recessed lighting; Split bedroom floor plan; All window treatments remain; Electric fireplace with marble surround in the great room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level; Washer hookup and electric dryer hookup; Pull-down attic access

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $271k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.7% in Montevallo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#217 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Shelby County (suburban): math 30% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #16 of 129 in AL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Montevallo Elementary School (math 29% / reading 49%, grade F, #257 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 749 students, 77% FRL); Montevallo Middle School (math 5% / reading 43%, grade F, #168 of 257 statewide, top 66%, 369 students, 78% FRL); Montevallo High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 506 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 26% district-wide (51 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Shelby County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 987 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 67% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $173k; list at $290k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $270,844 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.07%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$272,498
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 Hillcrest Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,919 (0%) 1mo $290,000 $151 99
240 Hillcrest Dr 0.06mi 4/2.0 1,928 (+0%) 11mo $250,000 $130 87
321 Hidden Ct 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,868 (-3%) 1mo $270,000 $145 82
29 Monte Tierra Trl 0.47mi 4/2.5 1,904 (-1%) 8mo $219,900 $115 68
175 Hidden Trace Ct 0.30mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,828 (-5%) 11mo $232,000 $127 62
30 Monte Tierra Trl 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,752 (-9%) 2mo $209,900 $120 61
157 Hillcrest Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,664 (-13%) 6mo $211,000 $127 61
143 Hidden Trace Ct 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,739 (-9%) 11mo $265,000 $152 59
2013 Hidden Forest Ln 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,638 (-15%) 2mo $265,000 $162 50
325 Union Dr 0.65mi 4/2.5 2,164 (+13%) 4mo $305,000 $141 43
332 Dogwood Trl 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,013 (+5%) 12mo $285,409 $142 42
380 Union Loop 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,202 (+15%) 3mo $365,550 $166 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-20,956
Equity at exit
$43,225
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$14,903
Equity at exit
$25,065

Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35115

Home prices YoY
-19.3%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,708 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,520
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $829/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$19
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$569
Net cashflow
$411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,189
Max offer price $289,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $575 -5% $493 +0% $411 +5% $328 +10% $246
Rent -10% $197 -5% $304 +0% $411 +5% $518 +10% $625
Rate -1.0pp $557 -0.5pp $484 base $411 +0.5pp $335 +1.0pp $259

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,475
Closing costs
$8,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
225 Hillcrest Dr Montevallo, AL 3.0 2.0 2050 $4,200 $2.05 3d 1 0.06mi
281 Hillcrest Dr Montevallo, AL 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,820 $1.20 45d 1 0.19mi
133 Hidden Trace Ct Montevallo, AL 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,670 $1.17 12d 1 0.21mi
328 Hidden Ct Montevallo, AL 4.0 2.0 1726 $1,850 $1.07 3d 1 0.24mi
21 Eddings Ln Alabaster, AL 5.0 2.0 1861 $2,000 $1.07 12d 1 0.40mi
167 Revolutionary Way Montevallo, AL 4.0 2.0 2030 $2,100 $1.03 4d 1 0.65mi
109 Star View Cir Alabaster, AL 3.0 2.0 1601 $1,675 $1.05 25d 1 1.16mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$19 · $228/yr

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    listed Contingent
  2. 2026-04-25
    historical $289,900
  3. 2017-04-25
    soldstatus $173,335 264-char remark
    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    This is a beautiful 4 BR/2 full bath open floor plan. Split bedroom with spacious master suite. Covered rear patio. This home is perfect for entertaining and is 4 sides brick and all one level. Great lot that allows for morning sunrise from the covered rear patio.

  4. 2017-04-04
    listed $173,335 264-char remark
    Show marketing remark (264 chars)

    This is a beautiful 4 BR/2 full bath open floor plan. Split bedroom with spacious master suite. Covered rear patio. This home is perfect for entertaining and is 4 sides brick and all one level. Great lot that allows for morning sunrise from the covered rear patio.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$829 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$360/yr (+$30/mo · 43.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,501
− Mortgage interest
−$16,239
− Property taxes
−$829
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,600
− Management
−$2,600
− HOA
−$228
− Depreciation
−$8,433
Taxable income
$122
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$29
After-tax cash flow
$4,897/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shelby County
NCES district ID
0103030
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$66,672
Composite
39.29/100
National rank
#3995
State rank
#16 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montevallo

Score
62/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#16530

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montevallo, AL
Population (ZIP)
16,911

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
237,024 people
By 2030
249,868 · +5.4%
By 2040
272,778 · +15.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +22.8%
By 2075
326,049 · +37.6%
By 2100
335,870 · +41.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 15% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 21% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.0% · R 69.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+12.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.55%
Current HPI
207.2205
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Coming Soon $289,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2017-04-25 Sold (MLS) $173,335 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2017-04-04 Listed $173,335 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…