3589 S Ocean Blvd #30 · South Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$294,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated loft-style lanai residence at The Mayfair offering privacy and resort-style Palm Beach living. Ideally located near the lobby with no residence above, this light-filled home features a stunning renovated modern kitchen, in-unit washer & dryer, spacious living areas, and serene views of the Japanese-style lagoon creating a peaceful tropical retreat. The first-floor bathroom offers an opportunity for your own personal touch. The Mayfair is a premier ocean-to-Intracoastal community with private beach access, oceanfront sundeck, two pools, fitness center, sauna, clubhouse, kayak & paddleboard storage, bike storage, car wash area, and lush tropical grounds near Ea
Key facts
- Oceanfront sundeck
- Private beach access
- In-unit washer dryer
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with restrictions (cats OK; breed, size, number limits and other restrictions may apply)
- HOA & community: Association: Ocean Breeze; Monthly HOA fee; Community amenities include beach access, clubhouse, car wash area, elevator(s), fitness center, management, picnic area, parking, pool, sauna, on-site manager, trash chute, bike storage, community room with kitchen facilities, lobby, maintained community, sidewalks, and recreation facilities; HOA fee covers cable TV, insurance, grounds maintenance, pest control, security, sewer, trash, water, and common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One open parking space
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Fire alarm; Smoke detectors; Security lights; Security system; Attended lobby
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (three-phase); Cable connected
- Home design: Condominium; One and one-half levels; Resale property; Faces East
- Construction: Built in CBS construction; Built-up roof; Nine-story building
- Exterior features: Deck; Sidewalks; Deeded beach access; Ocean access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Electric cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; High ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); French doors; Blinds, storm windows, and shutters
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry located on lower level/inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $294k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-642 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (38.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $294k).
- Recommended offer: $181k (38.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#340 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lantana Elementary School (math 30% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 484 students, 79% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 447 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $294k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.13%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.12% appreciation · 3.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $32,624
- Equity at exit
- $168,662
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $140,713
- Equity at exit
- $292,801
Cash invested: $82,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33480
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 447
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,237 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,542
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,839/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$955
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$680
- Net cashflow
- $-642
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,500
- Closing costs
- $8,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3581 S Ocean Blvd Unit 2B Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 940 | $2,900 | $3.09 | 17d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3605 S Ocean Blvd #319 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $4,000 | $3.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3605 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $3,350 | $2.88 | 24d | 2 | 0.13mi |
| 3580 S Ocean Blvd Unit 6B Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1013 | $2,500 | $2.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4201 S Ocean Blvd Unit K2 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 714 | $2,299 | $3.22 | 8d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #612 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $4,700 | $4.78 | 8d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #216 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $2,550 | $2.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #208 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $2,750 | $2.80 | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #309 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 785 | $2,300 | $2.93 | 5d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #309 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 785 | $2,400 | $3.06 | 5d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #310 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 785 | $2,100 | $2.68 | 8d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd #608 Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $2,950 | $3.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3540 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $4,000 | $4.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3500 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,950 | $3.36 | 1d | 3 | 0.31mi |
| 3475 S Ocean Blvd #3110 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 891 | $2,600 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3475 S Ocean Blvd #6110 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 891 | $3,500 | $3.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1236 | $2,750 | $2.22 | 8d | 9 | 0.47mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1236 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 3d | 10 | 0.47mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd #1050 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $2,950 | $3.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd #8120 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $3,500 | $3.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd #3280 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $2,500 | $2.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3450 S Ocean Blvd #4270 Palm Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $3,250 | $3.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 301 Croton Ave #302 Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,900 | $2.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 300 Croton Ave #102 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1039 | $3,250 | $3.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 300 Croton Ave Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1039 | $3,000 | $2.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 231 E Lantana Rd #203 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,400 | $2.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 107 Waterway Dr S Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,750 | $2.17 | 8d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 896 N Federal Hwy Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $2,700 | $2.63 | 24d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 896 N Federal Hwy Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $2,925 | $2.85 | 8d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 720 N Dixie Hwy #202 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1125 | $2,000 | $1.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 200 Waterway Dr S #202 Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $1,850 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 200 Croton Ave Lantana, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $1,675 | $2.41 | 15d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 315 N Lake Dr Unit 6 Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $1,495 | $2.53 | 18d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 119 Sunrise Ave Unit A Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $2,400 | $4.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 896 N Federal Hwy #128 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $3,200 | $3.12 | 12d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 115 E Lantana Rd Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,600 | $2.67 | 11d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 303 Waterway Dr S #303 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 802 W Windward Way #304 Lantana, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $2,700 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 300 Waterway Dr S #308 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 806 | $2,200 | $2.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1516 S Lakeside Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 767 | $1,650 | $2.15 | 14d | 2 | 0.80mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $955 · $11,460/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $294,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $294,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $294,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $294,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $294,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $294,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $294,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $294,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $294,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $294,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$294,000 Active
-
2026-03-04historical
-
2026-01-21$299,000 Active
-
2026-01-02historical
-
2025-09-11$289,000 Active
-
2024-10-08soldstatus $150,000
-
1980-12-01soldstatus $79,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,839 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,440 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- +$601/yr (+$50/mo · 32.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,848
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,469
- − Property taxes
- −$1,839
- − Insurance
- −$6,589
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,108
- − Management
- −$3,108
- − HOA
- −$11,460
- − Depreciation
- −$8,553
- Taxable loss
- −$12,277
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,946
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Palm Beach
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #5907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,924
- Household income
- $150,633
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 213.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.12%
- Current HPI
- 464.2769
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.92%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+269.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $294,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-04 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $299,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-02 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-09-11 Listed $289,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1980-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $79,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,839 · -54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…