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16920 6th St
B Composite 72.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$84,500

16920 6th St · Norman, MI 49689
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily · 22 Days on market
Built 1935 6,485 sqft lot $75/sqft · 52% below area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable opportunity near beautiful Crystal Lake and just 20 minutes from Caberfae Peaks! Investors, flippers, and buyers looking to build equity will appreciate the potential this property offers. Livable and comfortable as-is, with plenty of opportunity for updates and improvements to maximize value. Main-floor primary bedroom and laundry offer convenient living, while additional features include a 36-foot carport with workshop space, detached garage with loft storage, perennial gardens, cozy sunroom, and a vintage 1963 Nomad camper guest bunkhouse. Seller transparency: prior transactions did not close due to financing/property considerations including a fence encroachment, lower ceiling heights impacting lender square footage calculations, and a leaning wall in the older garage structure. A previous home inspection also identified electrical items common in homes of this age. Great chance for the right buyer to add value and make it shine.

Key facts

  • Perennial gardens
  • Cozy sunroom
  • 6,485 sq ft lot

Tags

MAIN-FLOOR PRIMARY BEDROOMCOZY SUNROOMPERENNIAL GARDENS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking; Carport; Has garage (not attached)
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Other architectural style
  • Construction: Built in 1935; Vinyl siding; Metal and shingle roof; Partial/Michigan crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.15 acres; Well water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Wall furnace
  • Interior features: Guest quarters; LP tank (rented); Total of 4 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kaleva Norman Dickson School District (rural): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #423 of 540 in MI (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Manistee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($584 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Manistee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 22 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,232 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.30%
Cash-on-cash
14.30%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,823
List price
$84,500
Delta
-52.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17310 Spring St 0.40mi 2/1.0 1,100 (-2%) 10mo $209,900 $191 70
17093 Second St 0.31mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (-5%) 19mo $135,000 $127 55
1396 S Baker Rd 0.56mi 2/1.5 960 (-14%) 23mo $150,000 $156 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.8%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$63,944
Equity at exit
$76,124
10-year hold
IRR
30.0%
Equity multiple
8.36×
Total profit
$174,101
Equity at exit
$164,165

Cash invested: $23,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49689

Home prices YoY
12.8%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$985 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$443
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $209/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $628
Max offer price $84,500
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $330 -5% $306 +0% $282 +5% $258 +10% $234
Rent -10% $204 -5% $243 +0% $282 +5% $321 +10% $360
Rate -1.0pp $325 -0.5pp $304 base $282 +0.5pp $260 +1.0pp $238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,125
Closing costs
$2,535
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,500 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,500 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,500 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,500 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,500 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,500 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,500 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,500 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,500 Active 10 DOM
    Show marketing remark (958 chars)

    Affordable opportunity near beautiful Crystal Lake and just 20 minutes from Caberfae Peaks! Investors, flippers, and buyers looking to build equity will appreciate the potential this property offers. Livable and comfortable as-is, with plenty of opportunity for updates and improvements to maximize value. Main-floor primary bedroom and laundry offer convenient living, while additional features include a 36-foot carport with workshop space, detached garage with loft storage, perennial gardens, cozy sunroom, and a vintage 1963 Nomad camper guest bunkhouse. Seller transparency: prior transactions did not close due to financing/property considerations including a fence encroachment, lower ceiling heights impacting lender square footage calculations, and a leaning wall in the older garage structure. A previous home inspection also identified electrical items common in homes of this age. Great chance for the right buyer to add value and make it shine.

  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,500 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,500 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,500 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,500 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,500 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,500 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    price $84,500 941-char remark
  17. 2026-05-20
    price $84,500 941-char remark
  18. 2026-05-20
    price $84,500
  19. 2026-05-05
    price $89,000 941-char remark
  20. 2026-05-04
    price $89,000 941-char remark
  21. 2026-05-04
    price $89,000
  22. 2026-04-30
    status Active 941-char remark
  23. 2026-04-30
    status Active 941-char remark
  24. 2026-04-30
    status Active
  25. 2026-04-13
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 941-char remark
  26. 2026-04-13
    historical Active Under Contract 941-char remark
  27. 2026-04-13
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
  28. 2026-04-09
    price $93,000 941-char remark
  29. 2026-04-08
    price $93,000 941-char remark
  30. 2026-04-08
    price $93,000
  31. 2026-03-31
    status Active 941-char remark
  32. 2026-03-27
    historical 941-char remark
  33. 2026-03-03
    status Active 941-char remark
  34. 2026-03-03
    status Active 941-char remark
  35. 2026-03-03
    status Active
  36. 2026-02-25
    historical
  37. 2026-02-25
    historical 941-char remark
  38. 2025-11-01
    status Active 941-char remark
  39. 2025-11-01
    status Active 941-char remark
  40. 2025-11-01
    status Active
  41. 2025-10-26
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl 941-char remark
  42. 2025-10-26
    historical Active Under Contract 941-char remark
  43. 2025-10-26
    historical Active - Contingent
  44. 2025-10-21
    status Active 941-char remark
  45. 2025-10-21
    status Active 941-char remark
  46. 2025-10-21
    status Active
  47. 2025-10-17
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl 941-char remark
  48. 2025-10-17
    historical Active Under Contract 941-char remark
  49. 2025-10-17
    historical Active - Contingent
  50. 2025-10-07
    listed $95,000 Active 941-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$209 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$755 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$546/yr (+$46/mo · 261.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,814
− Mortgage interest
−$4,733
− Property taxes
−$209
− Insurance
−$422
− Repairs & maintenance
−$945
− Management
−$945
− Depreciation
−$2,458
Taxable income
$2,101
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$504
After-tax cash flow
$2,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kaleva Norman Dickson School District
NCES district ID
2620010
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,530
Composite
21.54/100
National rank
#8314
State rank
#423 of 540 in MI

Livability — Norman

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Wellston, MI
Population (ZIP)
1,791

Population outlook (Manistee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,785 people
By 2030
23,227 · -2.3%
By 2040
21,795 · -8.4%
By 2050
20,653 · -13.2%
By 2075
18,833 · -20.8%
By 2100
15,491 · -34.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Manistee

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.2% · R 57.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.3pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+5.9 2008: D+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 31.65%
Current HPI
279.8512
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.6% since first listed
53 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-06-08 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $84,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $84,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $84,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $84,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $84,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $84,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $89,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $93,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $93,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $93,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-01 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-01 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-26 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-26 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-21 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-21 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-12 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-07-07 Price Changed $89,500 REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-07 Price Changed $89,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-06-22 Price Changed $92,500 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-22 Price Changed $92,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-06-21 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-21 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-06-18 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-18 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-06-12 Listed $89,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-12 Listed $94,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-06-12 Listed $94,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $209 · -64.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…