14650 NE 32nd St Unit A-11 · Bellevue, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bright, spacious, and beautifully refreshed, this 684 sq. ft. 1-bed/1-bath condo in Bellevue’s sought-after Overlake neighborhood blends comfort, functionality, and an unbeatable location. Newer carpet flows through the open living and dining areas, creating a warm, inviting feel, while the large private balcony extends your living space outdoors and welcomes in abundant natural light. The updated kitchen offers great flow for everyday living and entertaining alike. The generously sized bedroom features a walk-in closet, and the home is complemented by a full bathroom and an oversized entry storage closet—perfect for keeping life organized. Community amenities include a seasonal
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Walk-in closet
- Full bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-467 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (36.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (36.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 1.1% in Bellevue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#15 in WA, #314 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Bellevue School District (urban): math 73% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #7 of 291 in WA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.89%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $332,220
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -32.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -37.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.14×
- Total profit
- $-72,007
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -88.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.96×
- Total profit
- $-123,360
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98007
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,114 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$669
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-467
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-340 | -5% $-403 | +0% $-467 | +5% $-531 | +10% $-594 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-634 | -5% $-550 | +0% $-467 | +5% $-383 | +10% $-300 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-354 | -0.5pp $-410 | base $-467 | +0.5pp $-525 | +1.0pp $-585 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14665 NE 34th St Unit B21 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $1,990 | $2.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 14700 NE 35th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 924 | $2,195 | $2.37 | 0d | 19 | 0.12mi |
| 14620 NE 31st St Unit E304 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,995 | $2.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 14620 NE 31st St Unit E-305 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,995 | $2.93 | 18d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 14620 NE 31st St Unit F205 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $2,000 | $2.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 14620 NE 31st St Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,892 | $2.78 | 45d | 2 | 0.15mi |
| 3615 147th Pl NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $2,215 | $2.57 | 0d | 10 | 0.22mi |
| 14629 NE 37th Pl Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $2,029 | $2.76 | 0d | 11 | 0.26mi |
| 14710 NE 40th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $2,253 | $2.31 | 0d | 23 | 0.43mi |
| 2808 Calder Ave NE Redmond, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $3,004 | $3.44 | 0d | 41 | 0.51mi |
| 2690 152nd Ave NE Redmond, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1111 | $2,658 | $2.39 | 0d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 15301 NE Turing St Redmond, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $2,878 | $3.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 15551 NE Turing St Redmond, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $2,722 | $3.14 | 0d | 34 | 0.62mi |
| 2710 Tagore Ave NE Redmond, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 856 | $1,682 | $1.96 | 0d | 10 | 0.63mi |
| 4277 148th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $2,245 | $2.87 | 0d | 10 | 0.65mi |
| 2651 156th Ave NE Redmond, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $3,012 | $3.32 | 0d | 14 | 0.67mi |
| 15602 NE 40th St Redmond, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $2,738 | $2.93 | 0d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 15606 NE 40th St Bldg Z Redmond, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $3,120 | $4.70 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 15350 Bel Red Rd Redmond, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 824 | $3,097 | $3.76 | 0d | 10 | 0.85mi |
| 15566 NE 22 Pl #910 Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $1,660 | $2.00 | 45d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 2170 Bel-Red Rd Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $2,896 | $3.34 | 0d | 20 | 0.85mi |
| 15606 NE 40th St Redmond, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 964 | $2,047 | $2.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2030 155th Pl NE Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 830 | $2,783 | $3.35 | 0d | 55 | 0.91mi |
| 4850 156th Ave NE Redmond, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,266 | $2.67 | 0d | 17 | 1.03mi |
| 15207 NE 16th Pl Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 704 | $1,918 | $2.72 | 0d | 25 | 1.18mi |
| 16539 NE 35th Ct Redmond, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,979 | $2.42 | 0d | 11 | 1.18mi |
| 1616 156th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 445 | $1,994 | $4.48 | 14d | 10 | 1.24mi |
| 1400 154th Ave NE #4303 Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,850 | $2.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15750 NE 15th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 451 | $1,736 | $3.84 | 4d | 6 | 1.31mi |
| 15309 NE 13th Pl Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 726 | $2,082 | $2.87 | 0d | 18 | 1.31mi |
| 13238 NE Spring Blvd Bellevue, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 696 | $2,948 | $4.23 | 0d | 21 | 1.39mi |
| 13808 NE 12th St Bellevue, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $2,067 | $2.40 | 0d | 8 | 1.43mi |
| 1955 129th Ave NE Bellevue, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1354 | $2,531 | $1.87 | 0d | 14 | 1.46mi |
| 13166 NE 15th St Bellevue, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 959 | $3,167 | $3.30 | 3d | 49 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $669 · $8,028/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $225,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $225,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Active
-
2026-04-05status Pending
-
2026-03-12status Active
-
2026-02-04status Pending
-
2026-01-26$225,000 Active
-
2022-02-18soldstatus $315,000 Closed
-
2022-02-18soldstatus $314,900
-
2021-11-17status Pending
-
2021-11-11$285,000 Active
-
1984-09-14soldstatus $34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,334 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,334 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,334
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,030
- − Management
- −$2,030
- − HOA
- −$8,028
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$9,325
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,366/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bellevue School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300390
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $92,676
- Composite
- 69.36/100
- National rank
- #622
- State rank
- #7 of 291 in WA
Livability — Bellevue
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #314
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellevue, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 156,686
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,692
- Household income
- $131,109
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1260.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 46% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Other Indo-European 16% Other Asian/Pacific 12% Chinese 9%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -886.99%
- Current HPI
- 424.8727
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.74%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+552.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-05 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-26 Listed $225,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $314,900 Public Records
- 2022-02-18 Sold (MLS) $315,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-17 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-11 Listed $285,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,334 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…