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5125 Halifax Rd
D+ Composite 47.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$181,500

5125 Halifax Rd · Halifax, VA 24558
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,539 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1961 0.48 ac lot $118/sqft · 15% below area Est $220k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located directly across from Halifax Country Club! This property features beautiful hardwood floors, an inground pool, and sits on a spacious half-acre lot. With classic character and great bones, this home offers tons of potential to make it your own. Enjoy the peaceful setting, convenient location, and views of the golf course just across the street. Don't miss the opportunity to own a home in this desirable area with room to update and add value!

Key facts

  • Half-acre lot
  • Inground pool
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSINGROUND POOLHALF-ACRE LOTVIEWS OF THE GOLF COURSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $182k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($156/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (24.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#205 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Halifax County Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #116 of 131 in VA (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Halifax County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $182k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,044 (24.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.31%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$220,082
List price
$181,500
Delta
-17.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-28,676
Equity at exit
$27,062
10-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-24,282
Equity at exit
$15,693

Cash invested: $50,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24558

Home prices YoY
-7.3%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,370 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$952
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $507/yr
Insurance
$76
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,354
Max offer price $181,500
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,375
Closing costs
$5,445
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $181,500 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $181,500 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $181,500 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $181,500 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $181,500 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $181,500 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $181,500 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $181,500 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $181,500 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $181,500 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $181,500 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $181,500 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $181,500 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $181,500 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $181,500 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    price $181,500 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located directly across from Halifax Country Club! This property features beautiful hardwood floors, an inground pool, and sits on a spacious half-acre lot. With classic character and great bones, this home offers tons of potential to make it your own. Enjoy the peaceful setting, convenient location, and views of the golf course just across the street. Don't miss the opportunity to own a home in this desirable area with room to update and add value!

  17. 2026-05-01
    price $181,500 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located directly across from Halifax Country Club! This property features beautiful hardwood floors, an inground pool, and sits on a spacious half-acre lot. With classic character and great bones, this home offers tons of potential to make it your own. Enjoy the peaceful setting, convenient location, and views of the golf course just across the street. Don't miss the opportunity to own a home in this desirable area with room to update and add value!

  18. 2026-04-04
    listed $181,000 Active 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located directly across from Halifax Country Club! This property features beautiful hardwood floors, an inground pool, and sits on a spacious half-acre lot. With classic character and great bones, this home offers tons of potential to make it your own. Enjoy the peaceful setting, convenient location, and views of the golf course just across the street. Don't miss the opportunity to own a home in this desirable area with room to update and add value!

  19. 2026-04-04
    listed $181,000 Active 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located directly across from Halifax Country Club! This property features beautiful hardwood floors, an inground pool, and sits on a spacious half-acre lot. With classic character and great bones, this home offers tons of potential to make it your own. Enjoy the peaceful setting, convenient location, and views of the golf course just across the street. Don't miss the opportunity to own a home in this desirable area with room to update and add value!

  20. 2025-11-12
    price $189,000
  21. 2025-11-12
    price $189,000
  22. 2025-09-09
    price $189,900
  23. 2025-09-09
    price $189,900
  24. 2025-08-15
    price $199,000
  25. 2025-08-14
    price $199,000
  26. 2025-08-06
    price $215,000
  27. 2025-08-06
    price $215,000
  28. 2025-07-26
    listed $225,000 Active
  29. 2025-07-25
    listed $225,000 Active
  30. 1998-11-30
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$507 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,488 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$982/yr (+$82/mo · 193.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,445
− Mortgage interest
−$10,167
− Property taxes
−$507
− Insurance
−$908
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,316
− Management
−$1,316
− Depreciation
−$5,280
Taxable loss
−$3,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$731
After-tax cash flow
$887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Halifax County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101770
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -51.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,137
Composite
36.36/100
National rank
#4687
State rank
#116 of 131 in VA

Livability — Halifax

Score
72/100
State rank
#205
US rank
#6363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Halifax, VA
Population (ZIP)
6,044

Population outlook (Halifax County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,892 people
By 2030
31,438 · -4.4%
By 2040
28,350 · -13.8%
By 2050
25,553 · -22.3%
By 2075
20,217 · -38.5%
By 2100
14,645 · -55.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 33% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Halifax

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 39.1% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.2pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.54%
Current HPI
198.1694
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $181,500 SPLLAR
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $181,500 DRRAR
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $181,000 SPLLAR
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $181,000 DRRAR
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $189,000 SPLLAR
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $189,000 DRRAR
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $189,900 SPLLAR
  • 2025-09-09 Price Changed $189,900 DRRAR
  • 2025-08-15 Price Changed $199,000 DRRAR
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $199,000 SPLLAR
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $215,000 SPLLAR
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $215,000 DRRAR
  • 2025-07-26 Listed $225,000 DRRAR
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $225,000 SPLLAR
  • 1998-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $507 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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