8401 Independence Ave · Clam Lake, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Dining area
- Classic wood siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $124k).
- Recommended offer: $120k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cadillac Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #366 of 1,397 statewide, top 26%, 606 students, 75% FRL); Mackinaw Trail Middle School (math 47% / reading 50%, grade C-, #133 of 493 statewide, top 28%, 750 students, 67% FRL); Cadillac Senior High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 907 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $854 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $124k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.34%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,986
- List price
- $123,500
- Delta
- -22.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8285 Liberty Ln Lot : 103 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+14%) | 12mo | $149,900 | $134 | 53 |
| 8285 Liberty Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+14%) | 12mo | $149,900 | $134 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,082
- Equity at exit
- $18,414
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $23,311
- Equity at exit
- $10,678
Cash invested: $34,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49601
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,325 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$648
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $601/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $368 | -5% $333 | +0% $298 | +5% $263 | +10% $228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $193 | -5% $246 | +0% $298 | +5% $350 | +10% $403 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $360 | -0.5pp $329 | base $298 | +0.5pp $266 | +1.0pp $233 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,875
- Closing costs
- $3,705
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-05-13price $123,500 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-05-13price $123,500 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-05-07price $126,500 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-05-06price $126,500 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-29price $129,500 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-29price $129,500 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-22price $132,000 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-22price $132,000 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-15price $135,000 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-15price $135,000 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-08price $140,000 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-04-08price $140,000 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-03-31$145,000 Active 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
-
2026-03-31$145,000 Active 406-char remark
Show marketing remark (406 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cadillac with 980 sqft of comfortable living space. Featuring a spacious living room and functional kitchen, perfect for everyday living. Cozy bedrooms provide a peaceful retreat, and the dining area is ideal for family meals. The exterior showcases classic wood siding and a welcoming street frontage. Conveniently located near schools and shopping. Property sold AS-IS.
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2026-03-18historical
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2026-03-18historical
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2026-03-05price $185,900
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2026-03-04price $185,900
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2026-03-04price $185,900
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2026-01-06price $145,900
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2026-01-05price $145,900
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2026-01-05price $145,900
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2025-11-28$167,000 Active
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2025-11-25$167,000 Active
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2022-01-11soldstatus $75,000
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2022-01-11soldstatus $75,000
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2022-01-11soldstatus $75,000
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2021-10-12$79,900
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2021-10-12$79,900
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2016-04-04soldstatus $13,100
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2016-04-04soldstatus $13,100
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2016-03-31soldstatus $13,100
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2016-03-01$15,000
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2016-03-01$15,000
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2005-11-02soldstatus $45,000
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2000-09-15soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $601 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,251 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$651/yr (+$54/mo · 108.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,905
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,918
- − Property taxes
- −$601
- − Insurance
- −$618
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,272
- − Management
- −$1,272
- − Depreciation
- −$3,593
- Taxable income
- $1,631
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$392
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,183/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cadillac Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2607590
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,543
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3562
- State rank
- #120 of 540 in MI
Livability — Clam Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,121
Population outlook (Wexford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,399 people
- By 2030
- 31,692 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 29,789 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 27,473 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 21,822 · -32.6%
- By 2100
- 15,237 · -53.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wexford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+34.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.43%
- Current HPI
- 344.1577
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+233.8% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $123,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $123,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $126,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $126,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $129,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $129,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $132,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $132,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $185,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $185,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $185,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $145,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $145,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $145,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-11-28 Listed $167,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $167,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-11 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-11 Sold (MLS) $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-10-12 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-10-12 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-04 Sold (MLS) $13,100 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-04 Sold (MLS) $13,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $13,100 Public Records
- 2016-03-01 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-03-01 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2000-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $601 · -49.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…