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513 3rd St
C+ Composite 62.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

513 3rd St · Camanche, IA 52730
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 472 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1940 8,712 sqft lot $138/sqft · 29% above area Est $50k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This ranch style home is ready for you to make your mark! Whether you are looking for a project home, investment or your next primary residence, this home has tons of potential for all who are interested! The home sells in AS IS - WHERE IS condition. Call today and set up your showing today!

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 2.6% in Camanche — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#366 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Camanche Community School District (town): math 60% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #203 of 289 in IA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Camanche Elementary (math 72% / reading 62%, grade B+, #273 of 616 statewide, top 51%, 394 students, 39% FRL); Camanche Middle School (math 59% / reading 69%, grade B+, #166 of 246 statewide, top 68%, 282 students, 45% FRL); Camanche High School (math 56% / reading 70%, grade B-, #241 of 336 statewide, top 72%, 319 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clinton County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 226% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $65k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.44%
Cash-on-cash
18.37%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,283
List price
$64,900
Delta
29.07%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
513 3rd St 0.00mi 1/0.5 472 (0%) 18mo $21,500 $46 83

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$7,198
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$29,071
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52730

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$887 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $660/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$186
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $535
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $315 -5% $297 +0% $278 +5% $260 +10% $241
Rent -10% $208 -5% $243 +0% $278 +5% $313 +10% $348
Rate -1.0pp $311 -0.5pp $295 base $278 +0.5pp $261 +1.0pp $244

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    historical
  2. 2026-02-14
    price
  3. 2026-01-17
    price
  4. 2026-01-16
    status Active
  5. 2026-01-14
    historical
  6. 2026-01-06
    historical
  7. 2025-12-12
    listed Active
  8. 2024-12-18
    soldstatus $21,500 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    This ranch style home is ready for you to make your mark! Whether you are looking for a project home, investment or your next primary residence, this home has tons of potential for all who are interested! The home sells in AS IS - WHERE IS condition. Call today and set up your showing today!

  9. 2024-12-18
    soldstatus $21,500 Closed 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    This ranch style home is ready for you to make your mark! Whether you are looking for a project home, investment or your next primary residence, this home has tons of potential for all who are interested! The home sells in AS IS - WHERE IS condition. Call today and set up your showing today!

  10. 2024-12-10
    status Pending 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    This ranch style home is ready for you to make your mark! Whether you are looking for a project home, investment or your next primary residence, this home has tons of potential for all who are interested! The home sells in AS IS - WHERE IS condition. Call today and set up your showing today!

  11. 2024-12-09
    listed $19,900 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    This ranch style home is ready for you to make your mark! Whether you are looking for a project home, investment or your next primary residence, this home has tons of potential for all who are interested! The home sells in AS IS - WHERE IS condition. Call today and set up your showing today!

  12. 2024-12-09
    listed $19,900 Active 292-char remark
    Show marketing remark (292 chars)

    This ranch style home is ready for you to make your mark! Whether you are looking for a project home, investment or your next primary residence, this home has tons of potential for all who are interested! The home sells in AS IS - WHERE IS condition. Call today and set up your showing today!

  13. 2024-06-12
    soldstatus $20,500 Closed
  14. 2024-06-12
    soldstatus $20,500
  15. 2024-05-17
    status Pending
  16. 2024-05-14
    listed $14,000 Active
  17. 2024-05-14
    listed $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$660 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$839 · $70/mo
Expected delta
+$179/yr (+$15/mo · 27.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,641
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$660
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$851
− Management
−$851
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$2,431
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$583
After-tax cash flow
$2,755/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camanche Community School District
NCES district ID
1906060
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$52,982
Composite
54.65/100
National rank
#1331
State rank
#203 of 289 in IA

Livability — Camanche

Score
70/100
State rank
#366
US rank
#7649

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camanche, IA
Population (ZIP)
4,993

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,817 people
By 2030
43,090 · -3.9%
By 2040
39,513 · -11.8%
By 2050
36,209 · -19.2%
By 2075
31,888 · -28.8%
By 2100
30,382 · -32.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-41.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+10.3 2016: R+5.1 2012: D+22.9 2008: D+23.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.19%
Current HPI
215.2008
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+53.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-17 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-12 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-18 Sold (MLS) $21,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-18 Sold (MLS) $21,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-10 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-09 Listed $19,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-09 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-12 Sold (MLS) $20,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-12 Sold (MLS) $20,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-17 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-14 Listed $14,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-14 Listed $14,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $660 · +107.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…