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1202 Garth Dr
D Composite 44.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0

$135,000

1202 Garth Dr · Killeen, TX 76541
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,189 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1958 7,209 sqft lot Est $140k · at est. ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity! This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is tenant-occupied and currently generating $1,200 per month in rental income. Professionally managed by MCG Homestead Rentals and Sales, this property offers an excellent opportunity for investors seeking an income-producing asset. The home features spacious living areas filled with natural light, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere. Recent updates completed in 2025 include a brand-new roof and new foundation in 2025, providing added value and peace of mind for years to come. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or purchase a turnkey rental property, this home offers steady income potential and professiona

Key facts

  • Tenant occupied
  • Brand new roof
  • 7,209 sq ft lot

Tags

TENANT OCCUPIEDGENERATING RENTAL INCOMEPROFESSIONALLY MANAGEDBRAND NEW ROOFINCOME PRODUCING ASSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered (lease expiration: 2026-12-31)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: Main; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle/composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built (source: Assessor)
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; City lot; Less than quarter acre; Asphalt road frontage; No notable water features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric, one unit)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/dining combo
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in utility room; Electric dryer hookup; Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-596/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (6.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (14.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Killeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#853 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime D-.
  • Killeen ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #524 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Killeen H S (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 2,076 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 47% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
  • Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,025 (14.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.58%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,302
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
512 Kern Rd 0.09mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,151 (-3%) 7mo $138,800 $121 79
807 Cloud St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (-2%) 3mo $90,000 $78 69
1302 Garth Dr 0.02mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,063 (-11%) 23mo $125,000 $118 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.26% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$4,560
Equity at exit
$55,167
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$23,440
Equity at exit
$80,942

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76541

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Rents YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,330/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$-50

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,213
Max offer price $126,230
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $27 -5% $-11 +0% $-50 +5% $-88 +10% $-126
Rent -10% $-141 -5% $-95 +0% $-50 +5% $-4 +10% $41
Rate -1.0pp $18 -0.5pp $-15 base $-50 +0.5pp $-85 +1.0pp $-120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1111 N College St Unit B Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1235 $995 $0.81 15d 1 0.11mi
905 N Gilmer St Killeen, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,395 $1.51 15d 5 0.21mi
505 W Church Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,100 $0.95 15d 1 0.25mi
514 McArthur Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1084 $995 $0.92 45d 1 0.34mi
209 West Avenue A Unit A Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $935 $1.07 15d 1 0.35mi
1717 Walton Walker Dr Unit 1717 Killeen, TX 3.0 1.5 1300 $895 $0.69 45d 1 0.38mi
1106 Williamson Dr Unit A Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 45d 1 0.42mi
1507 N 8th St Unit 8 Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1116 $995 $0.89 25d 1 0.48mi
1015 N 10th St Unit B Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,100 $0.98 45d 1 0.56mi
717 Norris Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1118 $1,000 $0.89 45d 1 0.56mi
1204 N 18th St Unit B Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 45d 1 0.79mi
608 N 18th St Unit B Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 838 $915 $1.09 15d 1 0.82mi
501 N 18th St Unit B Killeen, TX 3.0 1.5 1286 $1,250 $0.97 25d 1 0.82mi
905 Parmer Ave Unit B Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 836 $850 $1.02 15d 1 0.83mi
1312 Carol Way Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1221 $1,100 $0.90 15d 1 0.94mi
715 Cardinal Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1142 $800 $0.70 45d 1 0.96mi
1108 Stewart St Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 995 $1,150 $1.16 25d 1 1.00mi
512 Raymond St Killeen, TX 3.0 2.5 1336 $1,300 $0.97 45d 1 1.02mi
512 Raymond St Unit B Killeen, TX 3.0 2.5 1336 $1,300 $0.97 25d 1 1.02mi
1201 Greenwood Ave Killeen, TX 4.0 2.0 1276 $1,350 $1.06 45d 1 1.02mi
1801 Stewart St Unit A Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,045 $1.20 15d 1 1.03mi
605 Stringer St Unit A Killeen, TX 3.0 2.5 1334 $1,500 $1.12 45d 1 1.03mi
603 Wolf St Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 786 $952 $1.21 45d 1 1.04mi
1208 Alexander St Killeen, TX 4.0 3.0 1500 $1,600 $1.07 45d 1 1.06mi
1309 Greenwood Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 925 $900 $0.97 23d 1 1.12mi
1701 Elkins Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 918 $1,000 $1.09 15d 1 1.17mi
705 Crockett Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1174 $1,095 $0.93 45d 1 1.25mi
508 Patton Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 1.5 924 $1,150 $1.24 25d 1 1.26mi
409 Short Ave Killeen, TX 4.0 2.0 1220 $1,300 $1.07 45d 1 1.29mi
907 San Antonio St Killeen, TX 3.0 1.5 1303 $1,195 $0.92 45d 1 1.30mi
909 Houston St Killeen, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 45d 1 1.31mi
910 San Antonio St Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1208 $995 $0.82 45d 1 1.32mi
1003 San Antonio St Killeen, TX 4.0 1.0 1452 $1,095 $0.75 45d 1 1.32mi
912 Southside Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 841 $995 $1.18 45d 1 1.33mi
919 Southside Dr Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 925 $1,300 $1.41 45d 1 1.37mi
724 Carrie Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 45d 1 1.46mi
118 E Fowler Ave Killeen, TX 3.0 1.0 902 $875 $0.97 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,330 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$141/yr (+$12/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,803
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,330
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$2,900
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$696
After-tax cash flow
$100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Killeen ISD
NCES district ID
4825660
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,665
Composite
29.69/100
National rank
#6458
State rank
#524 of 826 in TX

Livability — Killeen

Score
63/100
State rank
#853
US rank
#15359

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Killeen, TX
County
Bell County · 345,090 people
City population
163,398
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,011
Household income
$37,349
Rent vs Own
76.4% rent · 23.6% own
Severe rent burden
1668.0

Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
371,114 people
By 2030
389,104 · +4.8%
By 2040
420,592 · +13.3%
By 2050
447,779 · +20.7%
By 2075
499,130 · +34.5%
By 2100
505,680 · +36.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 32% White 31% Black 27% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 25% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bell

2024 margin
R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.26%
Current HPI
168.1206
Rent YoY
▼ -2.00%
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.9% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $135,000 CTXMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Rental Removed $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-04 Listed for Rent $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-11 Listing Removed CTXMLS
  • 2025-07-13 Rental Removed $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-06-29 Listed for Rent $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $119,950 CTXMLS
  • 2025-04-11 Price Changed $125,000 CTXMLS
  • 2025-03-28 Price Changed $129,900 CTXMLS
  • 2025-03-09 Price Changed $135,000 CTXMLS
  • 2025-03-09 Listed $139,900 CTXMLS
  • 2025-02-28 Listing Removed CTXMLS
  • 2024-11-27 Listed $139,000 CTXMLS
  • 2024-08-13 Price Changed Unlock MLS
  • 2024-07-17 Price Changed Unlock MLS
  • 2024-06-19 Price Changed Unlock MLS
  • 2024-06-09 Listed Unlock MLS
  • 2023-02-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,330 · +22.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…