423 Braddock Rd · Forest Hills, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious three story solid brick home with a large front covered porch. Lots of old world charm featuring original woodwork, stained glass windows, and nice built-ins. The sliding glass doors off of the formal dining room lead to the private rear deck overlooking the backyard. Plenty of counter and cabinet space in the kitchen. There is a two car detached garage in the rear of the home with additional off-street parking in the driveway. The full, unfinished basement offers tons of added storage space and the second full bathroom. Minutes to I-376.
Key facts
- Front covered porch
- Off-street parking
- Private rear deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 3-story residence; Resale property
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Lot approximately 0.13 acres (40 x 150)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas hot water heating
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.2% in Forest Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#112 in PA, #873 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Woodland Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #486 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $150k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.76%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $272,518
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Washington Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,530 (-0%) | 3mo | $301,000 | $197 | 72 |
| 38 Roxbury Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 1,496 (-2%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $167 | 69 |
| 1500 Brinton Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (+4%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $63 | 67 |
| 638 Cascade Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,725 (+13%) | 1mo | $337,000 | $195 | 64 |
| 402 Forest Ridge Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,560 (+2%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 315 Woodside Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-8%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $178 | 60 |
| 105 Overdale | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (+5%) | 6mo | $239,000 | $148 | 58 |
| 508 Woodside Rd | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (-9%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $143 | 56 |
| 356 Sharon Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,472 (-4%) | 5mo | $287,000 | $195 | 56 |
| 982 Braddock Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,591 (+4%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $189 | 54 |
| 425 Edgewood Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,346 (-12%) | 0mo | $306,600 | $228 | 50 |
| 445 Pacific Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+7%) | 6mo | $265,800 | $163 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-13,494
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,511
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15221
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,631 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,861/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481 Filmore Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1165 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 8d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 100 Bryn Mawr Ct W Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,904 | $1.95 | 3d | 15 | 0.69mi |
| 700 Filmore Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,800 | $1.68 | 12d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 539 Atlantic Ave Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 442 Locust St Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,600 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 565 Ardmore Blvd Pittsburgh, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 11d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2323 Patterson Ave Unit NA Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2323 Patterson Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7215 Beacon Hill Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,795 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2210 Hampton St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1512 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7645 Highland Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $1,325 | $1.14 | 8d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7534 Penn Bridge Ct Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,750 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 227 Parklane Dr Unit Parklane Dr unit North Braddock, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 12d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2219 Manor Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1638 | $1,600 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1148 East St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1738 | $1,700 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 610 Brown Ave Turtle Creek, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,499 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 212 Kenmawr Ave Braddock, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1417 | $1,300 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 826 Walnut St Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,195 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1962 McNary Blvd Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1517 | $1,545 | $1.02 | 8d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 537 6th St Braddock, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,400 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 553-char remark
-
2026-06-05$149,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,861 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,861 · $238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,861
- − Insurance
- −$1,416
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,565
- − Management
- −$1,565
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$597
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$143
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,892/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodland Hills SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216500
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,803
- Composite
- 18.31/100
- National rank
- #8954
- State rank
- #486 of 539 in PA
Livability — Forest Hills
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #873
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forest Hills, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,374
- Household income
- $55,028
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1933.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.77%
- Current HPI
- 230.0486
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.86%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+130.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $149,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-12-26 Rental Removed $1,598 Avail
- 2025-06-18 Listed for Rent $1,598 Avail
- 2025-04-09 Rental Removed $1,598 Avail
- 2025-02-21 Listed for Rent $1,598 Avail
- 2025-02-16 Rental Removed $1,598 Avail
- 2025-01-16 Listed for Rent $1,598 Avail
- 2024-12-19 Rental Removed $1,598 Avail
- 2024-07-19 Listed for Rent $1,598 Avail
- 1995-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 1992-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,861 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…