8029 Tareyton Ln · Houston, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
House did NOT Flood!!!! NEW ROOF 2016. This home offers comfort and location. Move-in Ready. .. Iron fence with remote control. Fully fenced. Huge Back Yard for those get togethers! Please call for your private showing/consultation. This home didn't experience any flooding or leaks during Hurricane Harvey. Easy access to I-45 S. , Blwy 8, 288, 610, Medical Center, Downtown, walking distance to Hobby Airport.
Key facts
- Bonus suite
- Converted garage
- 8,110 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; One-story (single level); Entry level: first floor
- Construction: Built in 1979; Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Garage apartment; Lot includes other features
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (18 x 15); Bedroom on the first floor (15 x 14); Bedroom on the first floor (11 x 10); Bedroom on the first floor (11 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas)
- Interior features: Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.18%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,312
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8123 Tareyton Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,181 (+0%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $182 | 92 |
| 8047 Botany Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (-0%) | 16mo | $239,000 | $204 | 82 |
| 8314 Tavenor Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+10%) | 12mo | $259,900 | $200 | 54 |
| 8418 Swiss Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+14%) | 22mo | $275,000 | $205 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-24,786
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-12,651
- Equity at exit
- $19,021
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77075
- Home prices YoY
- -25.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,395 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$381 /mo · $4,568/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $324 | -5% $262 | +0% $199 | +5% $137 | +10% $75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $10 | -5% $105 | +0% $199 | +5% $294 | +10% $389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $310 | -0.5pp $255 | base $199 | +0.5pp $142 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8020 Botany Ln Unit 1546255P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $3,226 | $2.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 7821 Fuqua St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $219,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$219,999 Active
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2022-06-21soldstatus
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2017-11-29soldstatus
-
2017-11-27soldstatus Sold 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
House did NOT Flood!!!! NEW ROOF 2016. This home offers comfort and location. Move-in Ready. .. Iron fence with remote control. Fully fenced. Huge Back Yard for those get togethers! Please call for your private showing/consultation. This home didn't experience any flooding or leaks during Hurricane Harvey. Easy access to I-45 S. , Blwy 8, 288, 610, Medical Center, Downtown, walking distance to Hobby Airport.
-
2017-11-25status Pending 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
House did NOT Flood!!!! NEW ROOF 2016. This home offers comfort and location. Move-in Ready. .. Iron fence with remote control. Fully fenced. Huge Back Yard for those get togethers! Please call for your private showing/consultation. This home didn't experience any flooding or leaks during Hurricane Harvey. Easy access to I-45 S. , Blwy 8, 288, 610, Medical Center, Downtown, walking distance to Hobby Airport.
-
2017-11-17status Option Pending 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
House did NOT Flood!!!! NEW ROOF 2016. This home offers comfort and location. Move-in Ready. .. Iron fence with remote control. Fully fenced. Huge Back Yard for those get togethers! Please call for your private showing/consultation. This home didn't experience any flooding or leaks during Hurricane Harvey. Easy access to I-45 S. , Blwy 8, 288, 610, Medical Center, Downtown, walking distance to Hobby Airport.
-
2017-11-12price $135,000 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
House did NOT Flood!!!! NEW ROOF 2016. This home offers comfort and location. Move-in Ready. .. Iron fence with remote control. Fully fenced. Huge Back Yard for those get togethers! Please call for your private showing/consultation. This home didn't experience any flooding or leaks during Hurricane Harvey. Easy access to I-45 S. , Blwy 8, 288, 610, Medical Center, Downtown, walking distance to Hobby Airport.
-
2017-10-18$127,500 Active 412-char remark
Show marketing remark (412 chars)
House did NOT Flood!!!! NEW ROOF 2016. This home offers comfort and location. Move-in Ready. .. Iron fence with remote control. Fully fenced. Huge Back Yard for those get togethers! Please call for your private showing/consultation. This home didn't experience any flooding or leaks during Hurricane Harvey. Easy access to I-45 S. , Blwy 8, 288, 610, Medical Center, Downtown, walking distance to Hobby Airport.
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2017-10-16historical
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2017-10-05status Active
-
2017-09-29status Option Pending
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2017-09-10$145,000 Active
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2013-08-16soldstatus
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2013-08-15soldstatus Sold
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2013-07-18status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2013-07-04status Option Pending
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2013-05-01$78,900 Active
-
1989-09-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,568 · $381/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,568 · $381/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$4,568
- − Insurance
- −$1,897
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,299
- − Management
- −$2,299
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$1,048
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,645/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,626
- Household income
- $69,191
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1573.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Two or more races 34% Black 14% White 7% Asian 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 53%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 60% Vietnamese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.33%
- Current HPI
- 260.3733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+178.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $219,999 HARMLS
- 2022-06-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-11-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-11-27 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2017-11-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-11-17 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-11-12 Price Changed $135,000 HARMLS
- 2017-10-18 Listed $127,500 HARMLS
- 2017-10-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2017-10-05 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2017-09-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-09-10 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
- 2013-08-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-08-15 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2013-07-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-07-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-05-01 Listed $78,900 HARMLS
- 1989-09-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,568 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…