🏷️ Likely Rental
609 Sturgis St · Sturgis, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity in the City of Sturgis! This unique property features two homes on one lot; both currently registered as rental properties with the city and rental certification valid through 9/2027. The first home is, currently owner-occupied, offers 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with plenty of space and future income potential. The second home is a 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit currently generating $800/month in rental income. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio, owner-occupy while generating rental income, or maximize cash flow with two rental units, this property offers flexibility and opportunity. Convenient location close to downtown, schools, and local amenities.
Key facts
- Rental certification
- Two homes on one lot
- Rental properties
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Traditional single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1970; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Living area approximately 2,708 total
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.2 acres; Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling present
- Interior features: Nine total rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.0% in Sturgis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#226 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Sturgis Public Schools (town): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #413 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Joseph County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 17 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $140k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.58%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606 N Fourth St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 1,871 (+4%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $115 | 84 |
| 702 N Nottawa St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,782 (-1%) | 1mo | $182,000 | $102 | 80 |
| 701 N Nottawa St | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 | 1,680 (-7%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $54 | 73 |
| 402 N 4th St | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 1,664 (-8%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $120 | 64 |
| 601 N Nottawa St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 | 1,962 (+9%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $117 | 61 |
| 911 Oakwood Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,848 (+3%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 1005 Meadowlane Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 2,032 (+13%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $106 | 52 |
| 504 E Chicago Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-6%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $132 | 51 |
| 814 N Lakeview Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,560 (-13%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $144 | 45 |
| 605 E West St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-11%) | 6mo | $44,500 | $28 | 39 |
| 115 N Monroe St | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 | 2,018 (+12%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $35 | 38 |
| 103 S Prospect St | 0.73mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 1,648 (-8%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $97 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-15,181
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,396
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49091
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,446 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$233 /mo · $2,793/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16status $140,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 3 DOM
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2026-05-27$140,000 Active 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in the City of Sturgis! This unique property features two homes on one lot; both currently registered as rental properties with the city and rental certification valid through 9/2027. The first home is, currently owner-occupied, offers 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with plenty of space and future income potential. The second home is a 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit currently generating $800/month in rental income. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio, owner-occupy while generating rental income, or maximize cash flow with two rental units, this property offers flexibility and opportunity. Convenient location close to downtown, schools, and local amenities.
-
2026-05-27$140,000 Active 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in the City of Sturgis! This unique property features two homes on one lot; both currently registered as rental properties with the city and rental certification valid through 9/2027. The first home is, currently owner-occupied, offers 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with plenty of space and future income potential. The second home is a 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit currently generating $800/month in rental income. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio, owner-occupy while generating rental income, or maximize cash flow with two rental units, this property offers flexibility and opportunity. Convenient location close to downtown, schools, and local amenities.
-
2026-05-27$140,000 Active
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in the City of Sturgis! This unique property features two homes on one lot; both currently registered as rental properties with the city and rental certification valid through 9/2027. The first home is, currently owner-occupied, offers 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with plenty of space and future income potential. The second home is a 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit currently generating $800/month in rental income. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio, owner-occupy while generating rental income, or maximize cash flow with two rental units, this property offers flexibility and opportunity. Convenient location close to downtown, schools, and local amenities.
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2026-01-26status Pending
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2026-01-26status Pending
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2026-01-26historical
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2026-01-26historical
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2026-01-14price $155,000
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2026-01-14price $155,000
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2026-01-14price $155,000
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2025-12-31price $162,000
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2025-12-30price $162,000
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2025-12-30price $162,000
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2025-12-18price $169,900
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2025-12-17price $169,900
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2025-12-17price $169,900
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2025-12-05price $175,000
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2025-12-05price $175,000
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2025-12-05price $175,000
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2025-11-21price $180,000
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2025-11-21price $180,000
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2025-11-21price $180,000
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2025-11-13price $187,000
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2025-11-12price $187,000
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2025-11-12price $187,000
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2025-11-08$197,750 Active
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2025-11-08$197,750 Active
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2022-11-28soldstatus $65,000
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2022-09-12soldstatus $51,000
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2015-12-14soldstatus $50,000
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2015-12-03soldstatus $50,000
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2015-12-03soldstatus $50,000 Sold
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2015-11-15status Pending
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2015-09-04$59,500 Active
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2015-08-20$59,500
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2014-09-26historical
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2014-09-26historical
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2014-09-24historical
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2014-05-13historical
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2014-05-13historical
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2011-05-20$65,500
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2011-05-20$65,500
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2010-12-10historical
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2010-12-10historical
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2009-10-13$75,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,793 · $233/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,793 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,793
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,388
- − Management
- −$1,388
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$834
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$200
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,603/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sturgis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633090
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,702
- Composite
- 21.95/100
- National rank
- #8220
- State rank
- #413 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sturgis
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #5687
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sturgis, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,448
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,726 people
- By 2030
- 57,030 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 53,266 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 49,343 · -16.0%
- By 2075
- 40,441 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 31,981 · -45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 10% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.64%
- Current HPI
- 205.9474
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+45.8% since first listed55 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-27 Listed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-26 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $155,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $162,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $162,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $162,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $169,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $175,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $180,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $180,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $187,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $187,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $187,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-11-08 Listed $197,750 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-08 Listed $197,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-03 Sold (MLS) $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-12-03 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-11-15 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-09-04 Listed $59,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-08-20 Listed $59,500 REALCOMP
- 2014-09-26 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-09-26 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-09-24 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-05-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2014-05-13 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2011-05-20 Listed $65,500 REALCOMP
- 2011-05-20 Listed $65,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2010-12-10 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2010-12-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-10-13 Listed $75,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2009-10-13 Listed $75,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-07-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-07-17 Listed $89,500 REALCOMP
- 2007-07-17 Listed $89,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2006-05-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-01-18 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-01-18 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2005-11-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-09-14 Listed $96,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-09-14 Listed $96,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,793 · -13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…