304 14th St NW #108 · Long Beach, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 73°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy easy coastal living in this beautifully refinished 1-bedroom, 2-bath ground-floor ocean view condo, with the beach and waves just a short stroll through the sand. The sliding door opens to beautiful beach sunsets, leading out to a private deck & cozy firepits perfect for relaxing after a day in the sand and sun. Inside, the fully furnished and refreshed interior offers a warm, beachy feel with plenty of space to unwind. Complete with a Murphy bed, this condo can sleep up to six guests. Resort amenities include a large year-round indoor pool, hot tub, a brand new bar/restaurant on site and a new pickleball court! Take the scenic boardwalk just a few minutes into town for shopping
Key facts
- $587 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building name: Chautauqua Resort & Conference Center; Multi-family structure with 60 units in building/community; Common property features include clubhouse and indoor pool
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash
- HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee (includes cable TV, central hot water, common area maintenance, internet, sewer, trash and water); Association-managed community; association contact: Ken; Community amenities: clubhouse, indoor pool, hot tub, laundry room, outside entry
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered parking
- Utilities: Electric service; City of Long Beach water and sewer; PUD power; Boiler-type water heater (central boiler room); Cable: Spectrum; Internet: Xfinity
- Home design: Attached condominium (multi-family); Condo in a 3-story building; unit on floor 1; Entry at main level; Unit has a view
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Remodeled/updated; Storage inside unit (1 storage)
- Exterior features: Wood exterior products; Curbs, paved streets and sidewalks; On waterfront with saltwater access; Community waterfront / private beach access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: One bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Two bathtubs; Two showers
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Water heater (central boiler room); Insulated windows; Balcony/Deck/Patio; Primary bath
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (building common)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.0% in Long Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#133 in WA, #2,635 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A-, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Long Beach Elementary School (221 students, 80% FRL); Ilwaco High School (296 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 56% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $59k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.01%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $55,376
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- 6.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $2,229
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $18,186
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98631
- Home prices YoY
- -17.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,486 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$587
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $179
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $587 · $7,044/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $59,000 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$59,000 Active
-
2023-05-16status Pending
-
2023-05-06status Pending - Backup Offer Requested
-
2023-05-05status Pending
-
2023-03-29price
-
2023-01-16price
-
2022-12-09Active
-
2019-07-19soldstatus $27,000 Sold
-
2019-07-03status Pending
-
2019-06-04price $29,000
-
2019-04-17$29,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥73°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,830
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,426
- − Management
- −$1,426
- − HOA
- −$7,044
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $1,732
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$416
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,733/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean Beach School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306060
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,549
- Composite
- 37.37/100
- National rank
- #8929
- State rank
- #212 of 291 in WA
Livability — Long Beach
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #2635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Long Beach, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,468
Population outlook (Pacific County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,636 people
- By 2030
- 20,137 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 18,504 · -10.3%
- By 2075
- 17,403 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 16,241 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Pacific
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 49.4% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.26%
- Current HPI
- 240.5056
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listed $59,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-16 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-06 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-05 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-29 Price Changed — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-16 Price Changed — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-09 Listed — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-19 Sold (MLS) $27,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-03 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-04 Price Changed $29,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-17 Listed $29,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…