439 Peach St · Chatham, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.4/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW PRICE, new photos, with virtual staging showing the true potential of this property! Do not sleep on this! This lovely, well-kept, 4 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a gorgeous . 42 acre corner lot in charming Chatham. Whether you are downsizing, aging in place, or just starting out, this home offers comfortable living on one level, with one fireplace and a lovely sun porch, as well as a generous utility room for crafting or other activities. Enjoy grilling or just chilling on the back deck. Don't miss the unfinished two-bay garage/workshop and fenced in lot, perfect for pets, gardening, storage, auto enthusiasts or anything else you can dream of! A little cosmetic update will make this a showplace! Please request showings through Navica.
Key facts
- Utility room
- Sun porch
- Back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($662/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (19.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.6% in Chatham — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#268 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pittsylvania County Public School District (rural): math 65% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #22 of 131 in VA (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Chatham Elementary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 234 students, 80% FRL); Chatham Middle (math 52% / reading 77%, grade A-, #123 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 426 students, 81% FRL); Chatham High (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A, #40 of 319 statewide, top 15%, 659 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 47% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Pittsylvania County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pittsylvania County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.39%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,961
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- 6.88%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Catalpa Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,622 (-8%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $170 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-24,084
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-16,720
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24531
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $827/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $103 | +0% $55 | +5% $7 | +10% $-41 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-53 | -5% $1 | +0% $55 | +5% $109 | +10% $164 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $141 | -0.5pp $98 | base $55 | +0.5pp $11 | +1.0pp $-34 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $169,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $169,900 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-02-02price $179,000 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
NEW PRICE, new photos, with virtual staging showing the true potential of this property! Do not sleep on this! This lovely, well-kept, 4 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a gorgeous . 42 acre corner lot in charming Chatham. Whether you are downsizing, aging in place, or just starting out, this home offers comfortable living on one level, with one fireplace and a lovely sun porch, as well as a generous utility room for crafting or other activities. Enjoy grilling or just chilling on the back deck. Don't miss the unfinished two-bay garage/workshop and fenced in lot, perfect for pets, gardening, storage, auto enthusiasts or anything else you can dream of! A little cosmetic update will make this a showplace! Please request showings through Navica.
-
2025-08-01$189,000 Active 748-char remark
Show marketing remark (748 chars)
NEW PRICE, new photos, with virtual staging showing the true potential of this property! Do not sleep on this! This lovely, well-kept, 4 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on a gorgeous . 42 acre corner lot in charming Chatham. Whether you are downsizing, aging in place, or just starting out, this home offers comfortable living on one level, with one fireplace and a lovely sun porch, as well as a generous utility room for crafting or other activities. Enjoy grilling or just chilling on the back deck. Don't miss the unfinished two-bay garage/workshop and fenced in lot, perfect for pets, gardening, storage, auto enthusiasts or anything else you can dream of! A little cosmetic update will make this a showplace! Please request showings through Navica.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $827 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,393 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$566/yr (+$47/mo · 68.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,494
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$827
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$2,281
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$547
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittsylvania County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102940
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,672
- Composite
- 59.77/100
- National rank
- #900
- State rank
- #22 of 131 in VA
Livability — Chatham
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #9452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chatham, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,107
Population outlook (Pittsylvania County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,725 people
- By 2030
- 56,388 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 51,088 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 45,875 · -21.9%
- By 2075
- 36,555 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 28,288 · -51.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pittsylvania
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.1% · R 71.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+39.8 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+27.5 2008: R+24.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.86%
- Current HPI
- 172.2543
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-5.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $179,000 DRRAR
- 2025-08-01 Listed $189,000 DRRAR
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $827 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…