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3108 E Mahala Ave
D+ Composite 48.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$250,000

3108 E Mahala Ave · Alton, TX 78573
3 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,795 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 2016 6,019 sqft lot Est $303k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into contemporary living with this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence in the prestigious Villa Real Estates community. Designed with an open-concept floor plan, the home boasts a gourmet kitchen with sleek countertops, a spacious primary suite with walk-in closet, and soaring ceilings that fill the space with natural light. Elegant finishes throughout create a refined yet comfortable atmosphere. Outside, a generous patio offers the perfect setting for entertaining or relaxing. Conveniently located near top-rated schools, shopping, and dining.

Key facts

  • 6,019 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2016

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area reported as 1,795 (source: HidalgoCAD)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Community features include curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces (2 total covered parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; City sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family property (per property information); Slab foundation
  • Construction: Stucco exterior
  • Exterior features: Mature trees; Sidewalks; Wood fencing; Composition shingle roof; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric stove / range (smooth top); Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher (not listed separately; appliances include typical kitchen appliances)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Granite countertops; Ceiling fans; Decorative / high ceilings; Walk-in closets; No window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer/dryer connections; Washer and dryer included; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-348 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (24.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (20.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.5% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,230 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sharyland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 826 in TX (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Jessie L Jensen El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 543 students, 88% FRL); Sharyland North J H (math 46% / reading 42%, grade D, #512 of 1,662 statewide, top 32%, 806 students, 74% FRL); Sharyland H S (math 36% / reading 58%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 1,546 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 55% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 625 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,529 (24.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
4.62%
Cash-on-cash
-5.97%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$303,355
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
806 N Bluebonnet St 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,785 (-1%) 18mo $255,000 $143 73
3724 E Diamondhead Ave 0.44mi 3/3.0 1,730 (-4%) 9mo $210,000 $121 62
1416 N Rockport St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-10%) 0mo $289,000 $178 52
9610 N 71st Ln 0.62mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,880 (+5%) 1mo $349,000 $186 51
3106 E Truman Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,650 (-8%) 9mo $243,000 $147 51
2107 E La Pointe Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,699 (-5%) 1mo $265,000 $156 51
3801 E Diamondhead Ave 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,927 (+7%) 13mo $289,000 $150 50
3721 Diamondhead Ave 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,558 (-13%) 3mo $264,000 $169 50
3003 Truman Ave 0.45mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,945 (+8%) 6mo $369,900 $190 50
1506 N Rockport St 0.52mi 3/2.5 1,592 (-11%) 9mo $269,000 $169 43
1502 N Rockport St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-10%) 12mo $295,000 $182 42
9602 71st Ln 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,562 (-13%) 12mo $274,900 $176 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$113,047
Equity at exit
$225,220
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
5.98×
Total profit
$348,456
Equity at exit
$485,695

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78573

Home prices YoY
8.0%
Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
625
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,986 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$502 /mo · $6,020/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$-348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,426
Max offer price $188,529
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-206 -5% $-277 +0% $-348 +5% $-419 +10% $-489
Rent -10% $-505 -5% $-426 +0% $-348 +5% $-270 +10% $-191
Rate -1.0pp $-222 -0.5pp $-284 base $-348 +0.5pp $-413 +1.0pp $-479

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5508 Cornell Ave Mission, TX 3.0 2.5 1900 $2,600 $1.37 16d 1 1.01mi
3104 E Kennedy Ave Alton, TX 3.0 2.5 1642 $2,600 $1.58 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $250,000 Pending 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Option 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Option 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Option 62 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Option 61 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Option 60 DOM
  7. 2026-05-01
    historical Option
  8. 2026-03-31
    listed $250,000 Active
  9. 2026-02-24
    price $250,000
  10. 2026-01-07
    price $253,000
  11. 2026-01-02
    price $257,000
  12. 2025-08-19
    listed $260,000 Active
  13. 2025-01-21
    price $265,900
  14. 2024-12-11
    listed $269,999 Active
  15. 2024-06-21
    soldstatus
  16. 2024-05-14
    status Pending
  17. 2024-05-03
    historical Option
  18. 2024-04-29
    listed $230,999 Active
  19. 2024-04-17
    listed $238,999 Active
  20. 2018-01-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,020 · $502/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,020 · $502/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,831
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$6,020
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,906
− Management
−$1,906
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$8,528
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,047
After-tax cash flow
$-2,129/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sharyland ISD
NCES district ID
4839930
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$57,792
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5214
State rank
#406 of 826 in TX

Livability — Alton

Score
58/100
State rank
#1230
US rank
#21479

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alton, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
City population
44,809
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
44,809
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
855.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (96%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 96% Two or more races 63% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 94%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada
Languages at home
12% English-only · Spanish 88%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.95%
Current HPI
242.0711
Rent YoY
▲ 2.45%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $250,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $250,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $253,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $257,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $260,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-01-21 Price Changed $265,900 MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-12-11 Listed $269,999 MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-06-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-05-14 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-05-03 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-04-29 Listed $230,999 MCALLENMLS
  • 2024-04-17 Listed $238,999 MCALLENMLS
  • 2018-01-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+26.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,020 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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