3108 E Mahala Ave · Alton, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into contemporary living with this stunning 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence in the prestigious Villa Real Estates community. Designed with an open-concept floor plan, the home boasts a gourmet kitchen with sleek countertops, a spacious primary suite with walk-in closet, and soaring ceilings that fill the space with natural light. Elegant finishes throughout create a refined yet comfortable atmosphere. Outside, a generous patio offers the perfect setting for entertaining or relaxing. Conveniently located near top-rated schools, shopping, and dining.
Key facts
- 6,019 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2016
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building area reported as 1,795 (source: HidalgoCAD)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Community features include curbs
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces (2 total covered parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; City sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Single-family property (per property information); Slab foundation
- Construction: Stucco exterior
- Exterior features: Mature trees; Sidewalks; Wood fencing; Composition shingle roof; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric stove / range (smooth top); Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher (not listed separately; appliances include typical kitchen appliances)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Granite countertops; Ceiling fans; Decorative / high ceilings; Walk-in closets; No window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer/dryer connections; Washer and dryer included; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-348 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (24.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.5% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,230 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sharyland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 826 in TX (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jessie L Jensen El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 543 students, 88% FRL); Sharyland North J H (math 46% / reading 42%, grade D, #512 of 1,662 statewide, top 32%, 806 students, 74% FRL); Sharyland H S (math 36% / reading 58%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 1,546 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 55% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 625 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.97%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $303,355
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 N Bluebonnet St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,785 (-1%) | 18mo | $255,000 | $143 | 73 |
| 3724 E Diamondhead Ave | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 | 1,730 (-4%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $121 | 62 |
| 1416 N Rockport St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-10%) | 0mo | $289,000 | $178 | 52 |
| 9610 N 71st Ln | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,880 (+5%) | 1mo | $349,000 | $186 | 51 |
| 3106 E Truman Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (-8%) | 9mo | $243,000 | $147 | 51 |
| 2107 E La Pointe Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,699 (-5%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $156 | 51 |
| 3801 E Diamondhead Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,927 (+7%) | 13mo | $289,000 | $150 | 50 |
| 3721 Diamondhead Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,558 (-13%) | 3mo | $264,000 | $169 | 50 |
| 3003 Truman Ave | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,945 (+8%) | 6mo | $369,900 | $190 | 50 |
| 1506 N Rockport St | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,592 (-11%) | 9mo | $269,000 | $169 | 43 |
| 1502 N Rockport St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-10%) | 12mo | $295,000 | $182 | 42 |
| 9602 71st Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,562 (-13%) | 12mo | $274,900 | $176 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $113,047
- Equity at exit
- $225,220
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.98×
- Total profit
- $348,456
- Equity at exit
- $485,695
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78573
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 625
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,986 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$502 /mo · $6,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $-348
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-206 | -5% $-277 | +0% $-348 | +5% $-419 | +10% $-489 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-505 | -5% $-426 | +0% $-348 | +5% $-270 | +10% $-191 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-222 | -0.5pp $-284 | base $-348 | +0.5pp $-413 | +1.0pp $-479 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5508 Cornell Ave Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,600 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3104 E Kennedy Ave Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1642 | $2,600 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $250,000 Pending 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Option 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Option 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Option 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Option 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Option 60 DOM
-
2026-05-01historical Option
-
2026-03-31$250,000 Active
-
2026-02-24price $250,000
-
2026-01-07price $253,000
-
2026-01-02price $257,000
-
2025-08-19$260,000 Active
-
2025-01-21price $265,900
-
2024-12-11$269,999 Active
-
2024-06-21soldstatus
-
2024-05-14status Pending
-
2024-05-03historical Option
-
2024-04-29$230,999 Active
-
2024-04-17$238,999 Active
-
2018-01-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,020 · $502/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,020 · $502/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,831
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$6,020
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,906
- − Management
- −$1,906
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$8,528
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sharyland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4839930
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,792
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5214
- State rank
- #406 of 826 in TX
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1230
- US rank
- #21479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alton, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 44,809
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,809
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 855.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 96% Two or more races 63% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 94%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 12% English-only · Spanish 88%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.95%
- Current HPI
- 242.0711
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.45%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+4.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $250,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $250,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $253,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $257,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-08-19 Listed $260,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-01-21 Price Changed $265,900 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-12-11 Listed $269,999 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-06-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-05-14 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2024-05-03 Contingent — MCALLENMLS
- 2024-04-29 Listed $230,999 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-04-17 Listed $238,999 MCALLENMLS
- 2018-01-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+26.4%/yrLatest (2025): $6,020 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…