89 Bellevue Ave · Oceanside, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$749,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome Home to this Charming Colonial located in the heart of Oceanside. This inviting residence offers 4 generously sized Bedrooms and 2 Full Baths, Enjoy an Eat-in Kitchen, and a formal dining room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The sun filled living room features a cozy fireplace adding comfort and charm, while a versatile den offers flexible living space. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and access to a Jack and Jill bathroom. Additional highlights include abundant closet space, an attic, a full basement for storage, and in-ground sprinklers. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and transportation. An ideal blend of comfort, space and location.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Versatile den
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Private driveway; Garage (1-car)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service by PSEG; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Back yard fencing; Detached garage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on multiple levels
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor full bath; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room; Washer/dryer hookup; Basement access with storage and unfinished space; Full attic with pull-down stairs and storage; Eight total rooms; Three or more levels
- Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups in multiple locations
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $749k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-727 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $621k (17.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $546k (27.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $546k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.9% in Oceanside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#15 in NY, #340 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Oceanside Union Free School District (suburban): math 69% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #75 of 590 in NY (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: School 4 (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 298 students, 20% FRL); School 9M-Oceanside Middle School (math 48% / reading 61%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 817 students, 16% FRL); School 7-Oceanside Senior High School (math 91% / reading 96%, grade A+, #131 of 1,100 statewide, top 13%, 1,692 students, 20% FRL).
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($738k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.16%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $884,453
- List price
- $749,000
- Delta
- -15.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222 Chance Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,100 (-2%) | 2mo | $900,000 | $429 | 75 |
| 42 Homecrest Ct | 0.26mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,119 (-1%) | 4mo | $790,000 | $373 | 74 |
| 2962 Deen St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,868 (-13%) | 7mo | $725,000 | $388 | 65 |
| 60 Vermont Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 | 2,163 (+1%) | 6mo | $850,000 | $393 | 58 |
| 3068 Xavier Pl | 0.27mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,342 (+9%) | 6mo | $875,000 | $374 | 57 |
| 110 Driscoll Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 2,087 (-2%) | 7mo | $875,000 | $419 | 57 |
| 2752 Academy St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,840 (-14%) | 2mo | $880,000 | $478 | 53 |
| 2900 Stevens St | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,850 (-14%) | 3mo | $800,000 | $432 | 50 |
| 30 Gifford Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,937 (-10%) | 2mo | $900,000 | $465 | 46 |
| 3305 4th St | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,903 (-11%) | 0mo | $820,000 | $431 | 45 |
| 2593 Loftus Ave | 0.69mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,300 (+8%) | 5mo | $1,060,000 | $461 | 42 |
| 2539 Washington Ave | 0.67mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,391 (+12%) | 1mo | $1,100,000 | $460 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-167,668
- Equity at exit
- $111,678
- IRR
- -18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-205,615
- Equity at exit
- $64,760
Cash invested: $209,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11572
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,464 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,928
- Tax from tax record
- −$804 /mo · $9,646/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,147
- Net cashflow
- $-727
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,250
- Closing costs
- $22,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3544 Woodward St Oceanside, NY | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2750 | $6,000 | $2.18 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3380 Weidner Ave Unit MAIN Oceanside, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,750 | $3.17 | 17d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-30$749,000 Active 697-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,646 · $804/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,152 · $929/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,506/yr (+$126/mo · 15.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,571
- − Mortgage interest
- −$41,956
- − Property taxes
- −$9,646
- − Insurance
- −$3,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,246
- − Management
- −$5,246
- − Depreciation
- −$21,789
- Taxable loss
- −$22,055
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,293
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,430/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oceanside Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621570
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $100,802
- Composite
- 66.68/100
- National rank
- #410
- State rank
- #75 of 590 in NY
Livability — Oceanside
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #340
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oceanside, NY
- City population
- 30,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,627
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -636.96%
- Current HPI
- 299.06
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $749,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2024): $9,646 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…