1720 Coral Rd · Pelican Bay, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,600
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Manufactured Home Built 2023 3 bed 2 bath Home only for sale - land not included
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 2023
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family house
- Construction: Approximately 1,152 square feet of living area
- Exterior features: Lot of approximately 10,402 sq ft
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $761 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 6.4% in Pelican Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#917 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Azle ISD (suburban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 594 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $613 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.82%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1704 Coral Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (+2%) | 15mo | $180,950 | $154 | 82 |
| 1821 Gale Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $150 | 80 |
| 1405 Cardinal Ter | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $103 | 72 |
| 1413 Dawn Dr N | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $123 | 69 |
| 1521 Lark Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $152 | 68 |
| 1609 Quail Run | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 15mo | $174,900 | $152 | 66 |
| 1413 Whippoorwill Way | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-1%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $101 | 64 |
| 1605 Sheri Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $152 | 60 |
| 1552 Chaparral Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $152 | 58 |
| 1813 Gale Dr | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,024 (-11%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $117 | 54 |
| 1505 Mockingbird Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+7%) | 14mo | $159,500 | $129 | 53 |
| 1404 Dawn Dr N | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 980 (-15%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $71 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $32,972
- Equity at exit
- $13,211
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.49×
- Total profit
- $86,459
- Equity at exit
- $7,661
Cash invested: $24,808 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76020
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 594
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,662 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$465
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $605/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $761
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $811 | -5% $786 | +0% $761 | +5% $736 | +10% $711 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $630 | -5% $696 | +0% $761 | +5% $827 | +10% $893 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $806 | -0.5pp $784 | base $761 | +0.5pp $738 | +1.0pp $715 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,150
- Closing costs
- $2,658
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1844 Sheila Dr Azle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,645 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1920 Reef Ct Azle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,449 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1620 Mockingbird Ln Azle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,499 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 11124 Liberty School Rd Unit 24B Azle, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $999 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1324 White Sand Dr Azle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,650 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1329 Fox Hollow Ct Azle, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $900 | $0.97 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1408 Yachtclub Dr Azle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 11128 Liberty School Rd Unit 28A Azle, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1300 White Sand Dr Unit 1304 Azle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,695 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1304 White Sand Dr Azle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,695 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $88,600 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,600 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,600 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,600 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,600 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,600 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,600 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,600 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,600 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $88,600 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 81-char remark
-
2026-06-04$88,600 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $605 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,016/yr (+$85/mo · 167.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,949
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,963
- − Property taxes
- −$605
- − Insurance
- −$443
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,596
- − Management
- −$1,596
- − Depreciation
- −$2,577
- Taxable income
- $8,168
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,960
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,175/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with minor repairs and maintenance needed. Upgrading the flooring and paint can significantly increase its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen flooring — The flooring appears dated and could be replaced with a more modern option.
- Minor Bathroom paint — The paint appears slightly worn and could be refreshed with a fresh coat.
- Minor Landscaping — The landscaping is minimal and could be improved with some additional plants and shrubs to enhance curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New flooring in the kitchen — New flooring can significantly enhance the appeal of the kitchen and increase the home's resale value.
- Resale Fresh paint in the bathrooms — Fresh paint can make the bathrooms look more inviting and increase the home's resale value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Landscaping improvements can enhance the curb appeal and increase both the resale and rental value of the home.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen flooring · The flooring appears dated and could be replaced with a more modern option. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom paint · The paint appears slightly worn and could be refreshed with a fresh coat. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · The landscaping is minimal and could be improved with some additional plants and shrubs to enhance curb appeal. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New flooring in the kitchen — New flooring can significantly enhance the appeal of the kitchen and increase the home's resale value. ↑
- Resale Fresh paint in the bathrooms — Fresh paint can make the bathrooms look more inviting and increase the home's resale value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Landscaping improvements can enhance the curb appeal and increase both the resale and rental value of the home. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Azle ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809200
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,473
- Composite
- 35.57/100
- National rank
- #4900
- State rank
- #351 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pelican Bay
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #917
- US rank
- #16376
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pelican Bay, TX
- County
- Parker County · 144,797 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,602
- Household income
- $87,298
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 433.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.72%
- Current HPI
- 287.155
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $88,600 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…