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1503 Alby Dr Lot 70
B- Composite 67.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,600

1503 Alby Dr Lot 70 · Apopka, FL 32712
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 35 Days on market
Built 2007 Good condition $850/mo HOA · 37% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to comfortable and affordable Florida living in the desirable 55+ community of Palm Isle in Apopka! This well-maintained double-wide manufactured home is being offered fully furnished and is truly move-in ready. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the spacious layout offers generous living and dining areas, a large kitchen with center island, abundant cabinetry, and plenty of storage throughout the home. The primary suite includes a private bathroom and ample closet space, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, hobbies, or a home office. This home also includes a washer and dryer space, covered carport, storage shed/workshop, and a welcoming covered porch pe

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Covered carport
  • Abundant cabinetry

Tags

DOUBLE-WIDE MANUFACTURED HOMEFULLY FURNISHEDMOVE-IN READYABUNDANT CABINETRYWASHER AND DRYER SPACECOVERED CARPORT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease restrictions apply
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees $850 (total annual $10,200); Unit is furnished
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (Kimola Hayden) with required approval for purchase; Monthly HOA fee of $850, covers pool and grounds maintenance; Community amenities include clubhouse and pool; On-site property manager; Senior community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured double wide home; One story; Faces west; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Screened side porch; Shed(s); Cul-de-sac lot; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen and family room combination; Living room and dining room combination; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Apopka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#594 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+, employment B; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 662 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $682 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,642 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
9.74%
Cash-on-cash
12.32%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-4,094
Equity at exit
$14,702
10-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-4,067
Equity at exit
$8,525

Cash invested: $27,608 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32712

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
662
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,297 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$517
Tax est. 1.5%
$123 /mo · $1,479/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$850
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,938
Max offer price $98,600
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,650
Closing costs
$2,958
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
63 Jett Loop Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1463 $2,050 $1.40 2d 1 0.23mi
150 Knights Hollow Dr Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1817 $2,250 $1.24 17d 1 0.68mi
3 E Sandpiper St Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1414 $1,895 $1.34 23d 1 0.77mi
690 N Wells St Apopka, FL 4.0 2.0 1711 $2,285 $1.34 23d 1 1.02mi
1890 Needham Rd Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1537 $2,290 $1.49 17d 1 1.13mi
846 Grand Hughey Ct Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1651 $2,350 $1.42 4d 1 1.16mi
121 Summerset Dr Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1155 $1,971 $1.71 2d 1 1.17mi
574 Autumn Dr Apopka, FL 4.0 2.0 1525 $1,990 $1.30 23d 1 1.26mi
930 Loch Carron #1212 Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1457 $2,100 $1.44 4d 1 1.29mi
1270 Deer Lake Cir Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1781 $2,800 $1.57 16d 1 1.35mi
220 Bonnie Glen Ln Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1141 $2,175 $1.91 4d 1 1.37mi
1045 Palma Verde Pl Apopka, FL 3.0 2.5 1863 $2,200 $1.18 7d 1 1.38mi
1178 N Fairway Dr #1178 Apopka, FL 2.0 2.5 1184 $1,800 $1.52 4d 1 1.38mi
1236 N Fairway Dr Apopka, FL 3.0 2.5 1450 $2,600 $1.79 14d 1 1.41mi
1206 N Fairway Dr #1206 Apopka, FL 3.0 2.5 1470 $1,900 $1.29 14d 1 1.41mi
1123 Palma Verde Pl Apopka, FL 3.0 2.5 1644 $2,149 $1.31 4d 1 1.46mi
440 Breezeway Dr Apopka, FL 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,956 $1.70 21d 1 1.47mi
1148 Palma Verde Pl Apopka, FL 3.0 2.5 1658 $2,200 $1.33 7d 1 1.48mi
1152 Palma Verde Pl Apopka, FL 3.0 2.5 1667 $2,300 $1.38 23d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$850 · $10,200/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,600 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,600 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,600 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,600 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,600 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,600 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,600 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,600 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,600 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $98,600 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,600 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $98,600 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,600 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,600 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $98,600 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,569
− Mortgage interest
−$5,523
− Property taxes
−$1,479
− Insurance
−$493
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,206
− Management
−$2,206
− HOA
−$10,200
− Depreciation
−$2,868
Taxable income
$2,594
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$623
After-tax cash flow
$2,780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home in Palm Isle, Apopka, offers a good condition with minor repairs needed in the kitchen and bathrooms. Upgrades like fresh paint and new cabinets would significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures enhance functionality and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures enhance functionality and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Apopka

Score
66/100
State rank
#594
US rank
#11020

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime D- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
City population
109,852
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
50,583
Household income
$108,734
Rent vs Own
14.6% rent · 85.4% own
Severe rent burden
876.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 19% Black 16% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -149.12%
Current HPI
283.4441
Rent YoY
▼ -2.09%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $98,600 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…