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1319 N Springfield Ave
C Composite 59.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$58,500

1319 N Springfield Ave · Rockford, IL 61101
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 696 sqft · SingleFamily · 7 Days on market
Built 1945 0.38 ac lot Est $45k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

DOUBLE LOT WITH FENCED YARD. 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH, Ranch Style Home! 1.5 car garage shaped like a country barn with loft space. Spacious eat-in kitchen with sliding doors to deck leading to the backyard! Newer hot water heater. Great starter home or investment opportunity.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • New sump pump
  • Newer windows

Tags

DOUBLE LOTDETACHED GARAGEOVERSIZED LOTNEWER WINDOWSNEW APPLIANCESNEW SUMP PUMP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached asphalt parking; 1.5-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); Residential property
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; 0.38-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Basement with full finish and sump pump; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kennedy Middle School (math 3% / reading 2%, grade F, #660 of 665 statewide, top 100%, 380 students, 0% FRL); Auburn High School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 1,936 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $404 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $58,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
16.94%
Cash-on-cash
38.03%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$45,240
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4227 Virginia Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (+3%) 13mo $102,000 $142 59
4216 Virginia Ave 0.44mi 1/1.0 768 (+10%) 18mo $50,000 $65 48
1318 N Burbank Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 (+1) 750 (+8%) 14mo $38,000 $51 43
917 Willard Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+10%) 6mo $98,000 $128 38
1337 N Greenview Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (+1) 752 (+8%) 24mo $47,500 $63 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$23,587
Equity at exit
$8,723
10-year hold
IRR
41.0%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$63,126
Equity at exit
$5,058

Cash invested: $16,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61101

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,140 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$307
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $607/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$519

Break-even live

Break-even rent $483
Max offer price $58,500
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,625
Closing costs
$1,755
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
924 N Sunset Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 725 $1,050 $1.45 13d 1 1.39mi
504 Lexington Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 13d 1 1.40mi
615 Newport Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 13d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    listed $58,500 Active
  2. 2022-05-04
    soldstatus $45,000
  3. 2020-08-14
    soldstatus $21,000 Closed Sale 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    DOUBLE LOT WITH FENCED YARD. 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH, Ranch Style Home! 1.5 car garage shaped like a country barn with loft space. Spacious eat-in kitchen with sliding doors to deck leading to the backyard! Newer hot water heater. Great starter home or investment opportunity.

  4. 2020-08-14
    soldstatus $21,000 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    DOUBLE LOT WITH FENCED YARD. 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH, Ranch Style Home! 1.5 car garage shaped like a country barn with loft space. Spacious eat-in kitchen with sliding doors to deck leading to the backyard! Newer hot water heater. Great starter home or investment opportunity.

  5. 2020-07-24
    status Pending 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    DOUBLE LOT WITH FENCED YARD. 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH, Ranch Style Home! 1.5 car garage shaped like a country barn with loft space. Spacious eat-in kitchen with sliding doors to deck leading to the backyard! Newer hot water heater. Great starter home or investment opportunity.

  6. 2020-07-09
    price $39,500 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    DOUBLE LOT WITH FENCED YARD. 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH, Ranch Style Home! 1.5 car garage shaped like a country barn with loft space. Spacious eat-in kitchen with sliding doors to deck leading to the backyard! Newer hot water heater. Great starter home or investment opportunity.

  7. 2020-05-01
    listed $42,900 New 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    DOUBLE LOT WITH FENCED YARD. 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH, Ranch Style Home! 1.5 car garage shaped like a country barn with loft space. Spacious eat-in kitchen with sliding doors to deck leading to the backyard! Newer hot water heater. Great starter home or investment opportunity.

  8. 2020-05-01
    listed $39,500 269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (269 chars)

    DOUBLE LOT WITH FENCED YARD. 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH, Ranch Style Home! 1.5 car garage shaped like a country barn with loft space. Spacious eat-in kitchen with sliding doors to deck leading to the backyard! Newer hot water heater. Great starter home or investment opportunity.

  9. 2020-03-31
    historical
  10. 2019-12-09
    listed New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$607 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$967 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$361/yr (+$30/mo · 59.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,684
− Mortgage interest
−$3,277
− Property taxes
−$607
− Insurance
−$292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,095
− Management
−$1,095
− Depreciation
−$1,702
Taxable income
$5,616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,348
After-tax cash flow
$4,882/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
19,318
Household income
$46,163
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.58%
Current HPI
204.8946
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $58,500 NWIAR
  • 2022-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-14 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-14 Sold (MLS) $21,000 NWIAR
  • 2020-07-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-09 Price Changed $39,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-01 Listed $42,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-01 Listed $39,500 NWIAR
  • 2020-03-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-09 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $607 · +124.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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