115 N Lexington Ave · Le Center, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable home in Le Center across from the elementary school! Features 3 bedrooms plus a den area and a full bath with a clawfoot tub. Enjoy the front porch or backyard patio with alley access and a storage shed. Quick possession possible!
Key facts
- Alley access
- Backyard patio
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#595 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Le Sueur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Le Sueur County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.07%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $234,301
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -53.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,314
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $20,251
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56057
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,347 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $258
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $321 | -5% $290 | +0% $258 | +5% $227 | +10% $196 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $152 | -5% $205 | +0% $258 | +5% $312 | +10% $365 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $314 | -0.5pp $286 | base $258 | +0.5pp $230 | +1.0pp $201 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-04-13$125,000 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Affordable home in Le Center across from the elementary school! Features 3 bedrooms plus a den area and a full bath with a clawfoot tub. Enjoy the front porch or backyard patio with alley access and a storage shed. Quick possession possible!
-
2026-04-13$125,000 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Affordable home in Le Center across from the elementary school! Features 3 bedrooms plus a den area and a full bath with a clawfoot tub. Enjoy the front porch or backyard patio with alley access and a storage shed. Quick possession possible!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,200
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,471
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$353
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Le Center
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #14272
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Le Center, MN
- City population
- 3,933
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,933
Population outlook (Le Sueur County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,622 people
- By 2030
- 27,346 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 26,451 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 25,299 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 23,188 · -16.1%
- By 2100
- 21,103 · -23.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Le Sueur
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.7) · D 32.4% · R 66.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -33.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.7 2020: R+30.3 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.42%
- Current HPI
- 186.9022
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $125,000 RASM
- 2026-04-13 Listed $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,200 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…