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1485 E Houze Rd E
D- Composite 36.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +1.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

1485 E Houze Rd E · Fort Valley, GA 31030
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,696 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1971 1.00 ac lot $109/sqft · 13% above area Est $164k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Escape to peaceful country living in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home nestled on a generous 1-acre lot. Surrounded by open space and natural scenery, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and outdoor freedom. Step inside to an inviting living area filled with natural light, ideal for relaxing evenings or gatherings with family and friends. The spacious kitchen features ample counter space and cabinetry, making meal prep easy and enjoyable. A dedicated dining area overlooks the backyard, creating the perfect spot for morning coffee with a view. The primary suite offers a quiet retreat with an ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With 2.5 baths, convenience is built into every corner of this home. Outside, you'll find plenty of room to stretch out-whether you imagine gardening, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying the open landscapes and starry country nights. The expansive lot provides opportunities to add a workshop, play area, or garden space. If you're looking for comfort, space, and the peaceful charm of rural living, this countryside property is the perfect place to call home.

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Inviting living area
  • Outdoor entertaining

Tags

1 ACRE LOTINVITING LIVING AREASPACIOUS KITCHENDEDICATED DINING AREAOUTDOOR ENTERTAININGEXPANSIVE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.7% in Fort Valley — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#220 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Crawford County (rural): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #127 of 174 in GA (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $185k implies a 311% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $151,330 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.34%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,967
List price
$185,000
Delta
12.83%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2275 E Houze Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,864 (+10%) 0mo $209,000 $112 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-23,642
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-12,678
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31030

Home prices YoY
-14.7%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,513 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $568/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,386
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $206 -5% $153 +0% $101 +5% $49 +10% $-4
Rent -10% $-19 -5% $41 +0% $101 +5% $161 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $194 -0.5pp $148 base $101 +0.5pp $53 +1.0pp $4

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $185,000 Active 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 92 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,000 Active 84 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 83 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 82 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 81 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 80 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 79 DOM
  18. 2026-03-12
    listed $200,000 New 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Escape to peaceful country living in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home nestled on a generous 1-acre lot. Surrounded by open space and natural scenery, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and outdoor freedom. Step inside to an inviting living area filled with natural light, ideal for relaxing evenings or gatherings with family and friends. The spacious kitchen features ample counter space and cabinetry, making meal prep easy and enjoyable. A dedicated dining area overlooks the backyard, creating the perfect spot for morning coffee with a view. The primary suite offers a quiet retreat with an ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With 2.5 baths, convenience is built into every corner of this home. Outside, you'll find plenty of room to stretch out-whether you imagine gardening, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying the open landscapes and starry country nights. The expansive lot provides opportunities to add a workshop, play area, or garden space. If you're looking for comfort, space, and the peaceful charm of rural living, this countryside property is the perfect place to call home.

  19. 2026-03-12
    listed $200,000 Active 1212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1212 chars)

    Escape to peaceful country living in this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home nestled on a generous 1-acre lot. Surrounded by open space and natural scenery, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort, privacy, and outdoor freedom. Step inside to an inviting living area filled with natural light, ideal for relaxing evenings or gatherings with family and friends. The spacious kitchen features ample counter space and cabinetry, making meal prep easy and enjoyable. A dedicated dining area overlooks the backyard, creating the perfect spot for morning coffee with a view. The primary suite offers a quiet retreat with an ensuite bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With 2.5 baths, convenience is built into every corner of this home. Outside, you'll find plenty of room to stretch out-whether you imagine gardening, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying the open landscapes and starry country nights. The expansive lot provides opportunities to add a workshop, play area, or garden space. If you're looking for comfort, space, and the peaceful charm of rural living, this countryside property is the perfect place to call home.

  20. 2022-01-04
    soldstatus $45,000
  21. 2021-12-12
    historical
  22. 2021-12-11
    historical Active Under Contract
  23. 2021-12-02
    price $45,000
  24. 2021-11-16
    price $55,000
  25. 2021-11-12
    price $62,000
  26. 2021-11-12
    price $62,000
  27. 2021-10-26
    price $75,000
  28. 2021-09-15
    listed $80,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$568 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,702 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$1,134/yr (+$94/mo · 199.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,160
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$568
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,453
− Management
−$1,453
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$1,984
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$476
After-tax cash flow
$1,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crawford County
NCES district ID
1301530
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$39,974
Composite
20.65/100
National rank
#8539
State rank
#127 of 174 in GA

Livability — Fort Valley

Score
65/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#12957

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
17,987
Population (ZIP)
17,987

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,794 people
By 2030
11,347 · -3.8%
By 2040
10,328 · -12.4%
By 2050
9,256 · -21.5%
By 2075
7,817 · -33.7%
By 2100
7,039 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.9% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.7pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -49.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.8 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.82%
Current HPI
202.0025
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $200,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $200,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2021-12-12 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2021-12-11 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2021-12-02 Price Changed $45,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-11-16 Price Changed $55,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-11-12 Price Changed $62,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-11-12 Price Changed $62,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-10-26 Price Changed $75,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-09-15 Listed $80,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

-4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $568 · -46.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…