827 21st St · Huntington, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment property.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 33 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $898 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.2% vs local median 6.5% in Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#16 in WV, #2,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment F.
- Cabell County Schools (urban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #13 of 55 in WV (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 61 units permitted in Cabell County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 96.22%
- DSCR
- 5.28
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,338
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2102 8th Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,768 (+0%) | 0mo | $22,000 | $12 | 91 |
| 2203 10th Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,824 (+4%) | 12mo | $48,000 | $26 | 74 |
| 1945 10th Ave Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+5%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $116 | 73 |
| 1917 17r 18th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,885 (+7%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $80 | 64 |
| 936 20th St | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,536 (-13%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $49 | 58 |
| 1548 Rugby Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,676 (-5%) | 19mo | $198,000 | $118 | 58 |
| 1739 Doulton Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (-13%) | 3mo | $144,900 | $95 | 55 |
| 1830 Hall Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,520 (-14%) | 3mo | $3,000 | $2 | 54 |
| 1032 25th St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-5%) | 14mo | $11,000 | $7 | 50 |
| 1740 7th Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,910 (+8%) | 22mo | $73,500 | $38 | 44 |
| 1819 Magnolia Ln | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,540 (-13%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $75 | 37 |
| 1956 Underwood Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 2,005 (+14%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $35 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 97.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.53×
- Total profit
- $50,743
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 99.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.53×
- Total profit
- $117,947
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25704
- Home prices YoY
- -13.7%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,495 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $679/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $898
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2489 1st Ave Unit 108 A Huntington, WV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,495 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $40,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $40,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $40,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $40,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-03-06$40,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$679
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,435
- − Management
- −$1,435
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $10,787
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,589
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,188/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cabell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400180
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,426
- Composite
- 30.26/100
- National rank
- #6285
- State rank
- #13 of 55 in WV
Livability — Huntington
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #2045
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntington, WV
- City population
- 25,795
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,413
Population outlook (Cabell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,574 people
- By 2030
- 98,060 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 98,817 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 100,185 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 105,895 · +8.5%
- By 2100
- 105,948 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cabell
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.0% · R 59.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+13.9 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.21%
- Current HPI
- 202.1322
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $40,000 HBRMLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $679 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…