220 Irene St · Sandia, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in a well-established neighborhood, this home offers a fantastic opportunity for buyers looking to add their own touch. This three bedroom, two bath is spacious and provides a great canvas for customizing. Outside you will find plenty of space, with the lot measuring 21,000 square feet. Come see this property today.
Key facts
- 0.48 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1982
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Concrete driveway/parking; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic available; Water service available; Electric service available
- Home design: Single-story home; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as single-story
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Subdivided lot
Interior
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central Air conditioning
- Interior features: Tile flooring; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,389 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Orange Grove ISD (rural): math 49% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #196 of 826 in TX (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Jim Wells County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jim Wells County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.18%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,915
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -14.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-18,386
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,418
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78383
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,432 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,293/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $119
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Pending 325-char remark
-
2026-05-03historical 325-char remark
-
2026-04-28$159,900 Active 325-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,293 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,926 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,633/yr (+$136/mo · 126.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,189
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,293
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,375
- − Management
- −$1,375
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,262
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$303
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,727/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange Grove ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833720
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,348
- Composite
- 41.9/100
- National rank
- #3367
- State rank
- #196 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sandia
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1389
- US rank
- #23821
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sandia, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,306
Population outlook (Jim Wells County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,325 people
- By 2030
- 44,156 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 45,790 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 47,455 · +9.5%
- By 2075
- 51,800 · +19.6%
- By 2100
- 52,006 · +20.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jim Wells
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.5) · D 42.0% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -15.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.5 2020: R+9.8 2016: D+10.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.06%
- Current HPI
- 178.3727
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $159,900 CBMLS
- 2026-06-08 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2026-05-25 Relisted — CBMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — CBMLS
- 2026-05-03 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $159,900 CBMLS
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,293 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…