914 Alta St · Staunton, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable investment property with extra buildable lot. Mountian views from the front porch. Close to I 64 and I 81. Minutes from shopping. Sold "As is" , home owner will not make repairs. Home Inspection for buyers information only. Appliances and air conditioner are included "As is". The built date is approximate.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Updated bath
- Attached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-471/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (3.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (24.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.9% in Staunton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#56 in VA, #1,524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Staunton City Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #73 of 131 in VA (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bessie Weller Elementary (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 369 students, 99% FRL); Shelburne Middle (math 43% / reading 66%, grade B-, #194 of 342 statewide, top 60%, 574 students, 99% FRL); Staunton High (math 48% / reading 77%, grade B-, #226 of 319 statewide, top 72%, 822 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 47% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Staunton city in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Staunton County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $126k; list at $200k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.84%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,912
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 Alta St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $290 | 99 |
| 323 Driscoll St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (+7%) | 4mo | $213,000 | $296 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-30,607
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-11,245
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24401
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 297
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,284/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $-39
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-02-08status Active
-
2026-02-02status Pending
-
2026-01-11price $199,900
-
2025-10-30price $209,000
-
2025-09-18price $219,900
-
2025-07-30$224,900 Active
-
2022-06-15soldstatus $126,000 Sold 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Affordable investment property with extra buildable lot. Mountian views from the front porch. Close to I 64 and I 81. Minutes from shopping. Sold "As is" , home owner will not make repairs. Home Inspection for buyers information only. Appliances and air conditioner are included "As is". The built date is approximate.
-
2022-06-10soldstatus $126,000
-
2022-05-26status Pending 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Affordable investment property with extra buildable lot. Mountian views from the front porch. Close to I 64 and I 81. Minutes from shopping. Sold "As is" , home owner will not make repairs. Home Inspection for buyers information only. Appliances and air conditioner are included "As is". The built date is approximate.
-
2022-05-15$130,000 Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Affordable investment property with extra buildable lot. Mountian views from the front porch. Close to I 64 and I 81. Minutes from shopping. Sold "As is" , home owner will not make repairs. Home Inspection for buyers information only. Appliances and air conditioner are included "As is". The built date is approximate.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,284 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,639 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$355/yr (+$30/mo · 27.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,219
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,284
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$3,993
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$958
- After-tax cash flow
- $488/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Staunton City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103690
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,712
- Composite
- 48.23/100
- National rank
- #2163
- State rank
- #73 of 131 in VA
Livability — Staunton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #56
- US rank
- #1524
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Staunton, VA
- County
- Staunton City · 38,756 people
- City population
- 38,756
- Metro
- Staunton, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,756
- Household income
- $66,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Staunton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,515 people
- By 2030
- 26,060 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 27,024 · +5.9%
- By 2050
- 27,926 · +9.4%
- By 2075
- 29,334 · +15.0%
- By 2100
- 29,046 · +13.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Staunton
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.0% · R 42.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.2pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+9.9 2016: D+1.8 2012: D+4.1 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -283.01%
- Current HPI
- 210.049
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.77%
- Metro
- Staunton, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+53.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — GAAR
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — GAAR
- 2026-02-08 Relisted — GAAR
- 2026-02-02 Pending — GAAR
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $199,900 GAAR
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $209,000 GAAR
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $219,900 GAAR
- 2025-07-30 Listed $224,900 GAAR
- 2022-06-15 Sold (MLS) $126,000 GAAR
- 2022-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-26 Pending — GAAR
- 2022-05-15 Listed $130,000 GAAR
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,284 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…