336 Valley St · Robinson, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you’re looking for a “new flooring and fresh paint” kind of project, this one may be worth a tour. This 2-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in the heart of McDonald is ready for its next chapter. Inside, you’ll find a simple, traditional layout with a bright kitchen featuring solid wood cabinetry, a separate dining room (yes, an actual dining room!), and a comfortable living space with natural light throughout. Upstairs offers two bedrooms, a full bath, and a walk-in closet, while the main level includes a recently updated half bath for added convenience. The front porch, redone within the past 10 years, offers a great spot to sit and unwind. Out back, the property features a manageable yard with access from a paved alley and a large shed on a concrete foundation - a standout feature with plenty of storage or workspace potential. A solid home with good bones and an opportunity to update and make it your own.
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Solid wood cabinetry
- Separate dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,651 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Fort Cherry SD (rural): math 34% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #213 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $105k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.85%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,229
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- -37.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Center Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,248 (+7%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $176 | 73 |
| 115 Terrace St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,198 (+3%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $138 | 71 |
| 334 Valley St | 0.01mi | 2/1.5 | 1,067 (-8%) | 18mo | $234,900 | $220 | 70 |
| 142 North St | 0.18mi | 2/1.5 | 1,312 (+13%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $202 | 69 |
| 114 Center Ave | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,178 (+1%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $157 | 65 |
| 402 E Lincoln Ave | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,024 (-12%) | 4mo | $60,888 | $59 | 56 |
| 1223 Laurel Hill Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,194 (+3%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $147 | 55 |
| 447 Valley St | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 | 1,087 (-7%) | 23mo | $203,000 | $187 | 55 |
| 407 4th St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+13%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $167 | 44 |
| 39 Laurel Hill Rd | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,259 (+8%) | 20mo | $78,900 | $63 | 29 |
| 21 Castle St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-13%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $198 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,585
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $18,617
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15057
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,295 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$188 /mo · $2,257/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $241
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 E Lincoln Ave Unit 2 McDonald, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 1d | 1 | 0.27mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $104,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $104,900 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
If you’re looking for a “new flooring and fresh paint” kind of project, this one may be worth a tour. This 2-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in the heart of McDonald is ready for its next chapter. Inside, you’ll find a simple, traditional layout with a bright kitchen featuring solid wood cabinetry, a separate dining room (yes, an actual dining room!), and a comfortable living space with natural light throughout. Upstairs offers two bedrooms, a full bath, and a walk-in closet, while the main level includes a recently updated half bath for added convenience. The front porch, redone within the past 10 years, offers a great spot to sit and unwind. Out back, the property features a manageable yard with access from a paved alley and a large shed on a concrete foundation - a standout feature with plenty of storage or workspace potential. A solid home with good bones and an opportunity to update and make it your own.
-
2026-04-22price $115,000 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
If you’re looking for a “new flooring and fresh paint” kind of project, this one may be worth a tour. This 2-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in the heart of McDonald is ready for its next chapter. Inside, you’ll find a simple, traditional layout with a bright kitchen featuring solid wood cabinetry, a separate dining room (yes, an actual dining room!), and a comfortable living space with natural light throughout. Upstairs offers two bedrooms, a full bath, and a walk-in closet, while the main level includes a recently updated half bath for added convenience. The front porch, redone within the past 10 years, offers a great spot to sit and unwind. Out back, the property features a manageable yard with access from a paved alley and a large shed on a concrete foundation - a standout feature with plenty of storage or workspace potential. A solid home with good bones and an opportunity to update and make it your own.
-
2026-04-05$130,000 Active 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
If you’re looking for a “new flooring and fresh paint” kind of project, this one may be worth a tour. This 2-bedroom, 1.5 bath home in the heart of McDonald is ready for its next chapter. Inside, you’ll find a simple, traditional layout with a bright kitchen featuring solid wood cabinetry, a separate dining room (yes, an actual dining room!), and a comfortable living space with natural light throughout. Upstairs offers two bedrooms, a full bath, and a walk-in closet, while the main level includes a recently updated half bath for added convenience. The front porch, redone within the past 10 years, offers a great spot to sit and unwind. Out back, the property features a manageable yard with access from a paved alley and a large shed on a concrete foundation - a standout feature with plenty of storage or workspace potential. A solid home with good bones and an opportunity to update and make it your own.
-
1978-07-21soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,257 · $188/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,257 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,540
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$2,257
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,243
- − Management
- −$1,243
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $1,344
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,571/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Cherry SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209960
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,129
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3564
- State rank
- #213 of 539 in PA
Livability — Robinson
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1651
- US rank
- #22918
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 727
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,162
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Asian 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.77%
- Current HPI
- 266.0112
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+191.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $104,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $115,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-05 Listed $130,000 West Penn MLS
- 1978-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2026): $2,257 · +26.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…