1202 Behrman Ave · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
<br><br> Situated on a desirable corner lot (64x120 lot!), the property features a spacious fenced backyard perfect for entertaining, gardening, pets, or simply enjoying the outdoors. A large rear deck provides the ideal setting for morning coffee, weekend gatherings, and seamless access to the yard below. <br><br> Inside, you'll find comfortable living spaces, well-appointed bedrooms, and a layout designed for everyday living. Beneath the home is an impressive walkable storage area, offering ample space for tools, equipment, seasonal items, and more--a rare and valuable feature. <br><br> Located in a coveted X Flood Zone, this property combines peace of mind with exceptional functionality and charm. If you're looking for a move-in-ready home with abundant natural light, stylish updates, generous storage, and outdoor living space, this one is not to be missed.
Key facts
- Coveted x flood zone
- New fortified roof
- Large rear deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition listed as excellent
- Financial info: Not specified
- HOA & community: Not specified
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; Three or more parking spaces
- Security: Not specified
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story property; Raised foundation
- Construction: Shingle roof; Built in date not specified; Raised foundation
- Exterior features: Fence; Corner lot; City lot; Lot dimensions approximately 64 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Not specified
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic with pull-down attic stairs
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (14.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $239k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elem. Math And Science (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 747 students, 98% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,392/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 2240% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $279k implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.92%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $520,572
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 437 Abalon Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,392 (-2%) | 3mo | $470,000 | $196 | 54 |
| 400 Abalon Ct | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 2,414 (-1%) | 15mo | $515,000 | $213 | 49 |
| 449 Abalon Ct | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,322 (-5%) | 2mo | $510,000 | $220 | 49 |
| 407 Abalon Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,300 (-6%) | 2mo | $502,000 | $218 | 49 |
| 524 Atlantic Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 | 2,273 (-7%) | 17mo | $425,000 | $187 | 37 |
| 520 Atlantic Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,115 (-14%) | 23mo | $430,000 | $203 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-44,390
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-55,839
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70114
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,392 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,439/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $282 | -5% $203 | +0% $124 | +5% $45 | +10% $-34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-65 | -5% $29 | +0% $124 | +5% $218 | +10% $313 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $264 | -0.5pp $195 | base $124 | +0.5pp $52 | +1.0pp $-22 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1414 Sumner St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 17d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 527 Atlantic Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,050 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 729 Elmira Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2320 Mardi Gras Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 513 Park Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1825 Murl St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2484 | $1,750 | $0.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 249 Vallette St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3441 Catalina Dr New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,450 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 639 Desire St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2687 | $5,500 | $2.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3400 Royal St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3300 | $6,900 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $279,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $279,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $289,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $289,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$289,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,439 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,534 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 6.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$1,439
- − Insurance
- −$2,192
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,296
- − Management
- −$2,296
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$3,265
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$784
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,659
- Household income
- $43,493
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2240.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.56%
- Current HPI
- 149.0172
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.72%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+351.6% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $289,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $289,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-14 Sold (MLS) $67,500 GSREIN
- 2025-11-02 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2025-09-09 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2025-08-19 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $79,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $79,000 GSREIN
- 2025-04-09 Price Changed $99,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-09 Price Changed $99,000 GSREIN
- 2025-03-18 Listed $109,000 GSREIN
- 2025-03-18 Listed $109,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) $60,000 GSREIN
- 2023-07-28 Pending — GSREIN
- 2023-07-12 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2023-06-06 Pending — GSREIN
- 2023-05-22 Listed $64,000 GSREIN
- 2023-05-22 Listed $64,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-05-15 Listed $64,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,439 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…