1664 Beach Blvd Unit J 146 · Biloxi, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully Updated Two-Bedroom Condo in Prime Location! Discover this meticulously maintained two-bedroom condo, just a short stroll from the beach, shops, and restaurants. This condo features ample storage, stylish tile baseboards, and modern stainless steel appliances complemented by a chic tile backsplash. Enjoy an array of amenities within the subdivision, including two sparkling pools, a playground, and a fully equipped gym. Don't miss your chance to see this gem—schedule a visit today, and you won't be disappointed!
Key facts
- Two sparkling pools
- Updated condo
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (12.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in Biloxi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
- Biloxi Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #7 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Back Bay Elementary School (math 51% / reading 50%, grade D+, #59 of 375 statewide, top 16%, 535 students, 99% FRL); Biloxi Junior High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 881 students, 100% FRL); Biloxi High School (math 65% / reading 53%, grade C+, #7 of 197 statewide, top 3%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 59% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 268 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.55%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,000
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -19.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1664 Beach Blvd #63 | 0.05mi | 2/1.5 | 985 (0%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $162 | 95 |
| 1658 Hollywood Blvd | 0.86mi | 2/1.0 | 1,017 (+3%) | 3mo | $164,000 | $161 | 55 |
| 1703 State St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+22%) | 0mo | $139,900 | $116 | 53 |
| 319 Belvedere Dr | 1.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+4%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $157 | 51 |
| 153 Saint Peter St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,132 (+15%) | 0mo | $149,000 | $132 | 42 |
| 179 Summer Pl | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 739 (-25%) | 0mo | $175,900 | $238 | 38 |
| 2046 Beach Blvd Unit A321 | 1.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+17%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $164 | 36 |
| 2046 Beach Blvd Unit C114 | 1.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+17%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $213 | 35 |
| 2046 Beach Blvd Unit C311 | 1.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+17%) | 3mo | $239,900 | $208 | 35 |
| 325 Hiller Dr | 1.06mi | 2/1.0 | 821 (-17%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $158 | 35 |
| 1728 James Buchanan Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+18%) | 4mo | $179,900 | $155 | 30 |
| 182 Althea St | 0.85mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+21%) | 4mo | $82,000 | $69 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-36,916
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -52.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.44×
- Total profit
- $-60,528
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Median asking
- $169,000 ($172/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 305 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +10.1% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 39531
- Home prices YoY
- -13.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 268
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,747 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$468
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $-124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-21 | -5% $-72 | +0% $-124 | +5% $-176 | +10% $-228 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-262 | -5% $-193 | +0% $-124 | +5% $-55 | +10% $14 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-49 | -0.5pp $-86 | base $-124 | +0.5pp $-163 | +1.0pp $-202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1664 Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 801 | $2,100 | $2.62 | 62d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 1664 Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $2,295 | $2.33 | 92d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 122 Coral Breeze Dr Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,700 | $2.70 | 92d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1702 Stevens St Biloxi, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 92d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 118 Coral Breeze Dr Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 62d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1713 Stevens St Unit A Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 70d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1667 Irish Hill Dr Biloxi, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 862 | $1,049 | $1.22 | 62d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1616 Gordon Ave Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,425 | $1.58 | 70d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 245 Mc Donnell Ave Unit E-131 Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $995 | $1.34 | 92d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 245 Mc Donnell Ave Unit G-147 Biloxi, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,500 | $2.47 | 70d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 245 Mc Donnell Ave Unit I-164 Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $1,195 | $1.60 | 92d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 150 Pat Harrison St Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 673 | $1,025 | $1.52 | 92d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 245 Mc Donnell Ave Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,595 | $2.06 | 70d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1496 Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 62d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1910 Southern Ave Biloxi, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 725 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 62d | 2 | 0.89mi |
| 330 Belvedere Dr Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 62d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1282 Beach Blvd #216 Biloxi, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,895 | $2.71 | 62d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1282 Beach Blvd #123 Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 70d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1282 Beach Blvd #106 Biloxi, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 70d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2068 Beach Blvd Unit 142 Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 62d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2068 Beach Blvd Unit 342 Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 62d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2068 Beach Blvd Unit 202 Biloxi, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 92d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail $468/mo · $5,616/yr condo
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $149,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $149,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $149,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $149,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $149,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $149,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $149,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $149,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $149,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $149,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $149,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $149,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $149,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $149,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $149,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $149,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $149,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $149,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $149,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $149,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $149,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $149,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $149,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $149,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $149,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $149,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $149,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $149,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $149,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $149,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $149,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $149,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $149,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $149,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $149,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $149,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $149,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-25pricedays on market $149,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $152,990 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $152,990 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,990 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,990 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $152,990 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,990 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $152,990 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,990 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $152,990 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $152,990 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $152,990 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $152,990 Active 167 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,959
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,677
- − Management
- −$1,677
- − HOA
- −$5,616
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$3,766
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$904
- After-tax cash flow
- $-585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This two-bedroom condo is in excellent condition with modern updates and amenities. It's move-in ready and would benefit from some exterior painting and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes and improves functionality ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes and improves functionality ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Biloxi Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800630
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,608
- Composite
- 45.26/100
- National rank
- #2657
- State rank
- #7 of 130 in MS
Livability — Biloxi
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2141
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Biloxi, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 228,444 people
- City population
- 63,281
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,918
- Household income
- $54,218
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.97%
- Current HPI
- 193.4018
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.05%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-9.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $152,990 MLSU
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $159,999 MLSU
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $162,000 MLSU
- 2025-12-19 Listed $169,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…