6264 Holcomb St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$22,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special at 6264 Holcomb, located on Detroit’s east side in a federal opportunity zone. This single-family property offers strong upside potential for investors looking for a value-add opportunity. Property is in need of renovation—perfect for fix-and-flip or long-term hold strategy. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping, and local amenities.
Key facts
- Shopping
- Local amenities
- 3,049 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Built area above grade approximately 1,033 square feet
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 30 x 106.42 (0.07 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Radiant heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 47.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $152 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $660 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1k; list at $22k implies a 2100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 47.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 146.13%
- DSCR
- 7.50
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $36,100
- List price
- $22,000
- Delta
- -30.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8953 Culver St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,046 (+1%) | 9mo | $26,000 | $25 | 72 |
| 6156 Iroquois St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,148 (+11%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $44 | 62 |
| 6130 Maxwell St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 958 (-7%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $42 | 58 |
| 8221 Marion St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,070 (+4%) | 8mo | $42,080 | $39 | 58 |
| 9354 Bessemore St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,125 (+9%) | 16mo | $23,000 | $20 | 57 |
| 8903 May St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (-11%) | 14mo | $8,000 | $9 | 57 |
| 5232 Mcclellan St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,001 (-3%) | 0mo | $33,000 | $33 | 56 |
| 5327 Holcomb St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,046 (+1%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $29 | 55 |
| 5336 Fischer St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,096 (+6%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $41 | 44 |
| 8293 Marion St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+12%) | 17mo | $36,000 | $31 | 40 |
| 5832 Garland St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,169 (+13%) | 6mo | $29,900 | $26 | 38 |
| 5120 Belvidere St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,098 (+6%) | 12mo | $83,500 | $76 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.18×
- Total profit
- $44,230
- Equity at exit
- $3,280
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.25×
- Total profit
- $100,106
- Equity at exit
- $1,902
Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48213
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,142 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$115
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$28 /mo · $330/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $750
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,500
- Closing costs
- $660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9354 Bessemore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,294 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5858 Seneca St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1348 | $999 | $0.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9142 Isham Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,344 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 8545 Maxwell St Unit 8525 8525 2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8215 Badger St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5342 Cooper St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5380 Maxwell St Unit 5380 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 17d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 8193 Traverse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,382 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4735 Rohns St Unit 2A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4735 Rohns St Unit 6A Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4735 Rohns St Unit 4A Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4811 Seyburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,037 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4190 Hurlbut St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $945 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3954 Saint Clair St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $650 | $0.60 | 11d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $22,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $22,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $22,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $22,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $22,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $22,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $22,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $22,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $22,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $22,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $22,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $22,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $22,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-04-09$25,000 Active 377-char remark
-
2026-04-09$25,000 Active 367-char remark
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-03-24$28,000 Active
-
2026-03-24$28,000 Active
-
2016-07-18soldstatus $1,000
-
2016-07-06historical
-
2016-07-01soldstatus $1,000 Sold
-
2016-07-01soldstatus $1,000 Closed
-
2016-06-15status Pending
-
2016-06-15status Pending
-
2016-05-31price $1,500
-
2016-05-31price $1,500
-
2016-05-27status Active
-
2016-05-27status Active
-
2016-05-12status Pending
-
2016-05-12status Pending
-
2016-04-13$1,690 Active
-
2016-04-11$1,690 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,232
- − Property taxes
- −$330
- − Insurance
- −$110
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,096
- − Management
- −$1,096
- − Depreciation
- −$640
- Taxable income
- $9,199
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,208
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,075
- Household income
- $34,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.86%
- Current HPI
- 217.2037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+1201.8% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $1,000 Public Records
- 2016-07-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-01 Sold (MLS) $1,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-01 Sold (MLS) $1,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-06-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-06-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-05-31 Price Changed $1,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-31 Price Changed $1,500 REALCOMP
- 2016-05-27 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-27 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2016-05-12 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-12 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-04-13 Listed $1,690 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-11 Listed $1,690 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+13.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,719 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…