231 Main St · Quitaque, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a carport. Large front and back yard, with a pecan tree. Schedule an appointment today!
Key facts
- Pecan tree
- Front and back yard
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#951 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Turkey-Quitaque ISD (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #262 of 1,141 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Briscoe County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.87%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $29,702
- Equity at exit
- $35,971
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $77,637
- Equity at exit
- $55,436
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79255
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,071 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $940/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $360 | -5% $338 | +0% $315 | +5% $292 | +10% $270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $230 | -5% $273 | +0% $315 | +5% $357 | +10% $400 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $355 | -0.5pp $335 | base $315 | +0.5pp $294 | +1.0pp $273 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-03-04$80,000 Active 115-char remark
Show marketing remark (115 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a carport. Large front and back yard, with a pecan tree. Schedule an appointment today!
-
2026-01-16price $80,000
-
2025-07-24soldstatus
-
2021-05-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$524/yr (+$44/mo · 55.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,853
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$940
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,028
- − Management
- −$1,028
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$636
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Turkey-Quitaque ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843400
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,595
- Composite
- 47.3/100
- National rank
- #5051
- State rank
- #262 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Quitaque
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #951
- US rank
- #16927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quitaque, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 448
Population outlook (Briscoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,366 people
- By 2030
- 1,300 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 1,176 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 1,054 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 865 · -36.7%
- By 2100
- 691 · -49.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Briscoe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.8) · D 9.7% · R 89.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.6pp · 2024: -79.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.8 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+72.8 2012: R+65.6 2008: R+49.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $80,000 AARMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $80,000 AARMLS
- 2025-07-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-05-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $940 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…