121 Dill Ave · Grand Coulee, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable investment opportunity near Grand Coulee Dam. 1983 single wide manufactured home with solid potential for improvement. Property requires cosmetic updates and is well-suited for investors or buyers seeking a renovation project. Cash purchase only, Sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information to their satisfaction.
Key facts
- 6,878 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1983
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#381 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Grand Coulee Dam School District (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #262 of 291 in WA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 559 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
- Grant County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $57k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.16%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,469
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -36.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 533 Osullivan | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 908 (-2%) | 11mo | $20,000 | $22 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $37,554
- Equity at exit
- $31,861
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.45×
- Total profit
- $93,480
- Equity at exit
- $47,701
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99133
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $660/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $475
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $518 | -5% $497 | +0% $475 | +5% $454 | +10% $433 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $380 | -5% $428 | +0% $475 | +5% $523 | +10% $571 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $513 | -0.5pp $494 | base $475 | +0.5pp $456 | +1.0pp $436 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-04-20price $75,000
-
2026-03-30price $89,000
-
2026-03-17$100,000 Active
-
2018-09-14soldstatus $57,000 Sold
-
2018-09-14soldstatus $57,000
-
2018-08-30status Pending
-
2018-07-06price $64,300
-
2018-06-12price $65,800
-
2018-05-02$67,500 Active
-
1993-04-19soldstatus $16,000
-
1982-11-01soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $660 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $735 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 11.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,505
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$660
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,160
- − Management
- −$1,160
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,766
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,144
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,560/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Coulee Dam School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303130
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,635
- Composite
- 30.27/100
- National rank
- #11563
- State rank
- #262 of 291 in WA
Livability — Grand Coulee
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #381
- US rank
- #15025
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Coulee, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,341
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,356 people
- By 2030
- 102,107 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 108,318 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 114,712 · +15.5%
- By 2075
- 131,376 · +32.2%
- By 2100
- 146,163 · +47.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Native American 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.4% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.56%
- Current HPI
- 210.3573
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+733.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $89,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Listed $100,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-14 Sold (MLS) $57,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-30 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-06 Price Changed $64,300 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-12 Price Changed $65,800 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-02 Listed $67,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1982-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2026): $660 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…