422 May Dr · Adrian, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 422 May Dr in Adrian, MI! This well-maintained 3-bedroom ranch offers comfortable, open-concept main floor living with the added convenience of a spacious walk-in closet in the primary bedroom. A rear mudroom creates the perfect everyday drop zone. The finished lower level expands your living space with a generous family room, a 4th non-conforming bedroom or home office, and an additional flex room to fit your needs. Enjoy multiple areas to relax and entertain, including a welcoming front porch, back deck, and a cozy sunroom off the 2-car garage.
Key facts
- Rear mudroom
- Walk-in closet
- Front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning; Cross streets: July & Division
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade finished area and additional finished space below grade
- Exterior features: Public maintained road; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 128 (0.18 acres); Subdivision: SPRINGTIME ACRES; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Finished full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.7% in Adrian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#342 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Madison School District (Lenawee) (town): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #195 of 540 in MI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $81k; list at $155k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.09%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $265,460
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422 May Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 2,042 (0%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $79 | 100 |
| 1151 July Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,850 (-9%) | 10mo | $164,800 | $89 | 73 |
| 750 Dennis St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 2,050 (+0%) | 11mo | $146,260 | $71 | 54 |
| 1955 Harold St | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,120 (+4%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $130 | 48 |
| 1872 Allan St | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,904 (-7%) | 11mo | $334,000 | $175 | 37 |
| 1931 Harold St | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,822 (-11%) | 10mo | $330,000 | $181 | 32 |
| 1942 Harold St | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,830 (-10%) | 22mo | $289,900 | $158 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-13,371
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,515
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49221
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,565 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $184
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to 422 May Dr in Adrian, MI! This well-maintained 3-bedroom ranch offers comfortable, open-concept main floor living with the added convenience of a spacious walk-in closet in the primary bedroom. A rear mudroom creates the perfect everyday drop zone. The finished lower level expands your living space with a generous family room, a 4th non-conforming bedroom or home office, and an additional flex room to fit your needs. Enjoy multiple areas to relax and entertain, including a welcoming front porch, back deck, and a cozy sunroom off the 2-car garage.
-
2026-05-04status Pending 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to 422 May Dr in Adrian, MI! This well-maintained 3-bedroom ranch offers comfortable, open-concept main floor living with the added convenience of a spacious walk-in closet in the primary bedroom. A rear mudroom creates the perfect everyday drop zone. The finished lower level expands your living space with a generous family room, a 4th non-conforming bedroom or home office, and an additional flex room to fit your needs. Enjoy multiple areas to relax and entertain, including a welcoming front porch, back deck, and a cozy sunroom off the 2-car garage.
-
2026-04-27$155,000 Active
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to 422 May Dr in Adrian, MI! This well-maintained 3-bedroom ranch offers comfortable, open-concept main floor living with the added convenience of a spacious walk-in closet in the primary bedroom. A rear mudroom creates the perfect everyday drop zone. The finished lower level expands your living space with a generous family room, a 4th non-conforming bedroom or home office, and an additional flex room to fit your needs. Enjoy multiple areas to relax and entertain, including a welcoming front porch, back deck, and a cozy sunroom off the 2-car garage.
-
2026-04-27$155,000 Active 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to 422 May Dr in Adrian, MI! This well-maintained 3-bedroom ranch offers comfortable, open-concept main floor living with the added convenience of a spacious walk-in closet in the primary bedroom. A rear mudroom creates the perfect everyday drop zone. The finished lower level expands your living space with a generous family room, a 4th non-conforming bedroom or home office, and an additional flex room to fit your needs. Enjoy multiple areas to relax and entertain, including a welcoming front porch, back deck, and a cozy sunroom off the 2-car garage.
-
2020-12-11soldstatus $81,000
-
2020-12-08soldstatus $81,000 Sold 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Calling all investors or anyone looking for a new project! Check out this ranch style home located in the heart of Adrian. This home offers 3 first level bedrooms with a long bathroom with 2 entrances for quick navigation throughout the house. First floor laundry with a finished basement featuring 2 more additional rooms, a dry bar and a separate utility room. Front and rear deck area perfect for relaxing and entertaining along with a 4 season room! 2 car garage with an awesome covered walk in area to the house. Enjoy the fenced in, low maintenance, yard on a low-traffic street. All while shopping centers, restaurants, banks, etc. are less than a minute drive away!
-
2020-12-08soldstatus $81,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Calling all investors or anyone looking for a new project! Check out this ranch style home located in the heart of Adrian. This home offers 3 first level bedrooms with a long bathroom with 2 entrances for quick navigation throughout the house. First floor laundry with a finished basement featuring 2 more additional rooms, a dry bar and a separate utility room. Front and rear deck area perfect for relaxing and entertaining along with a 4 season room! 2 car garage with an awesome covered walk in area to the house. Enjoy the fenced in, low maintenance, yard on a low-traffic street. All while shopping centers, restaurants, banks, etc. are less than a minute drive away!
-
2020-10-19historical Contingent - Continue To Show 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Calling all investors or anyone looking for a new project! Check out this ranch style home located in the heart of Adrian. This home offers 3 first level bedrooms with a long bathroom with 2 entrances for quick navigation throughout the house. First floor laundry with a finished basement featuring 2 more additional rooms, a dry bar and a separate utility room. Front and rear deck area perfect for relaxing and entertaining along with a 4 season room! 2 car garage with an awesome covered walk in area to the house. Enjoy the fenced in, low maintenance, yard on a low-traffic street. All while shopping centers, restaurants, banks, etc. are less than a minute drive away!
-
2020-10-19historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Calling all investors or anyone looking for a new project! Check out this ranch style home located in the heart of Adrian. This home offers 3 first level bedrooms with a long bathroom with 2 entrances for quick navigation throughout the house. First floor laundry with a finished basement featuring 2 more additional rooms, a dry bar and a separate utility room. Front and rear deck area perfect for relaxing and entertaining along with a 4 season room! 2 car garage with an awesome covered walk in area to the house. Enjoy the fenced in, low maintenance, yard on a low-traffic street. All while shopping centers, restaurants, banks, etc. are less than a minute drive away!
-
2020-10-09$75,900 Active 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Calling all investors or anyone looking for a new project! Check out this ranch style home located in the heart of Adrian. This home offers 3 first level bedrooms with a long bathroom with 2 entrances for quick navigation throughout the house. First floor laundry with a finished basement featuring 2 more additional rooms, a dry bar and a separate utility room. Front and rear deck area perfect for relaxing and entertaining along with a 4 season room! 2 car garage with an awesome covered walk in area to the house. Enjoy the fenced in, low maintenance, yard on a low-traffic street. All while shopping centers, restaurants, banks, etc. are less than a minute drive away!
-
2020-10-09$75,900 Active
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
Calling all investors or anyone looking for a new project! Check out this ranch style home located in the heart of Adrian. This home offers 3 first level bedrooms with a long bathroom with 2 entrances for quick navigation throughout the house. First floor laundry with a finished basement featuring 2 more additional rooms, a dry bar and a separate utility room. Front and rear deck area perfect for relaxing and entertaining along with a 4 season room! 2 car garage with an awesome covered walk in area to the house. Enjoy the fenced in, low maintenance, yard on a low-traffic street. All while shopping centers, restaurants, banks, etc. are less than a minute drive away!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,100 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,243 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- +$144/yr (+$12/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,784
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,503
- − Management
- −$1,503
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$288
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$69
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,280/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison School District (Lenawee)
- NCES district ID
- 2622320
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,961
- Composite
- 35.35/100
- National rank
- #4959
- State rank
- #195 of 540 in MI
Livability — Adrian
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #342
- US rank
- #8722
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adrian, MI
- City population
- 41,041
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,041
Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,497 people
- By 2030
- 92,722 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 85,641 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 77,971 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 60,043 · -37.1%
- By 2100
- 41,468 · -56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.64%
- Current HPI
- 237.3796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+104.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Listed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-08 Sold (MLS) $81,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-12-08 Sold (MLS) $81,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-19 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2020-10-19 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-09 Listed $75,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-09 Listed $75,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,100 · -11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…