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C- Composite 51.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

10738 Mckinney St · Detroit, MI 48224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 993 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 103 Days on market
Built 1952 4,356 sqft lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1952

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 484 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $113,659 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.09%
Cash-on-cash
6.42%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$63,552
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10830 Mckinney St 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,066 (+7%) 1mo $40,199 $38 84
10319 Mckinney St 0.25mi 4/1.0 (+1) 990 (-0%) 1mo $25,000 $25 82
11545 Roxbury St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,003 (+1%) 1mo $65,000 $65 80
11017 Worden St 0.39mi 3/1.0 961 (-3%) 0mo $47,500 $49 76
10945 Peerless St 0.42mi 3/1.0 964 (-3%) 2mo $54,000 $56 74
20244 Mccormick St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+1%) 1mo $75,000 $75 68
11640 Somerset Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,028 (+4%) 0mo $70,000 $68 66
6106 Oldtown St 0.59mi 3/1.5 961 (-3%) 1mo $132,000 $137 64
20300 Mccormick St 0.65mi 3/1.0 940 (-5%) 1mo $60,000 $64 60
9369 Sanilac St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,124 (+13%) 1mo $65,000 $58 59
12056 Duchess St 0.74mi 3/1.0 950 (-4%) 3mo $30,000 $32 56
9771 Mckinney St 0.55mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,112 (+12%) 2mo $100,000 $90 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-11,262
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,007
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48224

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
484
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,864/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,092
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 0.05mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.06mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 12d 1 0.07mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 0.19mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 3d 1 0.26mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 0.37mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 12d 1 0.39mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 43d 1 0.42mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 4d 1 0.43mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 0.44mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 43d 1 0.45mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 43d 1 0.49mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 0.49mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 2d 1 0.56mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 3d 1 0.60mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 17d 1 0.61mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.62mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 43d 1 0.63mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 14d 1 0.64mi
17710 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 984 $1,250 $1.27 43d 1 0.65mi
17720 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 986 $1,250 $1.27 43d 1 0.66mi
5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 802 $1,400 $1.75 17d 1 0.68mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 17d 1 0.72mi
20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,399 $1.27 14d 1 0.73mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 43d 1 0.74mi
5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 0.74mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 0.75mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.76mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 12d 1 0.76mi
19365 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 4.0 1.5 996 $1,650 $1.66 14d 1 0.78mi
19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.81mi
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 16d 1 0.83mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 17d 1 0.89mi
9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 797 $1,100 $1.38 43d 1 0.91mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 0.92mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.94mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 14d 1 0.95mi
5915 Farmbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,250 $1.25 24d 1 0.96mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 0.97mi
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 916 $1,500 $1.64 17d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2024-12-17
    status Pending 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

  2. 2024-06-11
    soldstatus $124,900
  3. 2024-04-15
    status Pending 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

  4. 2024-04-15
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

  5. 2024-04-14
    historical 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

  6. 2024-01-19
    price $124,900 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

  7. 2024-01-18
    price $124,900
  8. 2024-01-03
    listed $134,900 Active 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

  9. 2024-01-03
    listed $134,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

  10. 2024-01-03
    listed $124,900 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to 10738 McKinney!! This charming single-family residence features 3 cozy bedrooms and 1.5 updated bathrooms. From the moment you step inside, you'll be impressed with the newly refinished hardwood floors that span the main level, and the brand new carpet in the upstairs primary retreat. The main bathroom has been thoughtfully renovated with modern touches, while the remodeled kitchen boasts stunning granite countertops and a newly tiled floor. Rest assured knowing this home is outfitted with new plumbing and electrical systems, offering peace of mind for years to come. Enjoy additional living space in the open basement, complete with a convenient half bath. Outside, you'll appreciate the new roof and siding on the spacious 2-car garage, which also features a new door opener.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,864 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,894 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$30/yr (+$2/mo · 1.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,943
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,864
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,275
− Management
−$1,275
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$274
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$66
After-tax cash flow
$2,181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,668
Household income
$44,856
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
2515.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -226.38%
Current HPI
161.886
Rent YoY
▲ 0.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $124,900 Public Records
  • 2024-04-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-04-15 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-04-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-19 Price Changed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-01-18 Price Changed $124,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-01-03 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-01-03 Listed $134,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2024-01-03 Listed $134,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,864 · +47.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…