25287 Leach St · Roseville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
To FOLOOW
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.0% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
- Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $110k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.91%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,630
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -26.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25247 Lehner St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 690 (0%) | 17mo | $143,000 | $207 | 81 |
| 25241 Rosenbusch Blvd | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (+5%) | 3mo | $127,000 | $175 | 79 |
| 26211 Clancy St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+1%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $171 | 72 |
| 25119 Leach St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+1%) | 22mo | $118,000 | $169 | 72 |
| 26301 Clancy St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+4%) | 3mo | $111,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 25224 Send St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+15%) | 9mo | $126,000 | $159 | 65 |
| 26760 Lehner St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-3%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 25296 Send St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+14%) | 20mo | $128,000 | $163 | 59 |
| 26093 Nagel St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-3%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $193 | 57 |
| 26333 Belanger St | 0.50mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 650 (-6%) | 11mo | $42,000 | $65 | 52 |
| 25680 Dodge St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 762 (+10%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $118 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-9,881
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-7,078
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48066
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$263 /mo · $3,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $177
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26160 Regency Club Dr Warren, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,470 | $1.45 | 2d | 15 | 0.43mi |
Listing history 25 events
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2026-05-11status Pending 9-char remark
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To FOLOOW
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2026-05-11status Pending 9-char remark
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To FOLOOW
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2026-05-02price $110,000 9-char remark
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To FOLOOW
-
2026-05-02price $110,000 9-char remark
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To FOLOOW
-
2026-04-27price $115,000 9-char remark
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To FOLOOW
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2026-04-27price $115,000 9-char remark
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To FOLOOW
-
2026-04-15$120,000 Active 9-char remark
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To FOLOOW
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2026-04-15$120,000 Active 9-char remark
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To FOLOOW
-
2019-12-04soldstatus $72,000
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2019-11-20soldstatus $72,000 Sold
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2019-11-20soldstatus $72,000 Closed
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2019-10-22status Pending
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2019-10-22status Pending
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2019-10-17$65,000 Active
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2019-10-17$65,000 Active
-
1999-01-08soldstatus $67,000
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1998-10-09soldstatus $67,000
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1997-09-17historical
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1997-06-02$68,500
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1996-04-01soldstatus $59,600
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1996-03-15soldstatus $59,000
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1996-02-02historical
-
1996-01-20$60,000
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1990-08-01soldstatus $46,250
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1979-09-12soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,150 · $263/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,150 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$3,150
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $494
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$119
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roseville Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630210
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,590
- Composite
- 14.98/100
- National rank
- #9363
- State rank
- #483 of 540 in MI
Livability — Roseville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #6400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roseville, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 47,123
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,123
- Household income
- $62,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.95%
- Current HPI
- 217.4171
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+254.8% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-20 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-11-20 Sold (MLS) $72,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-10-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-10-17 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-17 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-09 Sold (MLS) $67,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-09-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-06-02 Listed $68,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1996-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,600 Public Records
- 1996-03-15 Sold (MLS) $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1996-02-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1996-01-20 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,250 Public Records
- 1979-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,150 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…