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426 3rd St
C- Composite 54.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$135,000

426 3rd St · Hugo, CO 80821
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,485 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1920 7,000 sqft lot Est $266k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming opportunity in the heart of Hugo! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home also features a second bathroom currently in the process of being installed, offering even more potential for future value. The exterior of the home is in fantastic condition, and the fully fenced backyard provides a wonderful space for pets, gardening, entertaining, or simply relaxing outdoors. A standout feature is the oversized two-car garage, perfect for extra storage, a workshop, hobby space, or additional parking. Inside, remodeling has already been started, giving the next owner a head start on bringing this home to life. While the renovation was not completed, the possibilities are endless for someone ready to add their own style and finishing touches. If you've ever dreamed of owning a fixer-upper with great bones and tons of potential, this could be the perfect project to create an adorable home full of character and charm! Call to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • 7,000 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACKYARDOVERSIZED TWO-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Unattached property
  • Construction: Built with cement siding and frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator; Standard kitchen appliances
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (2 on the main level, 1 on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Washer and Dryer included; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-98/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (1.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (19.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#42 in CO, #4,990 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Genoa-Hugo School District No. C-113 (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #143 of 176 in CO (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $135k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $108,358 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.26%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$265,815
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
722 6th St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-2%) 5mo $175,900 $121 66
325 Roundhouse St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,492 (+0%) 14mo $275,000 $184 59
215 6th St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,328 (-11%) 3mo $250,000 $188 54
322 3rd St 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,336 (-10%) 22mo $183,300 $137 51
311 Silver St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,539 (+4%) 7mo $275,000 $179 48
717 8th Ave 0.49mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-10%) 23mo $130,000 $97 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$43,806
Equity at exit
$90,584
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
4.39×
Total profit
$128,008
Equity at exit
$169,446

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80821

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$-8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,094
Max offer price $133,558
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $135,000 Active 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Charming opportunity in the heart of Hugo! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home also features a second bathroom currently in the process of being installed, offering even more potential for future value. The exterior of the home is in fantastic condition, and the fully fenced backyard provides a wonderful space for pets, gardening, entertaining, or simply relaxing outdoors. A standout feature is the oversized two-car garage, perfect for extra storage, a workshop, hobby space, or additional parking. Inside, remodeling has already been started, giving the next owner a head start on bringing this home to life. While the renovation was not completed, the possibilities are endless for someone ready to add their own style and finishing touches. If you've ever dreamed of owning a fixer-upper with great bones and tons of potential, this could be the perfect project to create an adorable home full of character and charm! Call to schedule your showing!

  17. 2026-05-14
    listed $135,000 Active 947-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Charming opportunity in the heart of Hugo! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home also features a second bathroom currently in the process of being installed, offering even more potential for future value. The exterior of the home is in fantastic condition, and the fully fenced backyard provides a wonderful space for pets, gardening, entertaining, or simply relaxing outdoors. A standout feature is the oversized two-car garage, perfect for extra storage, a workshop, hobby space, or additional parking. Inside, remodeling has already been started, giving the next owner a head start on bringing this home to life. While the renovation was not completed, the possibilities are endless for someone ready to add their own style and finishing touches. If you've ever dreamed of owning a fixer-upper with great bones and tons of potential, this could be the perfect project to create an adorable home full of character and charm! Call to schedule your showing!

  18. 2001-11-06
    soldstatus $75,000
  19. 1998-08-17
    soldstatus $51,000
  20. 1994-05-24
    soldstatus $35,000
  21. 1991-09-27
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,200 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,200 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,003
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,040
− Management
−$1,040
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$2,442
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$586
After-tax cash flow
$488/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Genoa-Hugo School District No. C-113
NCES district ID
0804740
Math proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$43,116
Composite
22.46/100
National rank
#13461
State rank
#143 of 176 in CO

Livability — Hugo

Score
73/100
State rank
#42
US rank
#4990

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hugo, CO
Population (ZIP)
1,250

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,641 people
By 2030
5,650 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,679 · +0.7%
By 2050
5,657 · +0.3%
By 2075
5,431 · -3.7%
By 2100
4,258 · -24.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 6% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.5) · D 16.8% · R 81.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-13.7pp toward R · 2008: -50.8pp · 2024: -64.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.5 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+61.4 2012: R+50.1 2008: R+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.66%
Current HPI
311.6723
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+285.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $135,000 IRES
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $135,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 1998-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 1994-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1991-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,200 · +65.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…