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464 Third Ave Multi-family
C Composite 56.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$519,000

464 Third Ave · West Haven, CT 06516
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,556 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1908 9,583 sqft lot $203/sqft · at area comps Est $509k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks for this centrally located 2 family house. Each unit features 2/3 bedrooms, living room, dining room and kitchen. Extra space in partially finished walk up attic. Needs work but offers a tremendous opportunity for owner occupants or investors. 2 car detached garage rounds out the picture. Come see today!

Key facts

  • I-95
  • Train station
  • West haven beaches

Tags

WEST HAVEN BEACHESTRAIN STATIONI-95I-91MERRITT PARKWAYUNIVERSITY OF NEW HAVEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 4 total parking spaces; 1 garage
  • Utilities: Public water connection; Public sewer connection; Natural gas and oil fuel
  • Home design: Multi-family property (2-family)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Brick and masonry foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: 12 total rooms; Full basement; Walk-up attic
  • Laundry & utility: 40-gallon electric hot water tank

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $519k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $943 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $519k).
  • Recommended offer: $511k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.3% in West Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in CT, #915 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D.
  • West Haven School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #121 of 153 in CT (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Haven High School (math 23% / reading 39%, grade F, #135 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 1,780 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,747/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 2671% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($511k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $131k; list at $519k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $511,215 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.78%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$509,220
List price
$519,000
Delta
1.92%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
440 Third Ave 0.05mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,482 (-3%) 9mo $500,000 $201 77
8 Prospect Pl 0.33mi 5/3.0 2,729 (+7%) 2mo $629,900 $231 68
24 George St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,548 (-0%) 6mo $550,000 $216 67
76 Center St 0.18mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,201 (-14%) 2mo $500,000 $227 62
327 Center St 0.48mi 6/4.0 (+1) 2,683 (+5%) 2mo $450,000 $168 55
248 Elm St 0.39mi 5/3.0 2,851 (+12%) 9mo $460,000 $161 51
33 Jones St 0.40mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,288 (-10%) 9mo $470,000 $205 51
105 Church St 0.60mi 5/2.5 2,291 (-10%) 5mo $428,000 $187 48
626 Savin Ave 0.52mi 5/3.0 2,840 (+11%) 7mo $560,000 $197 48
9 Bayview Pl 0.35mi 6/4.0 (+1) 2,796 (+9%) 9mo $875,000 $313 48
72 Atwater St 0.59mi 5/3.5 2,215 (-13%) 5mo $565,000 $255 40
90 Blohm St 0.67mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,226 (-13%) 4mo $550,000 $247 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-18,721
Equity at exit
$77,385
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$83,326
Equity at exit
$44,874

Cash invested: $145,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06516

Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
22.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,747 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,722
Tax from tax record
$660 /mo · $7,915/yr
Insurance
$216
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,207
Net cashflow
$943

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,554
Max offer price $519,000
Occupancy floor 79%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,747

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$129,750
Closing costs
$15,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 Main St Unit 2nd fl West Haven, CT 4.0 1.0 1967 $2,400 $1.22 23d 1 0.09mi
17 Treadwell St West Haven, CT 4.0 1.0 2814 $2,450 $0.87 23d 1 0.15mi
37 Center St Unit 2 West Haven, CT 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,300 $1.32 2d 1 0.27mi
280 3rd Ave Unit 2nd fl West Haven, CT 4.0 2.0 1819 $2,500 $1.37 2d 1 0.37mi
36 Cassius St New Haven, CT 4.0 1.5 1872 $2,300 $1.23 43d 1 1.38mi
34 Cassius St Unit 36 New Haven, CT 5.0 2.0 1872 $2,300 $1.23 43d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    price $519,000 542-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $536,000 Active 542-char remark
  3. 2017-01-13
    soldstatus $131,000 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Opportunity knocks for this centrally located 2 family house. Each unit features 2/3 bedrooms, living room, dining room and kitchen. Extra space in partially finished walk up attic. Needs work but offers a tremendous opportunity for owner occupants or investors. 2 car detached garage rounds out the picture. Come see today!

  4. 2016-12-21
    historical 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Opportunity knocks for this centrally located 2 family house. Each unit features 2/3 bedrooms, living room, dining room and kitchen. Extra space in partially finished walk up attic. Needs work but offers a tremendous opportunity for owner occupants or investors. 2 car detached garage rounds out the picture. Come see today!

  5. 2016-10-12
    listed $132,900 324-char remark
    Show marketing remark (324 chars)

    Opportunity knocks for this centrally located 2 family house. Each unit features 2/3 bedrooms, living room, dining room and kitchen. Extra space in partially finished walk up attic. Needs work but offers a tremendous opportunity for owner occupants or investors. 2 car detached garage rounds out the picture. Come see today!

  6. 1997-07-18
    soldstatus $92,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,915 · $660/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,511 · $793/mo
Expected delta
+$1,596/yr (+$133/mo · 20.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$68,964
− Mortgage interest
−$29,072
− Property taxes
−$7,915
− Insurance
−$2,595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,517
− Management
−$5,517
− Depreciation
−$15,098
Taxable income
$3,250
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$780
After-tax cash flow
$10,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Haven School District
NCES district ID
0904950
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$52,405
Composite
28.05/100
National rank
#6840
State rank
#121 of 153 in CT

Livability — West Haven

Score
83/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#915

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Haven, CT
County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
55,351
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
55,351
Household income
$74,382
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2671.0

Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
608,362

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 5% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
All cycles
2024: D+20.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -312.86%
Current HPI
307.0655
Rent YoY
▲ 3.90%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+458.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $519,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $536,000 Smart MLS
  • 2017-01-13 Sold (MLS) $131,000 Smart MLS
  • 2016-12-21 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2016-10-12 Listed $132,900 Smart MLS
  • 1997-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $92,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,915 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…